F. Surman
(ast. T. Payne)
15'
58'
(ast. M. Hany)
M. Ziko
67'
(ast. M. Ziko)
M. Salah
82'
(ast. M. Salah)
Trezeguet
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Egypt a 41% win probability (draw 29%, New Zealand 29%). The final result was New Zealand 1–3 Egypt.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
7
1.12
Actual xG
1.96
4
Saves
4
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
3
11
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽F. Surman
· ast. T. Payne
15'
17'
M. Lasheen
S. Singh
20'
C. McCowatt
34'
41'
R. Rabia
/
H. Fathy
58'
ast. M. Hany ·
M. Ziko⚽
C. McCowatt
/ B. Old
66'
67'
ast. M. Ziko ·
M. Salah⚽
S. Singh
/ R. Thomas
76'
L. Cacace
/ J. Randall
76'
76'
Trezeguet
/
O. Marmoush
76'
H. Abdelkarim
/
M. Ziko
82'
ast. M. Salah ·
Trezeguet⚽
85'
Zizo
/
E. Ashour
85'
H. Abdelmaguid
/
M. Salah
T. Payne
/ T. Bindon
85'
E. Just
/ F. De Vries
85'
90'+9
M. Abdelmonem
/
H. Abdelmaguid
Pre-match prediction
29.24%
New
29.01%
X
41.75%
Egypt ←
we assigned to the actual result (Egypt)
41.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.39
1.12
-0.27
1.63
1.96
+0.33
Egypt dominated by xG (1.96 vs 1.12).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
M. Crocombe
G
M. Crocombe
G
13
Liberato Cacace
76'
D
Liberato Cacace
76'
D
5
M. Boxall
D
M. Boxall
D
16
F. Surman
1 ⚽
D
F. Surman
1 ⚽
D
2
T. Payne
1 👟
85'
D
T. Payne
1 👟
85'
D
8
M. Stamenić
M
M. Stamenić
M
6
J. Bell
M
J. Bell
M
11
E. Just
85'
M
E. Just
85'
M
10
S. Singh
76'
M
S. Singh
76'
M
20
C. McCowatt
66'
M
C. McCowatt
66'
M
9
C. Wood
F
C. Wood
F
Bench
12
A. Paulsen
G
A. Paulsen
G
14
A. Rufer
M
A. Rufer
M
19
B. Old
35'
F
B. Old
35'
F
18
B. Waine
F
B. Waine
F
24
Callan Elliot
D
Callan Elliot
D
3
F. de Vries
16'
D
F. de Vries
16'
D
21
J. Randall
25'
F
J. Randall
25'
F
17
K. Barbarouses
F
K. Barbarouses
F
25
L. Bayliss
M
L. Bayliss
M
7
L. Rogerson
F
L. Rogerson
F
22
Michael Woud
G
Michael Woud
G
15
Nando Pijnaker
D
Nando Pijnaker
D
23
R. Thomas
25'
M
R. Thomas
25'
M
26
Tommy Smith
D
Tommy Smith
D
4
Tyler Bindon
16'
D
Tyler Bindon
16'
D
23
Mostafa Shobeir
G
Mostafa Shobeir
G
13
Ahmed Fatouh
D
Ahmed Fatouh
D
14
Hamdi Fathy
41'
D
Hamdi Fathy
41'
D
2
Yasser Ibrahim
D
Yasser Ibrahim
D
3
Mohamed Hany
1 👟
D
Mohamed Hany
1 👟
D
17
Mohanad Lasheen
M
Mohanad Lasheen
M
19
Marwan Attia
M
Marwan Attia
M
8
Emam Ashour
85'
M
Emam Ashour
85'
M
10
Mohamed Salah
1 ⚽
1 👟
85'
M
Mohamed Salah
1 ⚽
1 👟
85'
M
11
Mostafa Zico
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
M
Mostafa Zico
1 ⚽
1 👟
76'
M
22
Omar Marmoush
76'
F
Omar Marmoush
76'
F
Bench
16
Al Mahdi Soliman
G
Al Mahdi Soliman
G
9
H. Abdelkarim
25'
F
H. Abdelkarim
25'
F
12
H. Hassan
F
H. Hassan
F
4
Hossam Abdelmaguid
14'
D
20
Ibrahim Adel
F
Ibrahim Adel
F
15
Karim Hafez
D
Karim Hafez
D
21
Mahmoud Saber
M
Mahmoud Saber
M
6
Mohamed Abdelmonem
2'
D
Mohamed Abdelmonem
2'
D
26
Mohamed Alaa
G
Mohamed Alaa
G
1
Mohamed El Shenawy
G
Mohamed El Shenawy
G
18
Nabil Donga
M
Nabil Donga
M
5
Rami Rabia
60'
D
Rami Rabia
60'
D
24
T. Alaa
D
T. Alaa
D
7
Trézéguet
1 ⚽
25'
F
Trézéguet
1 ⚽
25'
F
25
Zizo
16'
F
Zizo
16'
F
Best on the pitch
Mohamed Salah
M · Egypt
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 32 pass
Mostafa Shobeir
G · Egypt
8.20
· 17 pass
Mostafa Zico
M · Egypt
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 25 pass
Omar Marmoush
F · Egypt
7.70
2 shots
· 21 pass
Hossam Abdelmaguid
D · Egypt
7.50
· 3 pass
F. Surman
D · New
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 45 pass
New Zealand — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Crocombe | G | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Liberato Cacace | D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Boxall | D | 101 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Surman | D | 101 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 45 | 43% | — | — | — |
| T. Payne | D | 85 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Stamenić | M | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Bell | M | 101 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 59 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Just | M | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Singh | M | 76 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| C. McCowatt | M | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Wood | F | 101 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| B. Old | F | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| F. de Vries | D | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Randall | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Thomas | M | 25 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Tyler Bindon | D | 16 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
Egypt — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostafa Shobeir | G | 101 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Fatouh | D | 101 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 60% | 3 | — | — |
| Hamdi Fathy | D | 41 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Yasser Ibrahim | D | 101 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Hany | D | 101 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 57 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Mohanad Lasheen | M | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Marwan Attia | M | 101 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 87 | 82% | — | — | — |
| Emam Ashour | M | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 53 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Salah | M | 85 | 8.70 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Mostafa Zico | M | 76 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Omar Marmoush | F | 76 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| H. Abdelkarim | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Hossam Abdelmaguid | D | 14 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Abdelmonem | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Rami Rabia | D | 60 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Trézéguet | F | 25 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Zizo | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New Zealand vs Egypt?
The final score was New Zealand 1–3 Egypt.
What did the model predict before New Zealand vs Egypt?
The model assigned 29% probability to a New Zealand win, 29% to a draw, and 41% to an Egypt win.