MLS
· Regular Season - 20
August 20, 2026 01:30
90'+2
(ast. C. Espinoza)
M. Woledzi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 42% win probability (draw 23%, Nashville SC 34%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 0–1 Nashville SC.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
3
1.63
Actual xG
1.34
2
Saves
1
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
10
20
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
12'
D. Lovitz
58'
M. Corcoran
C. Cowell
/ M. Jimenez
61'
E. Forsberg
/ M. Sofo
61'
61'
A. Najar
/
D. Lovitz
62'
C. Espinoza
/
S. Mohammed
70'
P. Yazbek
/
M. Corcoran
70'
A. Qasem
/
E. Saad
D. Nealis
/ J. Marshall-Rutty
80'
86'
J. Bauer
/
R. Baker-Whiting
J. Che
/ T. Parker
88'
J. Bazan
90'+1
90'+2
ast. C. Espinoza ·
M. Woledzi⚽
Pre-match prediction
42.21%
New
23.59%
X
34.2%
Nashville ←
we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC)
34.2%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.61
1.63
+0.02
1.34
1.34
+-0.0
xG dominance was balanced (1.63 – 1.34).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
34
E. Horvath
G
E. Horvath
G
56
Matthew Dos Santos
D
Matthew Dos Santos
D
14
J. Bazán
D
J. Bazán
D
2
J. Che
88'
D
J. Che
88'
D
12
D. Nealis
80'
D
D. Nealis
80'
D
10
E. Forsberg
61'
M
E. Forsberg
61'
M
15
A. Mehmeti
M
A. Mehmeti
M
48
R. Donkor
M
R. Donkor
M
11
J. Ruvalcaba
F
J. Ruvalcaba
F
16
J. Hall
F
J. Hall
F
7
C. Cowell
61'
F
C. Cowell
61'
F
Bench
17
C. Harper
F
C. Harper
F
13
E. Choupo-Moting
F
E. Choupo-Moting
F
3
J. Marshall-Rutty
10'
D
J. Marshall-Rutty
10'
D
77
J. McCarthy
G
J. McCarthy
G
91
M. Jimenez
29'
F
M. Jimenez
29'
F
37
M. Sofo
29'
F
M. Sofo
29'
F
39
Nehuen Benedetti
M
Nehuen Benedetti
M
5
Omar Valencia
D
Omar Valencia
D
26
T. Parker
11'
D
T. Parker
11'
D
99
B. Schwake
G
B. Schwake
G
2
D. Lovitz
61'
D
D. Lovitz
61'
D
3
M. Woledzi
1 ⚽
D
M. Woledzi
1 ⚽
D
5
J. Maher
D
J. Maher
D
27
R. Baker-Whiting
86'
D
R. Baker-Whiting
86'
D
20
E. Tagseth
M
E. Tagseth
M
16
M. Corcoran
70'
M
M. Corcoran
70'
M
11
E. Saad
70'
M
E. Saad
70'
M
10
H. Mukhtar
M
H. Mukhtar
M
14
S. Mohammed
62'
M
S. Mohammed
62'
M
9
S. Surridge
F
S. Surridge
F
Bench
19
A. Muyl
M
A. Muyl
M
31
A. Najar
29'
D
A. Najar
29'
D
37
A. Qasem
20'
F
A. Qasem
20'
F
6
B. Acosta
M
B. Acosta
M
7
C. Espinoza
1 👟
28'
F
C. Espinoza
1 👟
28'
F
22
J. Bauer
13'
D
J. Bauer
13'
D
4
J. Palacios
D
J. Palacios
D
1
J. Willis
G
J. Willis
G
8
P. Yazbek
20'
M
P. Yazbek
20'
M
Best on the pitch
R. Donkor
M · New
8.30
· 41 pass
M. Woledzi
D · Nashville
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 43 pass
A. Mehmeti
M · New
8.00
1 shots
· 67 pass
D. Nealis
D · New
7.50
· 39 pass
B. Schwake
G · Nashville
7.50
· 46 pass
Matthew Dos Santos
D · New
7.30
· 65 pass
New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Horvath | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bazán | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 57% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Che | D | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Nealis | D | 80 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Forsberg | M | 61 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mehmeti | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 59% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Donkor | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 6 | — | — |
| J. Ruvalcaba | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| J. Hall | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| C. Cowell | F | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Marshall-Rutty | D | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Jimenez | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Sofo | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Parker | D | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
Nashville SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Schwake | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 28% | — | — | — |
| D. Lovitz | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Woledzi | D | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 43 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Maher | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Baker-Whiting | D | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Tagseth | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Corcoran | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Saad | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Mukhtar | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| S. Mohammed | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| S. Surridge | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Najar | D | 29 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Qasem | F | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| C. Espinoza | F | 28 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bauer | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| P. Yazbek | M | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 0–1 Nashville SC.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?
The model assigned 42% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 23% to a draw, and 34% to an Nashville SC win.