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Newcastle - Bayer Leverkusen

Friendlies Clubs August 15, 2026 16:00
Newcastle
vs
Bayer Leverkusen
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.94%
Win
Newcastle
31.49%
Draw
35.57%
Win
Bayer Leverkusen
1.51
Expected xG
2.22

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (8.65%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 31%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 67%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bayer Leverkusen a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Newcastle. Expected goals are 1.5 for Newcastle and 2.2 for Bayer Leverkusen (total 3.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.65% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Newcastle have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bayer Leverkusen.

Season Stats

Newcastle
1W 1D 0L
Bayer Leverkusen
3W 0D 0L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
4.7
0.5
Conceded
0.3
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
33%
50%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Newcastle
1W 0D 0L · at home
Bayer Leverkusen
2W 0D 0L · away
3.0
gls/g
5.0
0.0
Conceded
0.5
100%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Newcastle Bayer Leverkusen →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4% 5.3% 5.9% 4.4% 2.4% 1.1%
1 3.6% 8.0% 8.9% 6.6% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.7% 6.1% 6.7% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2%
3 1.4% 3.0% 3.4% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Newcastle Newcastle
D Gateshead 1–1
W Darlington 1883 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
W Genk 4–0
W Kickers Offenbach 1–3
W SF Baumberg 0–7
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Newcastle Newcastle
Attack
49
Defence
87
Form
74
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
Attack
87
Defence
87
Form
91
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Newcastle
1
Draw
0
Bayer Leverkusen
10 Dec 2025 Champions League 2–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Newcastle vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The model gives Newcastle a 32% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 35% for an Bayer Leverkusen win.
How many goals are expected in Newcastle vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.5, Bayer Leverkusen 2.2 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Newcastle vs Bayer Leverkusen?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.65%.