Newcastle Jets - Sydney
A-League Men
May 16, 2026 11:40
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
19.2°C
💨 4 km/h
· Newcastle
⚡ Pre-match analysis
54.23%
Win
Newcastle Jets
22.95%
Draw
22.82%
Win
Sydney
1.89
1.06
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Newcastle Jets a 54% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Sydney. Expected goals are 1.9 for Newcastle Jets and 1.1 for Sydney (total 2.9), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.5% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Newcastle Jets have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Sydney.
Score Matrix
↕ Newcastle Jets
Sydney →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Newcastle Jets
Attack
47
Defence
61
Form
58
Sydney
Attack
30
Defence
69
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Newcastle Jets
|
26 | 48 |
| 2 |
Adelaide United
|
26 | 43 |
| 3 |
Auckland
|
26 | 42 |
| 4 |
Melbourne Victory
|
26 | 40 |
| 5 |
Sydney
|
26 | 39 |
| 6 |
Melbourne City
|
26 | 38 |
| 7 |
Macarthur
|
26 | 34 |
| 8 |
Wellington Phoenix
|
26 | 33 |
| 9 |
Central Coast Mariners
|
26 | 32 |
| 10 |
Perth Glory
|
26 | 31 |
| 11 |
Brisbane Roar
|
26 | 26 |
| 12 |
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
26 | 21 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Sydney?
The model gives Newcastle Jets a 54% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 22% for an Sydney win.
How many goals are expected in Newcastle Jets vs Sydney?
Expected goals: Newcastle Jets 1.9, Sydney 1.1 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Newcastle Jets vs Sydney?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.5%.