MLS
· Regular Season - 14
May 17, 2026 01:30
J. Ruvalcaba
44'
52'
(ast. N. Mercau)
A. Perea
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 43% win probability (draw 25%, New York City FC 30%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for New York City FC.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
5
2.33
Actual xG
1.47
3
Saves
4
43%
Possession
57%
9
Corners
3
12
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
23'
Raul Gustavo
J. Marshall-Rutty
24'
39'
A. Perea
/
M. Moralez
⚽J. Ruvalcaba
44'
46'
M. Jones
/
H. Wolf
49'
K. Parks
52'
ast. N. Mercau ·
A. Perea⚽
59'
J. Shore
/
K. Parks
J. Ruvalcaba
67'
E. Forsberg
/ G. Berggren
69'
M. Dos Santos
/ O. Valencia
69'
J. Che
/ T. Parker
69'
77'
N. Cavallo
D. Nealis
82'
J. Ruvalcaba
/ R. Mosquera
85'
T. Parker
86'
90'+1
A. Farnos
/
A. Ojeda
90'+1
S. Reid
/
N. Mercau
Pre-match prediction
43.73%
New
25.43%
X ←
30.85%
New
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.43%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.67
2.33
+0.66
1.22
1.47
+0.25
New York Red Bulls dominated by xG (2.33 vs 1.47).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
34
Ethan Horvath
G
Ethan Horvath
G
56
Matthew Dos Santos
69'
D
Matthew Dos Santos
69'
D
12
Dylan Nealis
D
Dylan Nealis
D
2
Justin Che
69'
D
Justin Che
69'
D
3
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
D
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
D
10
Emil Forsberg
69'
M
Emil Forsberg
69'
M
15
Adri Mehmeti
M
Adri Mehmeti
M
48
Ronald Donkor
M
Ronald Donkor
M
11
Jorge Ruvalcaba
1 ⚽
85'
F
Jorge Ruvalcaba
1 ⚽
85'
F
16
J. Hall
F
J. Hall
F
7
Cade Cowell
F
Cade Cowell
F
Bench
4
G. Berggren
21'
M
G. Berggren
21'
M
77
John McCarthy
G
John McCarthy
G
14
Julián Bazán
D
Julián Bazán
D
37
Mohammed Sofo
F
Mohammed Sofo
F
39
Nehuen Benedetti
M
Nehuen Benedetti
M
5
Omar Valencia
21'
D
Omar Valencia
21'
D
79
Rafael Mosquera
10'
F
Rafael Mosquera
10'
F
33
Roald Mitchell
F
Roald Mitchell
F
26
Tim Parker
21'
D
Tim Parker
21'
D
49
Matthew Freese
G
Matthew Freese
G
2
Nico Cavallo
D
Nico Cavallo
D
34
Raul Gustavo
D
Raul Gustavo
D
13
Thiago Martins
D
Thiago Martins
D
24
Tayvon Gray
D
Tayvon Gray
D
5
Kai Trewin
M
Kai Trewin
M
55
Keaton Parks
59'
M
Keaton Parks
59'
M
17
Hannes Wolf
45'
M
Hannes Wolf
45'
M
10
M. Moralez
39'
M
M. Moralez
39'
M
26
Agustin Ojeda
89'
M
Agustin Ojeda
89'
M
7
N. Fernández Mercau
1 👟
89'
F
N. Fernández Mercau
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
8
Andrés Perea
1 ⚽
51'
M
Andrés Perea
1 ⚽
51'
M
87
Arnau Farnos
1'
F
Arnau Farnos
1'
F
32
Jonathan Shore
31'
M
Jonathan Shore
31'
M
15
Kevin Pierre
M
Kevin Pierre
M
88
Malachi Jones
45'
F
Malachi Jones
45'
F
29
Máximo Carrizo
M
Máximo Carrizo
M
99
Seymour Garfield-Reid
1'
F
Seymour Garfield-Reid
1'
F
19
Strahinja Tanasijević
D
30
Tomás Romero
G
Tomás Romero
G
Best on the pitch
Matthew Freese
G · New
8.20
· 32 pass
Jorge Ruvalcaba
F · New
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Thiago Martins
D · New
7.30
· 80 pass
Ronald Donkor
M · New
7.30
1 shots
· 36 pass
Raul Gustavo
D · New
7.30
· 94 pass
Kai Trewin
M · New
7.20
1 shots
· 38 pass
New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Horvath | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 69 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Dylan Nealis | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Justin Che | D | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Emil Forsberg | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Adri Mehmeti | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Ronald Donkor | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | F | 85 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Hall | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Cade Cowell | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Berggren | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Omar Valencia | D | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Mosquera | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Tim Parker | D | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
New York City FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Nico Cavallo | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 48 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Raul Gustavo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 94 | 83% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Thiago Martins | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 80 | 77% | 2 | — | — |
| Tayvon Gray | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 58 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Kai Trewin | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Keaton Parks | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Hannes Wolf | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Moralez | M | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Agustin Ojeda | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| N. Fernández Mercau | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrés Perea | M | 51 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Arnau Farnos | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Shore | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Malachi Jones | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 6 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Seymour Garfield-Reid | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 43% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 25% to a draw, and 30% to an New York City FC win.