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MLS · Regular Season - 27 October 01, 2026 01:30 Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison
New York Red Bulls
#10 · 42 pts
0 – 3
Final score
St. Louis City
#3 · 54 pts
✓Model correct — prediction St. Louis City
5' (ast. Conrad Wallem) Rafael Navarro Leal
87' (ast. Christopher Durkin) Simon Becher
90'+1 Tomas Ostrak
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Louis City a 60% win probability (draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 19%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 0–3 St. Louis City. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for St. Louis City.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
15
5
Shots on target
8
5
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
4
Corners
3
18
Tackles
26
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
5'
ast. Conrad Wallem · Rafael Navarro Leal⚽
35'
Timo Baumgartl
↕ Devin Padelford / Connor Faello
63'
↕ Jorge Ruvalcaba / Pedro Castro
64'
71'
Simon Becher / Alexandru Măţan ↕
71'
Sang-bin Jung / Carlo Holse ↕
↕ Sekou Kone / Nate Worth
84'
85'
Lukas MacNaughton / Daniel Edelman ↕
85'
Tomas Ostrak / Rafael Navarro Leal ↕
Emil Forsberg
86'
↕ Mohammed Sofo / Andy Rojas Maroto
87'
↕ Tim Parker / Robert Voloder
87'
87'
ast. Christopher Durkin · Simon Becher⚽
90'+1
Tomas Ostrak⚽
Pre-match prediction
19.35%
New
19.72%
X
60.92%
St. ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (St. Louis City) 60.92% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
0.86
—
—
St.
2.04
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 34 77
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 34 60
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 34 58
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 34 55
5 Charlotte Charlotte 34 54
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 34 50
7 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 34 47
8 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 34 46
9 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 34 46
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 34 42
11 New York City FC New York City FC 34 42
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 34 39
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 34 33
14 DC United DC United 34 33
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 34 26
Lineups
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
34 E. Horvath E. Horvath G 6.52
59 D. Padelford D. Padelford 63' D 5.99
14 J. Bazán J. Bazán D 6.26
26 T. Parker T. Parker 87' D 5.78
12 D. Nealis D. Nealis D 5.80
10 E. Forsberg E. Forsberg M 6.20
60 S. Kone S. Kone 84' M 6.19
37 M. Sofo M. Sofo 87' M 5.93
7 C. Cowell C. Cowell F 6.71
13 E. Choupo-Moting E. Choupo-Moting F 6.11
11 J. Ruvalcaba J. Ruvalcaba 64' F 6.48
Bench
70 A. Rojas A. Rojas 3' F 6.32
45 C. Faello C. Faello 27' D 6.57
77 J. McCarthy J. McCarthy G 0.00
80 N. Worth N. Worth 6' M 5.54
6 R. Voloder R. Voloder 3' D 5.59
66 T. Rosborough T. Rosborough M 0.00
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-3
1 R. Bürki R. Bürki G 7.68
27 F. Fall F. Fall D 7.21
32 T. Baumgartl T. Baumgartl D 6.22
21 D. Polvara D. Polvara D 7.63
14 T. Totland T. Totland M 6.44
8 C. Durkin C. Durkin 1 👟 M 8.10
24 D. Edelman D. Edelman 85' M 6.28
6 C. Wallem C. Wallem 1 👟 M 7.80
23 A. Mățan A. Mățan 71' F 6.85
9 Rafael Navarro Rafael Navarro 1 ⚽ 85' F 8.20
19 C. Holse C. Holse 71' F 6.05
Bench
39 B. Lundt B. Lundt G 0.00
77 Jeong Sang-Bin Jeong Sang-Bin 19' F 6.49
99 J. Orozco J. Orozco D 0.00
5 L. MacNaughton L. MacNaughton 5' D 6.48
59 M. Joyner M. Joyner M 0.00
28 M. Perez M. Perez M 0.00
20 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos D 0.00
11 S. Becher S. Becher 1 ⚽ 19' F 7.66
7 T. Ostrák T. Ostrák 1 ⚽ 5' M 7.47
Best on the pitch
Rafael Navarro
Rafael Navarro
F · St.
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 27 pass
C. Durkin
C. Durkin
M · St.
8.10
1 👟
· 61 pass
C. Wallem
C. Wallem
M · St.
7.80
1 👟
1 shots · 55 pass
R. Bürki
R. Bürki
G · St.
7.68
· 26 pass
S. Becher
S. Becher
F · St.
7.66
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
D. Polvara
D. Polvara
D · St.
7.63
2 shots · 53 pass
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Horvath G 90 6.52 — — 0 22 15% 0 — —
D. Padelford D 63 5.99 — — 0 24 20% 0 — —
J. Bazán D 90 6.26 — — 0 67 53% 2 — —
T. Parker D 87 5.78 — — 0 48 39% 0 — —
D. Nealis D 90 5.80 — — 0 46 37% 1 — —
E. Forsberg M 90 6.20 — — 2 29 27% 2 1 —
S. Kone M 84 6.19 — — 0 52 43% 4 — —
M. Sofo M 87 5.93 — — 2 19 14% 4 — —
C. Cowell F 90 6.71 — — 3 19 16% 1 — —
E. Choupo-Moting F 90 6.11 — — 2 18 13% 0 — —
J. Ruvalcaba F 64 6.48 — — 1 24 15% 0 — —
A. Rojas F 3 6.32 — — 0 2 2% 3 — —
C. Faello D 27 6.57 — — 0 25 21% 1 — —
N. Worth M 6 5.54 — — 0 13 11% 0 — —
R. Voloder D 3 5.59 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Bürki G 90 7.68 — — 0 26 21% 0 — —
F. Fall D 90 7.21 — — 0 60 52% 3 — —
T. Baumgartl D 90 6.22 — — 0 51 45% 3 1 —
D. Polvara D 90 7.63 — — 2 53 46% 6 — —
T. Totland M 90 6.44 — — 1 34 25% 2 — —
C. Durkin M 90 8.10 — 1 0 61 53% 2 — —
D. Edelman M 85 6.28 — — 0 53 43% 1 — —
C. Wallem M 90 7.80 — 1 1 55 47% 2 — —
A. Mățan F 71 6.85 — — 0 35 26% 1 — —
Rafael Navarro F 85 8.20 1 — 2 27 21% 4 — —
C. Holse F 71 6.05 — — 5 30 21% 2 — —
Jeong Sang-Bin F 19 6.49 — — 1 6 5% 0 — —
L. MacNaughton D 5 6.48 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
S. Becher F 19 7.66 1 — 1 9 4% 0 — —
T. Ostrák M 5 7.47 1 — 2 0 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 0–3 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 19% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 19% to a draw, and 60% to an St. Louis City win.