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MLS · Regular Season - 20 August 20, 2026 01:30
New York Red Bulls
#9 · 39 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Nashville SC
#1 · 70 pts
90'+2 (ast. C. Espinoza) M. Woledzi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 42% win probability (draw 23%, Nashville SC 34%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 0–1 Nashville SC.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
3
1.63
Actual xG
1.34
2
Saves
1
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
10
20
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
12'
D. Lovitz
58'
M. Corcoran
↕ C. Cowell / M. Jimenez
61'
↕ E. Forsberg / M. Sofo
61'
61'
A. Najar / D. Lovitz ↕
62'
C. Espinoza / S. Mohammed ↕
70'
P. Yazbek / M. Corcoran ↕
70'
A. Qasem / E. Saad ↕
↕ D. Nealis / J. Marshall-Rutty
80'
86'
J. Bauer / R. Baker-Whiting ↕
↕ J. Che / T. Parker
88'
J. Bazan
90'+1
90'+2
ast. C. Espinoza · M. Woledzi⚽
Pre-match prediction
42.21%
New
23.59%
X
34.2%
Nashville ←
we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC) 34.2% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
1.61
1.63
+0.02
Nashville
1.34
1.34
+-0.0
xG dominance was balanced (1.63 – 1.34). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25
Lineups
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
34 E. Horvath E. Horvath G 6.90
56 Matthew Dos Santos Matthew Dos Santos D 7.30
14 J. Bazán J. Bazán D 6.90
2 J. Che J. Che 88' D 7.30
12 D. Nealis D. Nealis 80' D 7.50
10 E. Forsberg E. Forsberg 61' M 7.20
15 A. Mehmeti A. Mehmeti M 8.00
48 R. Donkor R. Donkor M 8.30
11 J. Ruvalcaba J. Ruvalcaba F 6.60
16 J. Hall J. Hall F 6.60
7 C. Cowell C. Cowell 61' F 6.60
Bench
17 C. Harper C. Harper F
13 E. Choupo-Moting E. Choupo-Moting F
3 J. Marshall-Rutty J. Marshall-Rutty 10' D 6.20
77 J. McCarthy J. McCarthy G
91 M. Jimenez M. Jimenez 29' F 6.70
37 M. Sofo M. Sofo 29' F 6.30
39 Nehuen Benedetti Nehuen Benedetti M
5 Omar Valencia Omar Valencia D
26 T. Parker T. Parker 11' D 6.20
Nashville SC Nashville SC 4-2-3-1
99 B. Schwake B. Schwake G 7.50
2 D. Lovitz D. Lovitz 61' D 6.30
3 M. Woledzi M. Woledzi 1 ⚽ D 8.30
5 J. Maher J. Maher D 7.30
27 R. Baker-Whiting R. Baker-Whiting 86' D 7.20
20 E. Tagseth E. Tagseth M 7.00
16 M. Corcoran M. Corcoran 70' M 6.50
11 E. Saad E. Saad 70' M 6.30
10 H. Mukhtar H. Mukhtar M 6.50
14 S. Mohammed S. Mohammed 62' M 6.30
9 S. Surridge S. Surridge F 6.50
Bench
37 Ahmed Qasem Ahmed Qasem 20' F 6.20
19 A. Muyl A. Muyl M
31 A. Najar A. Najar 29' D 7.30
6 B. Acosta B. Acosta M
7 C. Espinoza C. Espinoza 1 👟 28' F 6.90
22 J. Bauer J. Bauer 13' D 6.70
4 J. Palacios J. Palacios D
1 J. Willis J. Willis G
8 P. Yazbek P. Yazbek 20' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
R. Donkor
R. Donkor
M · New
8.30
· 41 pass
M. Woledzi
M. Woledzi
D · Nashville
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 43 pass
A. Mehmeti
A. Mehmeti
M · New
8.00
1 shots · 67 pass
D. Nealis
D. Nealis
D · New
7.50
· 39 pass
B. Schwake
B. Schwake
G · Nashville
7.50
· 46 pass
Matthew Dos Santos
Matthew Dos Santos
D · New
7.30
· 65 pass
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Horvath G 90 6.90 — — — 29 26% — — —
Matthew Dos Santos D 90 7.30 — — — 65 50% 1 — —
J. Bazán D 90 6.90 — — 1 62 57% 1 1 —
J. Che D 88 7.30 — — — 47 40% 1 — —
D. Nealis D 80 7.50 — — — 39 28% 4 — —
E. Forsberg M 61 7.20 — — 1 9 7% 1 — —
A. Mehmeti M 90 8.00 — — 1 67 59% 4 — —
R. Donkor M 90 8.30 — — — 41 36% 6 — —
J. Ruvalcaba F 90 6.60 — — 1 27 23% — — —
J. Hall F 90 6.60 — — 3 28 22% — — —
C. Cowell F 61 6.60 — — — 25 19% 1 — —
J. Marshall-Rutty D 10 6.20 — — — 14 13% — — —
M. Jimenez F 29 6.70 — — 1 2 2% — — —
M. Sofo F 29 6.30 — — — 16 14% 1 — —
T. Parker D 11 6.20 — — — 12 11% — — —
Nashville SC Nashville SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Schwake G 90 7.50 — — — 46 28% — — —
D. Lovitz D 61 6.30 — — — 18 14% 1 1 —
M. Woledzi D 90 8.30 1 — 1 43 41% 1 — —
J. Maher D 90 7.30 — — — 52 46% 2 — —
R. Baker-Whiting D 86 7.20 — — 1 33 32% 1 — —
E. Tagseth M 90 7.00 — — — 43 37% 2 — —
M. Corcoran M 70 6.50 — — 2 37 28% 2 1 —
E. Saad M 70 6.30 — — — 24 20% 2 — —
H. Mukhtar M 90 6.50 — — 2 28 22% — — —
S. Mohammed M 62 6.30 — — — 22 16% — — —
S. Surridge F 90 6.50 — — 2 15 10% — — —
Ahmed Qasem F 20 6.20 — — — 4 2% — — —
A. Najar D 29 7.30 — — — 11 11% 2 — —
C. Espinoza F 28 6.90 — 1 — 7 4% 1 — —
J. Bauer D 13 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
P. Yazbek M 20 6.60 — — — 9 9% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 0–1 Nashville SC.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?
The model assigned 42% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 23% to a draw, and 34% to an Nashville SC win.