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Premier League · Regular Season - 35 May 02, 2026 16:00 St James' Park, Newcastle
Newcastle
#9 · 8 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Brighton
#3 · 10 pts
W. Osula (ast. J. Murphy) 12'
D. Burn (ast. Bruno Guimaraes) 24'
H. Barnes 90'+5
61' (ast. D. Welbeck) J. Hinshelwood
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brighton a 50% win probability (draw 22%, Newcastle 26%). The final result was Newcastle 3–1 Brighton. In 1 previous meetings, Newcastle have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Brighton.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
2.99
Actual xG
1.64
3
Saves
4
33%
Possession
67%
2
Corners
10
11
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽W. Osula · ast. J. Murphy
12'
18'
J. Veltman / M. Wieffer ↕
22'
J. Veltman
⚽D. Burn · ast. Bruno Guimaraes
24'
39'
K. Mitoma
D. Burn
53'
61'
ast. D. Welbeck · J. Hinshelwood⚽
↕ J. Willock / L. Hall
68'
↕ J. Murphy / H. Barnes
68'
↕ W. Osula / Y. Wissa
68'
80'
C. Kostoulas / C. Baleba ↕
80'
G. Rutter / D. Welbeck ↕
81'
M. De Cuyper / J. Veltman ↕
S. Tonali
85'
87'
F. Hurzeler
Y. Wissa
87'
88'
L. Dunk / J. Hinshelwood ↕
↕ Bruno Guimaraes / J. Ramsey
90'+1
90'+2
J. P. van Hecke
⚽H. Barnes
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
26.41%
Newcastle ←
22.87%
X
50.73%
Brighton
we assigned to the actual result (Newcastle) 26.41% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Newcastle
1.12
2.99
+1.87
Brighton
2.02
1.64
-0.38
Newcastle dominated by xG (2.99 vs 1.64). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 5 15
2 Arsenal Arsenal 5 12
3 Brighton Brighton 5 10
4 Brentford Brentford 5 9
5 Leeds Leeds 5 9
6 Liverpool Liverpool 5 9
7 Everton Everton 5 9
8 Hull City Hull City 5 8
9 Newcastle Newcastle 5 8
10 Chelsea Chelsea 5 7
11 Ipswich Ipswich 5 6
12 Manchester United Manchester United 5 5
13 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 5 5
14 Sunderland Sunderland 5 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 5 4
16 Aston Villa Aston Villa 5 4
17 Bournemouth Bournemouth 5 3
18 Coventry Coventry 5 3
19 Fulham Fulham 5 2
20 Tottenham Tottenham 5 2
Lineups
Newcastle Newcastle 4-2-3-1
1 N. Pope N. Pope G 7.50
33 Dan Burn Dan Burn 1 ⚽ D 7.30
4 S. Botman S. Botman D 7.60
12 M. Thiaw M. Thiaw D 6.90
67
D 7.00
8 S. Tonali S. Tonali M 7.20
39 Bruno Guimarães Bruno Guimarães 1 👟 M 7.50
7 Joelinton Joelinton M 6.60
28 J. Willock J. Willock 68' M 6.20
23 J. Murphy J. Murphy 1 👟 68' M 7.50
18 William Osula William Osula 1 ⚽ 68' F 7.60
Bench
32 Aaron Ramsdale Aaron Ramsdale G
20 A. Elanga A. Elanga F
10 A. Gordon A. Gordon F
11 H. Barnes H. Barnes 1 ⚽ 28' M 6.50
41 J. Ramsey J. Ramsey 5' M
2 K. Trippier K. Trippier D
3 L. Hall L. Hall 28' D 7.00
27 Nick Woltemade Nick Woltemade F
9 Y. Wissa Y. Wissa 28' F 6.30
Brighton Brighton 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.20
24 F. Kadıoğlu F. Kadıoğlu D 5.60
21
D 6.50
6 J. van Hecke J. van Hecke D 6.50
27 Mats Wieffer Mats Wieffer 18' D 6.30
17 C. Baleba C. Baleba 80' M 7.00
30 P. Groß P. Groß M 6.50
22
K. Mitoma M 6.00
13 J. Hinshelwood J. Hinshelwood 1 ⚽ 88' M 7.50
11 Yankuba Minteh Yankuba Minteh M 6.00
18 D. Welbeck D. Welbeck 1 👟 80' F 6.90
Bench
10 G. Rutter G. Rutter 16' F 7.00
34 J. Veltman J. Veltman 63' D 6.20
5 L. Dunk L. Dunk 8' D 6.30
29 M. De Cuyper M. De Cuyper 15' D 6.70
26 Y. Ayari Y. Ayari M
Best on the pitch
S. Botman
S. Botman
D · Newcastle
7.60
1 shots · 27 pass
William Osula
William Osula
F · Newcastle
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots · 2 pass
N. Pope
N. Pope
G · Newcastle
7.50
· 29 pass
Bruno Guimarães
Bruno Guimarães
M · Newcastle
7.50
1 👟
· 17 pass
J. Murphy
J. Murphy
M · Newcastle
7.50
1 👟
· 6 pass
J. Hinshelwood
J. Hinshelwood
M · Brighton
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots · 14 pass
Newcastle Newcastle — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Pope G 96 7.50 — — — 29 10% — — —
Dan Burn D 96 7.30 1 — 1 22 11% 2 1 —
S. Botman D 96 7.60 — — 1 27 21% 2 — —
M. Thiaw D 96 6.90 — — 1 25 19% 1 — —
D 96 7.00 — — — 19 15% 1 — —
S. Tonali M 96 7.20 — — — 29 22% 1 1 —
Bruno Guimarães M 91 7.50 — 1 — 17 10% 1 — —
Joelinton M 96 6.60 — — 1 23 20% 2 — —
J. Willock M 68 6.20 — — 2 14 11% — — —
J. Murphy M 68 7.50 — 1 — 6 6% — — —
William Osula F 68 7.60 1 — 4 2 2% — — —
H. Barnes M 28 6.50 1 — — 5 5% — — —
J. Ramsey M 5 — — — — 2 2% — — —
L. Hall D 28 7.00 — — — 5 3% — — —
Y. Wissa F 28 6.30 — — 1 4 — 1 1 —
Brighton Brighton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 7.20 — — — 36 20% — — —
F. Kadıoğlu D 96 5.60 — — — 51 44% — — —
D 96 6.50 — — — 82 68% 2 — —
J. van Hecke D 96 6.50 — — — 72 59% 2 1 —
Mats Wieffer D 18 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
C. Baleba M 80 7.00 — — 1 33 29% 3 — —
P. Groß M 96 6.50 — — — 69 63% — — —
K. Mitoma M 96 6.00 — — — 37 34% — 1 —
J. Hinshelwood M 88 7.50 1 — 4 14 12% — — —
Yankuba Minteh M 96 6.00 — — 2 23 19% 1 — —
D. Welbeck F 80 6.90 — 1 2 12 10% 1 — —
G. Rutter F 16 7.00 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
J. Veltman D 63 6.20 — — — 27 22% — 1 —
L. Dunk D 8 6.30 — — — — — — — —
M. De Cuyper D 15 6.70 — — — 5 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Newcastle vs Brighton?
The final score was Newcastle 3–1 Brighton.
What did the model predict before Newcastle vs Brighton?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Newcastle win, 22% to a draw, and 50% to an Brighton win.