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MLS · Regular Season - 30 October 18, 2026 01:30 Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison
New York Red Bulls
#9 · 39 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Toronto FC
#11 · 36 pts
(og) 3' Justin Che
82' (ast. Jonathan Osorio) Dániel Sallói
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 55% win probability (draw 19%, Toronto FC 25%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 0–2 Toronto FC. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Toronto FC.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
4
1.01
Actual xG
0.66
3
Saves
3
68%
Possession
32%
7
Corners
1
19
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
3'
(og) Justin Che⚽
28'
Jackson Gilman / Kobe Franklin ↕
↕ Adri Mehmeti / Emil Forsberg
45'
↕ Cade Cowell / Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
45'
52'
Zane Monlouis
↕ Cameron Harper / Jorge Ruvalcaba
60'
↕ Dylan Nealis / Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
60'
67'
Lewis Morgan
68'
Derrick Etienne Jr. / Theo Corbeanu ↕
68'
Dániel Sallói / Djordje Mihailovic ↕
↕ Justin Che / Pedro Castro
71'
82'
ast. Jonathan Osorio · Dániel Sallói⚽
86'
Alonso / Lewis Morgan ↕
86'
Richard Chukwu / Josh Sargent ↕
87'
Derrick Etienne Jr.
Pre-match prediction
55.86%
New
19.03%
X
25.11%
Toronto ←
we assigned to the actual result (Toronto FC) 25.11% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
2.38
1.01
-1.37
Toronto
1.51
0.66
-0.85
New York Red Bulls dominated by xG (1.01 vs 0.66). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25
Lineups
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
34 E. Horvath E. Horvath G 6.77
59 D. Padelford D. Padelford D 5.93
14 J. Bazán J. Bazán D 6.89
2 J. Che J. Che 1 ⚽ 71' D 5.59
12 D. Nealis D. Nealis 60' D 6.26
37 M. Sofo M. Sofo M 6.22
15 A. Mehmeti A. Mehmeti 45' M 6.19
48 R. Donkor R. Donkor M 6.58
7 C. Cowell C. Cowell 45' F 6.54
16 J. Hall J. Hall F 6.36
17 C. Harper C. Harper 60' F 5.93
Bench
13 E. Choupo-Moting E. Choupo-Moting 45' F 6.48
10 E. Forsberg E. Forsberg 45' M 6.13
3 J. Marshall-Rutty J. Marshall-Rutty 30' D 5.78
77 J. McCarthy J. McCarthy G 0.00
11 J. Ruvalcaba J. Ruvalcaba 30' F 6.65
56 M. Dos Santos M. Dos Santos D 0.00
60 S. Kone S. Kone M 0.00
26 T. Parker T. Parker D 0.00
Toronto FC Toronto FC 4-4-2
1 L. Gavran L. Gavran G 7.09
3 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira D 7.21
15 N. Gomis N. Gomis D 7.14
12 Z. Monlouis Z. Monlouis D 6.71
19 K. Franklin K. Franklin 28' D 7.00
10 D. Mihailović D. Mihailović 68' M 6.21
6 N. Dorsch N. Dorsch M 6.92
21 J. Osorio J. Osorio 1 👟 M 7.53
7 T. Corbeanu T. Corbeanu 68' M 6.47
90 L. Morgan L. Morgan 86' F 6.57
9 J. Sargent J. Sargent 86' F 6.35
Bench
14 Alonso Coello Alonso Coello 4' M 6.82
27 A. Piedrahita A. Piedrahita F 0.00
11 D. Etienne D. Etienne 22' F 6.41
20 D. Sallói D. Sallói 1 ⚽ 22' F 7.31
17 Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga F 0.00
38 J. Gilman J. Gilman 62' D 7.16
96 R. Chukwu R. Chukwu 4' D 7.03
44 R. Edwards R. Edwards D 0.00
23 W. Yarbrough W. Yarbrough G 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. Osorio
J. Osorio
M · Toronto
7.53
1 👟
· 33 pass
D. Sallói
D. Sallói
F · Toronto
7.31
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
Matheus Pereira
Matheus Pereira
D · Toronto
7.21
1 shots · 22 pass
J. Gilman
J. Gilman
D · Toronto
7.16
· 14 pass
N. Gomis
N. Gomis
D · Toronto
7.14
1 shots · 15 pass
L. Gavran
L. Gavran
G · Toronto
7.09
· 28 pass
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Horvath G 90 6.77 — — 0 20 18% 0 — —
D. Padelford D 90 5.93 — — 0 44 36% 5 — —
J. Bazán D 90 6.89 — — 1 97 86% 4 — —
J. Che D 71 5.59 1 — 2 83 76% 1 — —
D. Nealis D 60 6.26 — — 0 28 26% 1 — —
M. Sofo M 90 6.22 — — 1 34 28% 0 — —
A. Mehmeti M 45 6.19 — — 0 26 20% 5 — —
R. Donkor M 90 6.58 — — 0 70 64% 1 — —
C. Cowell F 45 6.54 — — 3 8 4% 1 — —
J. Hall F 90 6.36 — — 4 31 21% 1 — —
C. Harper F 60 5.93 — — 1 13 12% 0 — —
E. Choupo-Moting F 45 6.48 — — 1 9 7% 0 — —
E. Forsberg M 45 6.13 — — 1 19 18% 0 — —
J. Marshall-Rutty D 30 5.78 — — 0 20 20% 0 — —
J. Ruvalcaba F 30 6.65 — — 0 5 2% 0 — —
Toronto FC Toronto FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Gavran G 90 7.09 — — 0 28 18% 0 — —
Matheus Pereira D 90 7.21 — — 1 22 13% 4 — —
N. Gomis D 90 7.14 — — 1 15 14% 1 — —
Z. Monlouis D 90 6.71 — — 0 19 11% 1 1 —
K. Franklin D 28 7.00 — — 0 6 4% 1 — —
D. Mihailović M 68 6.21 — — 0 14 10% 1 — —
N. Dorsch M 90 6.92 — — 2 27 20% 7 — —
J. Osorio M 90 7.53 — 1 0 33 27% 0 — —
T. Corbeanu M 68 6.47 — — 1 19 11% 1 — —
L. Morgan F 86 6.57 — — 0 19 14% 3 1 —
J. Sargent F 86 6.35 — — 0 20 12% 1 — —
Alonso Coello M 4 6.82 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
D. Etienne F 22 6.41 — — 0 6 4% 1 1 —
D. Sallói F 22 7.31 1 — 1 5 3% 0 — —
J. Gilman D 62 7.16 — — 0 14 14% 0 — —
R. Chukwu D 4 7.03 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 0–2 Toronto FC.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?
The model assigned 55% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 19% to a draw, and 25% to an Toronto FC win.