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Newcastle Jets - Kashiwa Reysol

AFC Champions League November 24, 2026 08:45
Newcastle Jets
#16 · 0 pts
vs
Kashiwa Reysol
#7 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.3%
Win
Newcastle Jets
29.0%
Draw
41.7%
Win
Kashiwa Reysol
0.94
Expected xG
1.97

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.13%)
1X2 Result
1 29%
X 29%
2 42%
Double Chance
1X 58%
X2 71%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Kashiwa Reysol a 41% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Newcastle Jets. Expected goals are 0.9 for Newcastle Jets and 2.0 for Kashiwa Reysol (total 2.9), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.13% probability.

Season Stats

Newcastle Jets
0W 0D 3L
Kashiwa Reysol
1W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
2.0
5.0
Conceded
1.0
2.0
Shots OT
3.3
3.7
Corners
6.0
44%
Poss.
62%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
67%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Newcastle Jets
0W 0D 1L · at home
Kashiwa Reysol
0W 1D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
0.5
3.0
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
0%
0%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Newcastle Jets Kashiwa Reysol →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5% 10.7% 10.5% 6.9% 3.4% 1.3%
1 5.1% 10.1% 9.9% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 2.4% 4.8% 4.7% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 — 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
L Kyoto Sanga 5–2
L Gamba Osaka 1–3
L Kashima 7–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 18%
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
D Ratchaburi 0–0
W Port FC 5–1
L Jeonbuk Motors 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 35%

Playing profile

Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
Attack
36
Defence
41
Form
28
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
Attack
49
Defence
67
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

East Region

# Team G Pts
1 Kashima Kashima 3 9
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3 9
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 3 7
4 Johor Darul Takzim FC Johor Darul Takzim FC 3 7
5 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 3 7
6 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3 6
7 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3 4
8 SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG 3 4
9 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 3 4
10 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 3 4
11 Công An Nhân Dân Công An Nhân Dân 3 3
12 Buriram United Buriram United 3 2
13 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3 1
14 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 3 0
15 Port FC Port FC 3 0
16 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 3 0

What's at stake · East Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

Newcastle Jets Kashiwa Reysol
Current #16 #7
→ Newcastle Jets #12 #7
→ Draw #14 #7
→ Kashiwa Reysol #16 #6

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Kashiwa Reysol?
The model gives Newcastle Jets a 29% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 41% for an Kashiwa Reysol win.
How many goals are expected in Newcastle Jets vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Expected goals: Newcastle Jets 0.9, Kashiwa Reysol 2.0 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Newcastle Jets vs Kashiwa Reysol?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.13%.