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MLS · Regular Season - 18 August 02, 2026 01:30
New York Red Bulls
#12 · 27 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Orlando City SC
#6 · 31 pts
M. Jimenez (ast. G. Berggren) 23'
E. Forsberg (ast. C. Cowell) 43'
M. Jimenez (ast. C. Cowell) 60'
52' (ast. B. Ojeda) T. Spicer
63' (ast. A. Griezmann) G. Dorsey
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 54% win probability (draw 18%, Orlando City SC 27%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 3–2 Orlando City SC. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Orlando City SC.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
8
Shots on target
5
3.60
Actual xG
3.20
3
Saves
5
40%
Possession
60%
5
Corners
4
12
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽M. Jimenez · ast. G. Berggren
23'
D. Nealis
27'
⚽E. Forsberg · ast. C. Cowell
43'
46'
B. Rhein / A. Gomez ↕
46'
T. Spicer / Tiago ↕
52'
ast. B. Ojeda · T. Spicer⚽
J. Che
59'
⚽M. Jimenez · ast. C. Cowell
60'
62'
Luis Otavio / E. Atuesta ↕
63'
ast. A. Griezmann · G. Dorsey⚽
69'
I. Angulo
↕ M. Jimenez / M. Sofo
70'
72'
Z. Taifi / G. Dorsey ↕
↕ D. Nealis / T. Parker
75'
↕ M. Dos Santos / J. Marshall-Rutty
75'
↕ C. Cowell / C. Harper
85'
↕ E. Forsberg / N. Benedetti
85'
87'
H. Sarajian / J. Ellis ↕
88'
H. Sarajian
J. Marshall-Rutty
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
54.77%
New ←
18.2%
X
27.03%
Orlando
we assigned to the actual result (New York Red Bulls) 54.77% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
2.67
3.60
+0.93
Orlando
1.81
3.20
+1.39
New York Red Bulls dominated by xG (3.60 vs 3.20). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 24 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 44
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
5 Charlotte Charlotte 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 24 31
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 23 31
8 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
9 New York City FC New York City FC 24 29
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 24 29
11 DC United DC United 23 28
12 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 24 27
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 24 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 21
Lineups
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
34 E. Horvath E. Horvath G 6.60
56 Matthew Dos Santos Matthew Dos Santos 75' D 5.90
14 J. Bazán J. Bazán D 6.90
2 J. Che J. Che D 7.00
12 D. Nealis D. Nealis 75' D 6.30
10 E. Forsberg E. Forsberg 1 ⚽ 85' M 7.90
4 G. Berggren G. Berggren 1 👟 M 7.90
48 R. Donkor R. Donkor M 7.90
16 J. Hall J. Hall F 6.90
91 M. Jimenez M. Jimenez 2 ⚽ 70' F 7.90
7 C. Cowell C. Cowell 2 👟 85' F 8.30
Bench
17 C. Harper C. Harper 14' F 6.90
3 J. Marshall-Rutty J. Marshall-Rutty 24' D 7.30
77 J. McCarthy J. McCarthy G
37 M. Sofo M. Sofo 29' F 6.60
80 Nathan Worth Nathan Worth M
39 Nehuen Benedetti Nehuen Benedetti 14' M 6.60
33 Roald Mitchell Roald Mitchell F
6 Robert Voloder Robert Voloder D
26 T. Parker T. Parker 24' D 6.70
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 4-4-2
71 M. Crépeau M. Crépeau G 7.50
3 Adrián Marín Adrián Marín 45' D 6.20
6 R. Jansson R. Jansson D 7.00
4 D. Brekalo D. Brekalo D 6.90
24 G. Dorsey G. Dorsey 1 ⚽ 72' D 5.90
11 Tiago Tiago 45' M 6.50
20 E. Atuesta E. Atuesta 62' M 6.20
8 Braian Ojeda Braian Ojeda 1 👟 M 8.00
77 I. Angulo I. Angulo M 6.90
7 A. Griezmann A. Griezmann 1 👟 F 7.30
22 Justin Ellis Justin Ellis 87' F 6.30
Bench
44 Bernardo Rhein Goncalves Bernardo Rhein Goncalves 54' F 6.60
65 Gustavo Caraballo Gustavo Caraballo M
23 Harvey Sarajian Harvey Sarajian 12' F 6.70
57 Iago Iago D
12 Javier Otero Javier Otero G
5 Luis Otávio Luis Otávio 37' M 7.00
14 T. Spicer T. Spicer 1 ⚽ 54' F 7.30
16 W. Cartagena W. Cartagena M
19 Z. Taifi Z. Taifi 27' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
C. Cowell
C. Cowell
F · New
8.30
2 👟
1 shots · 28 pass
Braian Ojeda
Braian Ojeda
M · Orlando
8.00
1 👟
· 75 pass
E. Forsberg
E. Forsberg
M · New
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
G. Berggren
G. Berggren
M · New
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 33 pass
R. Donkor
R. Donkor
M · New
7.90
· 66 pass
M. Jimenez
M. Jimenez
F · New
7.90
2 ⚽
4 shots · 12 pass
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Horvath G 99 6.60 — — — 23 18% — — —
Matthew Dos Santos D 75 5.90 — — — 33 27% 1 — —
J. Bazán D 99 6.90 — — — 49 45% 2 — —
J. Che D 99 7.00 — — 1 48 40% 2 1 —
D. Nealis D 75 6.30 — — — 38 28% — 1 —
E. Forsberg M 85 7.90 1 — 1 17 15% 2 — —
G. Berggren M 99 7.90 — 1 1 33 29% — — —
R. Donkor M 99 7.90 — — — 66 60% — — —
J. Hall F 99 6.90 — — 4 26 21% 2 — —
M. Jimenez F 70 7.90 2 — 4 12 8% — — —
C. Cowell F 85 8.30 — 2 1 28 22% 1 — —
C. Harper F 14 6.90 — — — 4 2% — — —
J. Marshall-Rutty D 24 7.30 — — — 5 4% 2 1 —
M. Sofo F 29 6.60 — — — 4 3% — — —
Nehuen Benedetti M 14 6.60 — — — 7 5% — — —
T. Parker D 24 6.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Crépeau G 99 7.50 — — — 33 30% — — —
Adrián Marín D 45 6.20 — — — 21 19% 1 — —
R. Jansson D 99 7.00 — — — 91 84% 1 — —
D. Brekalo D 99 6.90 — — — 73 69% 1 — —
G. Dorsey D 72 5.90 1 — 2 18 13% 2 — —
Tiago M 45 6.50 — — — 11 8% 1 — —
E. Atuesta M 62 6.20 — — 1 45 39% — — —
Braian Ojeda M 99 8.00 — 1 — 75 69% 2 — —
I. Angulo M 99 6.90 — — 1 46 44% 4 1 —
A. Griezmann F 99 7.30 — 1 2 47 40% — — —
Justin Ellis F 87 6.30 — — — 53 42% 1 — —
Bernardo Rhein Goncalves F 54 6.60 — — — 26 22% 2 — —
Harvey Sarajian F 12 6.70 — — — 2 1% — 1 —
Luis Otávio M 37 7.00 — — — 30 27% 1 — —
T. Spicer F 54 7.30 1 — 4 17 15% 1 — —
Z. Taifi M 27 6.90 — — 1 11 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 3–2 Orlando City SC.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC?
The model assigned 54% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 18% to a draw, and 27% to an Orlando City SC win.