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MLS · Regular Season - 14 May 17, 2026 01:30
New York Red Bulls
#12 · 27 pts
1 – 1
Final score
New York City FC
#9 · 29 pts
J. Ruvalcaba 44'
52' (ast. N. Mercau) A. Perea
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 43% win probability (draw 25%, New York City FC 30%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for New York City FC.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
5
2.33
Actual xG
1.47
3
Saves
4
43%
Possession
57%
9
Corners
3
12
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
23'
Raul Gustavo
J. Marshall-Rutty
24'
39'
A. Perea / M. Moralez ↕
⚽J. Ruvalcaba
44'
46'
M. Jones / H. Wolf ↕
49'
K. Parks
52'
ast. N. Mercau · A. Perea⚽
59'
J. Shore / K. Parks ↕
J. Ruvalcaba
67'
↕ E. Forsberg / G. Berggren
69'
↕ M. Dos Santos / O. Valencia
69'
↕ J. Che / T. Parker
69'
77'
N. Cavallo
D. Nealis
82'
↕ J. Ruvalcaba / R. Mosquera
85'
T. Parker
86'
90'+1
A. Farnos / A. Ojeda ↕
90'+1
S. Reid / N. Mercau ↕
Pre-match prediction
43.73%
New
25.43%
X ←
30.85%
New
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.43% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
1.67
2.33
+0.66
New
1.22
1.47
+0.25
New York Red Bulls dominated by xG (2.33 vs 1.47). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 24 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 44
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
5 Charlotte Charlotte 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 24 31
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 23 31
8 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
9 New York City FC New York City FC 24 29
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 24 29
11 DC United DC United 23 28
12 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 24 27
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 24 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 21
Lineups
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
34 E. Horvath E. Horvath G 6.70
56 Matthew Dos Santos Matthew Dos Santos 69' D 5.90
12 D. Nealis D. Nealis D 6.70
2 J. Che J. Che 69' D 7.20
3 J. Marshall-Rutty J. Marshall-Rutty D 6.90
10 E. Forsberg E. Forsberg 69' M 6.60
15 A. Mehmeti A. Mehmeti M 7.00
48 R. Donkor R. Donkor M 7.30
11 J. Ruvalcaba J. Ruvalcaba 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.70
16 J. Hall J. Hall F 6.60
7 C. Cowell C. Cowell F 7.00
Bench
4 G. Berggren G. Berggren 21' M 6.60
14 J. Bazán J. Bazán D
77 J. McCarthy J. McCarthy G
37 M. Sofo M. Sofo F
39 Nehuen Benedetti Nehuen Benedetti M
5 Omar Valencia Omar Valencia 21' D 6.20
79 Rafael Mosquera Rafael Mosquera 10' F 6.70
33 Roald Mitchell Roald Mitchell F
26 T. Parker T. Parker 21' D 6.60
New York City FC New York City FC 4-2-3-1
49 M. Freese M. Freese G 8.20
2 Nico Cavallo Nico Cavallo D 7.00
34 Raul Gustavo Raul Gustavo D 7.30
13 Thiago Martins Thiago Martins D 7.30
24 T. Gray T. Gray D 7.20
5 Kai Trewin Kai Trewin M 7.20
55 Keaton Parks Keaton Parks 59' M 6.50
17 H. Wolf H. Wolf 45' M 6.50
10 M. Moralez M. Moralez 39' M 6.60
26 A. Ojeda A. Ojeda 89' M 6.90
7 N. Fernández Mercau N. Fernández Mercau 1 👟 89' F 6.90
Bench
8 A. Perea A. Perea 1 ⚽ 51' M 7.20
87 Arnau Farnos Arnau Farnos 1' F
32 J. Shore J. Shore 31' M 6.70
15 Kevin Pierre Kevin Pierre M
29 Máximo Carrizo Máximo Carrizo M
88 M. Jones M. Jones 45' F 6.70
99 S. Reid S. Reid 1' F
19
Strahinja Tanasijević D
30 T. Romero T. Romero G
Best on the pitch
M. Freese
M. Freese
G · New
8.20
· 32 pass
J. Ruvalcaba
J. Ruvalcaba
F · New
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Thiago Martins
Thiago Martins
D · New
7.30
· 80 pass
R. Donkor
R. Donkor
M · New
7.30
1 shots · 36 pass
Raul Gustavo
Raul Gustavo
D · New
7.30
· 94 pass
Kai Trewin
Kai Trewin
M · New
7.20
1 shots · 38 pass
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Horvath G 90 6.70 — — — 26 16% — — —
Matthew Dos Santos D 69 5.90 — — 1 30 23% 1 — —
D. Nealis D 90 6.70 — — 1 49 43% 2 1 —
J. Che D 69 7.20 — — — 33 29% 2 — —
J. Marshall-Rutty D 90 6.90 — — 1 43 37% 2 1 —
E. Forsberg M 69 6.60 — — — 15 15% 1 — —
A. Mehmeti M 90 7.00 — — 1 42 35% — — —
R. Donkor M 90 7.30 — — 1 36 28% — — —
J. Ruvalcaba F 85 7.70 1 — 1 17 14% — 1 —
J. Hall F 90 6.60 — — 1 15 12% — — —
C. Cowell F 90 7.00 — — 1 19 14% 3 — —
G. Berggren M 21 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
Omar Valencia D 21 6.20 — — — 7 4% — — —
Rafael Mosquera F 10 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
T. Parker D 21 6.60 — — — 7 6% 1 1 —
New York City FC New York City FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Freese G 90 8.20 — — — 32 22% — — —
Nico Cavallo D 90 7.00 — — — 48 39% 3 1 —
Raul Gustavo D 90 7.30 — — — 94 83% 1 1 —
Thiago Martins D 90 7.30 — — — 80 77% 2 — —
T. Gray D 90 7.20 — — — 58 39% 1 — —
Kai Trewin M 90 7.20 — — 1 38 32% — — —
Keaton Parks M 59 6.50 — — — 23 22% 1 1 —
H. Wolf M 45 6.50 — — — 8 6% 1 — —
M. Moralez M 39 6.60 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
A. Ojeda M 89 6.90 — — 1 21 19% — — —
N. Fernández Mercau F 89 6.90 — 1 — 31 25% 1 — —
A. Perea M 51 7.20 1 — 2 14 7% 1 — —
Arnau Farnos F 1 — — — — — — — — —
J. Shore M 31 6.70 — — — 13 13% — — —
M. Jones F 45 6.70 — — 6 6 3% 1 — —
S. Reid F 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 43% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 25% to a draw, and 30% to an New York City FC win.