Newcastle - Everton
Friendlies Clubs
August 12, 2026 18:15
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.18%
Win
Newcastle
32.33%
Draw
31.49%
Win
Everton
1.44
0.73
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(9.33%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
32%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
64%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Newcastle a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Everton. Expected goals are 1.4 for Newcastle and 0.7 for Everton (total 2.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.33% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Newcastle have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Everton.
Season Stats
1W
1D
1L
1W
1D
1L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.3
1.7
Conceded
0.3
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
33%
67%
O 2.5
33%
67%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
1W
0D
0L
· at home
1W
1D
1L
· away
3.0
gls/g
1.3
0.0
Conceded
0.3
100%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
33%
100%
O 2.5
33%
0%
O 3.5
33%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
Clean Sht
67%
0%
Failed to Score
67%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Newcastle
Everton →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.5% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 16.5% | 12.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 11.9% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Newcastle
Attack
49
Defence
87
Form
74
Everton
Attack
32
Defence
91
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
The model gives Newcastle a 36% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an Everton win.
How many goals are expected in Newcastle vs Everton?
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.4, Everton 0.7 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Newcastle vs Everton?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.33%.