W. Osula
(ast. J. Murphy)
12'
D. Burn
(ast. Bruno Guimaraes)
24'
H. Barnes
90'+5
61'
(ast. D. Welbeck)
J. Hinshelwood
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brighton a 50% win probability (draw 22%, Newcastle 26%). The final result was Newcastle 3–1 Brighton. In 1 previous meetings, Newcastle have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Brighton.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
2.99
Actual xG
1.64
3
Saves
4
33%
Possession
67%
2
Corners
10
11
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽W. Osula
· ast. J. Murphy
12'
18'
J. Veltman
/
M. Wieffer
22'
J. Veltman
⚽D. Burn
· ast. Bruno Guimaraes
24'
39'
K. Mitoma
D. Burn
53'
61'
ast. D. Welbeck ·
J. Hinshelwood⚽
J. Willock
/ L. Hall
68'
J. Murphy
/ H. Barnes
68'
W. Osula
/ Y. Wissa
68'
80'
C. Kostoulas
/
C. Baleba
80'
G. Rutter
/
D. Welbeck
81'
M. De Cuyper
/
J. Veltman
S. Tonali
85'
87'
F. Hurzeler
Y. Wissa
87'
88'
L. Dunk
/
J. Hinshelwood
Bruno Guimaraes
/ J. Ramsey
90'+1
90'+2
J. P. van Hecke
⚽H. Barnes
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
26.41%
Newcastle ←
22.87%
X
50.73%
Brighton
we assigned to the actual result (Newcastle)
26.41%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.12
2.99
+1.87
2.02
1.64
-0.38
Newcastle dominated by xG (2.99 vs 1.64).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Nick Pope
G
Nick Pope
G
33
Dan Burn
1 ⚽
D
Dan Burn
1 ⚽
D
4
Sven Botman
D
Sven Botman
D
12
Malick Thiaw
D
Malick Thiaw
D
67
D
8
S. Tonali
M
S. Tonali
M
39
Bruno Guimarães
1 👟
M
Bruno Guimarães
1 👟
M
7
Joelinton
M
Joelinton
M
28
Joe Willock
68'
M
Joe Willock
68'
M
23
Jacob Murphy
1 👟
68'
M
Jacob Murphy
1 👟
68'
M
18
W. Osula
1 ⚽
68'
F
W. Osula
1 ⚽
68'
F
Bench
32
Aaron Ramsdale
G
Aaron Ramsdale
G
10
A. Gordon
F
A. Gordon
F
20
Anthony Elanga
F
Anthony Elanga
F
11
H. Barnes
1 ⚽
28'
M
H. Barnes
1 ⚽
28'
M
41
Jacob Ramsey
5'
M
Jacob Ramsey
5'
M
2
Kieran Trippier
D
Kieran Trippier
D
3
Lewis Hall
28'
D
Lewis Hall
28'
D
27
Nick Woltemade
F
Nick Woltemade
F
9
Y. Wissa
28'
F
Y. Wissa
28'
F
1
G
24
F. Kadıoğlu
D
F. Kadıoğlu
D
21
D
6
Jan Paul van Hecke
D
Jan Paul van Hecke
D
27
Mats Wieffer
18'
D
Mats Wieffer
18'
D
17
C. Baleba
80'
M
C. Baleba
80'
M
30
Pascal Groß
M
Pascal Groß
M
22
K. Mitoma
M
13
Jack Hinshelwood
1 ⚽
88'
M
Jack Hinshelwood
1 ⚽
88'
M
11
Yankuba Minteh
M
Yankuba Minteh
M
18
D. Welbeck
1 👟
80'
F
D. Welbeck
1 👟
80'
F
Bench
10
Georginio Rutter
16'
F
Georginio Rutter
16'
F
34
Joël Veltman
63'
D
Joël Veltman
63'
D
5
L. Dunk
8'
D
L. Dunk
8'
D
29
Maxim De Cuyper
15'
D
Maxim De Cuyper
15'
D
26
Yasin Ayari
M
Yasin Ayari
M
Best on the pitch
Sven Botman
D · Newcastle
7.60
1 shots
· 27 pass
W. Osula
F · Newcastle
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 2 pass
Nick Pope
G · Newcastle
7.50
· 29 pass
Bruno Guimarães
M · Newcastle
7.50
1 👟
· 17 pass
Jacob Murphy
M · Newcastle
7.50
1 👟
· 6 pass
Jack Hinshelwood
M · Brighton
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 14 pass
Newcastle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Pope | G | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Dan Burn | D | 96 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sven Botman | D | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Malick Thiaw | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — | |
| S. Tonali | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Guimarães | M | 91 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Joelinton | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Joe Willock | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Murphy | M | 68 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| W. Osula | F | 68 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| H. Barnes | M | 28 | 6.50 | 1 | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Ramsey | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Lewis Hall | D | 28 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Y. Wissa | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | — | 1 | 1 | — |
Brighton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| F. Kadıoğlu | D | 96 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | — | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 82 | 68% | 2 | — | — | |
| Jan Paul van Hecke | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 72 | 59% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mats Wieffer | D | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. Baleba | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Pascal Groß | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 69 | 63% | — | — | — |
| K. Mitoma | M | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Jack Hinshelwood | M | 88 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Yankuba Minteh | M | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Welbeck | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Georginio Rutter | F | 16 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Joël Veltman | D | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Dunk | D | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxim De Cuyper | D | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Newcastle vs Brighton?
The final score was Newcastle 3–1 Brighton.
What did the model predict before Newcastle vs Brighton?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Newcastle win, 22% to a draw, and 50% to an Brighton win.