Premier League
· Regular Season - 33
April 18, 2026 18:00
W. Osula
68'
32'
(ast. Rayan)
M. Tavernier
85'
(ast. Evanilson)
A. Truffert
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Newcastle a 40% win probability (draw 25%, Bournemouth 33%). The final result was Newcastle 1–2 Bournemouth. In 2 previous meetings, Newcastle have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Bournemouth.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
3
1.65
Actual xG
3.03
1
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
2
Corners
3
14
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
32'
ast. Rayan ·
M. Tavernier⚽
L. Hall
/ K. Trippier
46'
52'
R. Christie
55'
M. Tavernier
A. Elanga
/ J. Murphy
62'
J. Ramsey
/ Bruno Guimaraes
62'
65'
T. Adams
/
R. Christie
66'
D. Brooks
/
E. J. Kroupi
⚽W. Osula
68'
V. Livramento
/ D. Burn
74'
S. Botman
77'
78'
B. Doak
/
Rayan
J. Murphy
80'
82'
A. Scott
85'
ast. Evanilson ·
A. Truffert⚽
S. Tonali
/ N. Woltemade
86'
89'
E. Unal
/
Evanilson
89'
A. Toth
/
M. Tavernier
90'+4
D. Petrovic
Pre-match prediction
40.79%
Newcastle
25.7%
X
33.51%
Bournemouth ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bournemouth)
33.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.50
1.65
+0.15
1.68
3.03
+1.35
Bournemouth dominated by xG (3.03 vs 1.65).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
32
Aaron Ramsdale
G
Aaron Ramsdale
G
3
Lewis Hall
45'
D
Lewis Hall
45'
D
4
Sven Botman
D
Sven Botman
D
12
Malick Thiaw
D
Malick Thiaw
D
21
V. Livramento
74'
D
41
Jacob Ramsey
62'
M
Jacob Ramsey
62'
M
67
M
8
Sandro Tonali
86'
M
Sandro Tonali
86'
M
11
H. Barnes
F
H. Barnes
F
18
William Osula
1 ⚽
F
William Osula
1 ⚽
F
20
Anthony Elanga
62'
F
Anthony Elanga
62'
F
Bench
39
Bruno Guimarães
37'
M
Bruno Guimarães
37'
M
33
D. Burn
25'
D
D. Burn
25'
D
23
Jacob Murphy
37'
M
Jacob Murphy
37'
M
28
Joe Willock
M
Joe Willock
M
2
K. Trippier
54'
D
K. Trippier
54'
D
1
Nick Pope
G
Nick Pope
G
27
Nick Woltemade
13'
F
Nick Woltemade
13'
F
9
Yoane Wissa
F
Yoane Wissa
F
1
D. Petrovic
G
3
A. Truffert
1 ⚽
D
5
D
23
J. Hill
D
20
Álex Jiménez
D
Álex Jiménez
D
10
R. Christie
65'
M
8
A. Scott
M
16
M. Tavernier
1 ⚽
89'
M
22
E. Kroupi
66'
M
E. Kroupi
66'
M
37
Rayan
1 👟
78'
M
Rayan
1 👟
78'
M
9
Evanilson
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
27
A. Toth
10'
M
7
D. Brooks
33'
M
12
T. Adams
34'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Scott
M · Bournemouth
8.70
· 44 pass
D · Bournemouth
7.70
· 53 pass
Rayan
M · Bournemouth
7.60
1 👟
1 shots
· 28 pass
J. Hill
D · Bournemouth
7.60
2 shots
· 42 pass
M. Tavernier
M · Bournemouth
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
William Osula
F · Newcastle
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
Newcastle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ramsdale | G | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Lewis Hall | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Sven Botman | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 46% | — | 1 | — |
| Malick Thiaw | D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Livramento | D | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Jacob Ramsey | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 57 | 44% | 2 | — | — | |
| Sandro Tonali | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Barnes | F | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| William Osula | F | 99 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Anthony Elanga | F | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Guimarães | M | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Burn | D | 25 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Murphy | M | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Trippier | D | 54 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Nick Woltemade | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Bournemouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Petrovic | G | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Truffert | D | 99 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 99 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 42% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Hill | D | 99 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Álex Jiménez | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 26% | 6 | — | — |
| R. Christie | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Scott | M | 99 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 42% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Tavernier | M | 89 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Kroupi | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Rayan | M | 78 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Evanilson | F | 89 | 5.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Toth | M | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Brooks | M | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Adams | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
The final score was Newcastle 1–2 Bournemouth.
What did the model predict before Newcastle vs Bournemouth?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Newcastle win, 25% to a draw, and 33% to an Bournemouth win.