US Open Cup
· Round of 16
April 30, 2026 01:00
J. Hall
(ast. C. Cowell)
14'
9'
(ast. M. Moralez)
K. Trewin
39'
(ast. M. Moralez)
Raul Gustavo
57'
(ast. M. Moralez)
Thiago Martins
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York City FC a 42% win probability (draw 23%, New York Red Bulls 33%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 1–3 New York City FC.
Match statistics
Match Events
9'
ast. M. Moralez ·
K. Trewin⚽
⚽J. Hall
· ast. C. Cowell
14'
39'
ast. M. Moralez ·
Raul Gustavo⚽
47'
Talles Magno
/
M. Jones
57'
ast. M. Moralez ·
Thiago Martins⚽
J. Marshall-Rutty
/ J. Mina
66'
E. Forsberg
/ N. Benedetti
66'
C. Cowell
/ R. Mosquera
67'
J. Hall
/ E. M. Choupo-Moting
78'
J. Ruvalcaba
/ M. Sofo
78'
M. Sofo
86'
87'
A. Perea
/
M. Moralez
90'+2
N. Mercau
90'+2
A. Farnos
/
N. Mercau
Pre-match prediction
33.51%
New
23.61%
X
42.89%
New ←
we assigned to the actual result (New York City FC)
42.89%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.90
—
—
2.62
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 1–3 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 33% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 23% to a draw, and 42% to an New York City FC win.