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MLS · Regular Season - 31 October 24, 2026 23:30 Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison
New York Red Bulls
#9 · 39 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Inter Miami
#3 · 55 pts
Carlos Henrique Casimiro 7' (og)
Emil Forsberg (ast. Cameron Harper) 90'+1
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter Miami a 49% win probability (draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 29%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 2–0 Inter Miami. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Inter Miami.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
2
3.39
Actual xG
0.87
2
Saves
5
34%
Possession
66%
3
Corners
2
13
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Carlos Henrique Casimiro (og)
7'
56'
Lionel Messi / Riquelme Fillipi ↕
↕ Cade Cowell / Cameron Harper
64'
66'
Santiago Morales / Matías Galarza ↕
66'
Ian Fray / Gonzalo Lujan ↕
74'
Telasco Segovia / Germán Berterame ↕
74'
Yannick Bright / David Ayala ↕
↕ Jorge Ruvalcaba / Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
76'
↕ Mohammed Sofo / Sekou Kone
76'
Julian Bazan
80'
↕ Adri Mehmeti / Emil Forsberg
85'
↕ Julian Hall / Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
85'
⚽Emil Forsberg · ast. Cameron Harper
90'+1
90'+4
Santiago Morales
Pre-match prediction
29.94%
New ←
20.62%
X
49.44%
Inter
we assigned to the actual result (New York Red Bulls) 29.94% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
1.59
3.39
+1.8
Inter
2.13
0.87
-1.26
New York Red Bulls dominated by xG (3.39 vs 0.87). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25
Lineups
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
34 E. Horvath E. Horvath G 7.16
59 D. Padelford D. Padelford D 7.06
14 J. Bazán J. Bazán D 6.78
26 T. Parker T. Parker D 7.49
12 D. Nealis D. Nealis D 7.35
37 M. Sofo M. Sofo 76' M 7.20
15 A. Mehmeti A. Mehmeti 85' M 6.61
48 R. Donkor R. Donkor M 6.95
11 J. Ruvalcaba J. Ruvalcaba 76' F 6.43
16 J. Hall J. Hall 85' F 6.36
7 C. Cowell C. Cowell 64' F 6.21
Bench
17 C. Harper C. Harper 1 👟 26' F 6.92
8 D. Ruíz D. Ruíz M 0.00
13 E. Choupo-Moting E. Choupo-Moting 14' F 6.70
10 E. Forsberg E. Forsberg 1 ⚽ 5' M 7.65
3 J. Marshall-Rutty J. Marshall-Rutty 5' D 6.96
77 J. McCarthy J. McCarthy G 0.00
56 M. Dos Santos M. Dos Santos D 0.00
79 R. Mosquera R. Mosquera F 0.00
60 S. Kone S. Kone 14' M 6.82
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-3-3
97 D. St. Clair D. St. Clair G 7.28
3 Reguilón Reguilón D 7.05
16 Micael Micael D 6.73
5 Casemiro Casemiro 1 ⚽ D 5.94
2 G. Luján G. Luján 66' D 6.29
80 M. Galarza M. Galarza 66' M 5.98
22 D. Ayala D. Ayala 74' M 6.15
7 R. De Paul R. De Paul M 7.20
19 G. Berterame G. Berterame 74' F 6.35
9 L. Suárez L. Suárez F 6.45
11 Riquelme Fillipi Riquelme Fillipi 56' F 6.52
Bench
88 A. Shaw A. Shaw M 0.00
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter F 0.00
4 F. Mura F. Mura D 0.00
17 I. Fray I. Fray 24' D 5.79
10 L. Messi L. Messi 34' F 6.88
34 R. Ríos Novo R. Ríos Novo G 0.00
20 S. Morales S. Morales 24' M 5.65
8 T. Segovia T. Segovia 16' M 6.08
42 Y. Bright Y. Bright 16' M 6.58
Best on the pitch
E. Forsberg
E. Forsberg
M · New
7.65
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
T. Parker
T. Parker
D · New
7.49
· 34 pass
D. Nealis
D. Nealis
D · New
7.35
· 34 pass
D. St. Clair
D. St. Clair
G · Inter
7.28
· 40 pass
R. De Paul
R. De Paul
M · Inter
7.20
2 shots · 97 pass
M. Sofo
M. Sofo
M · New
7.20
2 shots · 21 pass
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Horvath G 90 7.16 — — 0 20 16% 0 — —
D. Padelford D 90 7.06 — — 0 35 28% 2 — —
J. Bazán D 90 6.78 — — 0 30 24% 2 1 —
T. Parker D 90 7.49 — — 0 34 30% 0 — —
D. Nealis D 90 7.35 — — 0 34 28% 1 — —
M. Sofo M 76 7.20 — — 2 21 18% 2 — —
A. Mehmeti M 85 6.61 — — 0 70 55% 2 — —
R. Donkor M 90 6.95 — — 3 42 36% 1 — —
J. Ruvalcaba F 76 6.43 — — 6 10 8% 1 — —
J. Hall F 85 6.36 — — 4 16 9% 0 — —
C. Cowell F 64 6.21 — — 2 20 16% 2 — —
C. Harper F 26 6.92 — 1 0 7 5% 0 — —
E. Choupo-Moting F 14 6.70 — — 1 0 0% 0 — —
E. Forsberg M 5 7.65 1 — 1 3 3% 0 — —
J. Marshall-Rutty D 5 6.96 — — 0 8 8% 0 — —
S. Kone M 14 6.82 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. St. Clair G 90 7.28 — — 0 40 37% 0 — —
Reguilón D 90 7.05 — — 1 67 62% 0 — —
Micael D 90 6.73 — — 0 83 77% 1 — —
Casemiro D 90 5.94 1 — 1 100 87% 0 — —
G. Luján D 66 6.29 — — 0 59 49% 2 — —
M. Galarza M 66 5.98 — — 0 51 43% 1 — —
D. Ayala M 74 6.15 — — 0 59 45% 1 — —
R. De Paul M 90 7.20 — — 2 97 88% 1 — —
G. Berterame F 74 6.35 — — 1 21 17% 1 — —
L. Suárez F 90 6.45 — — 2 35 30% 0 — —
Riquelme Fillipi F 56 6.52 — — 2 15 10% 0 — —
I. Fray D 24 5.79 — — 0 20 13% 3 — —
L. Messi F 34 6.88 — — 1 22 16% 1 — —
S. Morales M 24 5.65 — — 1 9 8% 0 1 —
T. Segovia M 16 6.08 — — 1 14 12% 0 — —
Y. Bright M 16 6.58 — — 0 24 22% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 2–0 Inter Miami.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami?
The model assigned 29% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 20% to a draw, and 49% to an Inter Miami win.