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MLS · Regular Season - 22 August 30, 2026 01:30
New York Red Bulls
#12 · 27 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Philadelphia Union
#8 · 30 pts
E. M. Choupo-Moting (ast. M. Sofo) 74'
20' (ast. I. Vassilev) M. Iloski
50' (ast. D. Jean Jacques) C. Sullivan
64' (ast. B. Damiani) N. Pierre
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Philadelphia Union a 49% win probability (draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 29%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 1–3 Philadelphia Union. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Philadelphia Union.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
7
1.81
Actual xG
2.89
2
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
4
Corners
7
11
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
20'
ast. I. Vassilev · M. Iloski⚽
↕ J. Ruvalcaba / E. M. Choupo-Moting
46'
50'
ast. D. Jean Jacques · C. Sullivan⚽
64'
Q. Sullivan / I. Vassilev ↕
64'
ast. B. Damiani · N. Pierre⚽
↕ M. Dos Santos / J. Marshall-Rutty
67'
↕ C. Cowell / C. Harper
67'
↕ E. Forsberg / M. Sofo
67'
⚽E. M. Choupo-Moting · ast. M. Sofo
74'
R. Donkor
79'
80'
A. Anello / B. Damiani ↕
80'
J. Bueno / C. Sullivan ↕
84'
E. Alladoh / D. Jean Jacques ↕
90'+1
A. Anello
90'+2
F. Westfield
Pre-match prediction
29.71%
New
20.34%
X
49.96%
Philadelphia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Philadelphia Union) 49.96% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
1.49
1.81
+0.32
Philadelphia
2.14
2.89
+0.75
Philadelphia Union dominated by xG (2.89 vs 1.81). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 24 53
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 24 44
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 24 40
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 23 39
5 Charlotte Charlotte 24 39
6 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 24 31
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 23 31
8 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 24 30
9 New York City FC New York City FC 24 29
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 24 29
11 DC United DC United 23 28
12 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 24 27
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 24 23
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 24 22
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 24 21
Lineups
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-2-3-1
34 E. Horvath E. Horvath G 6.20
56 Matthew Dos Santos Matthew Dos Santos 67' D 5.90
14 J. Bazán J. Bazán D 7.00
2 J. Che J. Che D 7.60
12 D. Nealis D. Nealis D 7.30
15 A. Mehmeti A. Mehmeti M 6.90
48 R. Donkor R. Donkor M 6.90
7 C. Cowell C. Cowell 67' M 6.70
10 E. Forsberg E. Forsberg 67' M 6.30
11 J. Ruvalcaba J. Ruvalcaba 45' M 6.30
16 J. Hall J. Hall F 6.20
Bench
17 C. Harper C. Harper 28' F 6.20
92 D. Nelich D. Nelich F
13 E. Choupo-Moting E. Choupo-Moting 1 ⚽ 50' F 7.50
3 J. Marshall-Rutty J. Marshall-Rutty 28' D 6.90
77 J. McCarthy J. McCarthy G
91 M. Jimenez M. Jimenez F
37 M. Sofo M. Sofo 1 👟 28' F 6.90
5 Omar Valencia Omar Valencia D
26 T. Parker T. Parker D
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
18 A. Blake A. Blake G 6.90
27 K. Wagner K. Wagner D 6.30
26 N. Harriel N. Harriel D 7.30
44 Neil Pierre Neil Pierre 1 ⚽ D 7.50
39 F. Westfield F. Westfield D 6.90
19 I. Vassilev I. Vassilev 1 👟 64' M 7.20
4 J. Lukić J. Lukić M 7.20
21 D. Jean-Jacques D. Jean-Jacques 1 👟 84' M 7.20
6 Cavan Sullivan Cavan Sullivan 1 ⚽ 80' M 8.30
9 B. Damiani B. Damiani 1 👟 80' F 6.90
10 M. Iloski M. Iloski 1 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
28 A. Anello A. Anello 15' F 6.20
76 A. Rick A. Rick G
16 B. Bender B. Bender M
23 E. Alladoh E. Alladoh 11' F 6.50
2 Geiner Martínez Geiner Martínez D
8 J. Bueno J. Bueno 15' M 6.30
14 J. Rafanello J. Rafanello M
5 J. Sery Larsen J. Sery Larsen D
33 Q. Sullivan Q. Sullivan 31' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
Cavan Sullivan
Cavan Sullivan
M · Philadelphia
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 29 pass
J. Che
J. Che
D · New
7.60
· 83 pass
Neil Pierre
Neil Pierre
D · Philadelphia
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 32 pass
E. Choupo-Moting
E. Choupo-Moting
F · New
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
D. Nealis
D. Nealis
D · New
7.30
· 62 pass
N. Harriel
N. Harriel
D · Philadelphia
7.30
1 shots · 26 pass
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Horvath G 95 6.20 — — — 24 17% — — —
Matthew Dos Santos D 67 5.90 — — — 28 17% 1 — —
J. Bazán D 95 7.00 — — — 67 56% — — —
J. Che D 95 7.60 — — — 83 76% 1 — —
D. Nealis D 95 7.30 — — — 62 52% 3 — —
A. Mehmeti M 95 6.90 — — 2 41 34% 1 — —
R. Donkor M 95 6.90 — — 1 42 39% 2 1 —
C. Cowell M 67 6.70 — — 1 16 12% — — —
E. Forsberg M 67 6.30 — — — 12 7% 1 — —
J. Ruvalcaba M 45 6.30 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
J. Hall F 95 6.20 — — 3 20 13% — — —
C. Harper F 28 6.20 — — — 10 7% — — —
E. Choupo-Moting F 50 7.50 1 — 1 11 10% — — —
J. Marshall-Rutty D 28 6.90 — — — 15 13% — — —
M. Sofo F 28 6.90 — 1 — 9 5% 1 — —
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Blake G 95 6.90 — — — 32 16% — — —
K. Wagner D 95 6.30 — — — 40 27% 2 — —
N. Harriel D 95 7.30 — — 1 26 25% 2 — —
Neil Pierre D 95 7.50 1 — 1 32 21% 2 — —
F. Westfield D 95 6.90 — — — 27 13% 2 — —
I. Vassilev M 64 7.20 — 1 1 20 17% 1 — —
J. Lukić M 95 7.20 — — — 31 28% 2 — —
D. Jean-Jacques M 84 7.20 — 1 1 18 13% 3 — —
Cavan Sullivan M 80 8.30 1 — 2 29 17% 4 — —
B. Damiani F 80 6.90 — 1 1 24 17% 3 — —
M. Iloski F 95 7.30 1 — 6 15 13% — — —
A. Anello F 15 6.20 — — — 3 2% — 1 —
E. Alladoh F 11 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
J. Bueno M 15 6.30 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
Q. Sullivan M 31 6.70 — — — 8 7% 2 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 1–3 Philadelphia Union.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union?
The model assigned 29% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 20% to a draw, and 49% to an Philadelphia Union win.