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Premier League · Regular Season - 5 September 19, 2026 16:00 St James' Park, Newcastle
Newcastle
#12 · 12 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Hull City
#13 · 11 pts
Joe Willock (ast. Harvey Barnes) 3'
Lewis Hall (ast. Harvey Barnes) 7'
67' (ast. Mohamed Belloumi) Mohamed Ali Cho
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hull City a 37% win probability (draw 29%, Newcastle 32%). The final result was Newcastle 2–1 Hull City.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
21
5
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
3
56%
Possession
44%
4
Corners
7
14
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Joe Willock · ast. Harvey Barnes
3'
⚽Lewis Hall · ast. Harvey Barnes
7'
29'
Matt Crooks
39'
Mohamed Belloumi
45'+2
Konstantinos Tzolakis
⚽Yoane Wissa (missed pen.)
45'+2
Jacob Murphy
45'+3
45'
Tim Iroegbunam / Matt Crooks ↕
49'
Ryan Giles
63'
Mohamed Ali Cho / Sorba Thomas ↕
↕ Sean Steur / Fabian Schär
66'
67'
ast. Mohamed Belloumi · Mohamed Ali Cho⚽
↕ Matias Fernandez-Pardo / Bazoumana Touré
74'
78'
Lucas Gourna-Douath / Regan Slater ↕
78'
Robinio Vaz / John Egan ↕
83'
Joe Gelhardt / Mohamed Belloumi ↕
↕ Joe Willock / Aladji Bamba
87'
Pre-match prediction
32.63%
Newcastle ←
29.64%
X
37.72%
Hull
we assigned to the actual result (Newcastle) 32.63% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Newcastle
0.93
—
—
Hull
1.86
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 10 27
2 Brighton Brighton 10 22
3 Manchester City Manchester City 10 21
4 Liverpool Liverpool 10 18
5 Chelsea Chelsea 10 16
6 Everton Everton 10 16
7 Bournemouth Bournemouth 10 15
8 Brentford Brentford 10 14
9 Leeds Leeds 10 14
10 Aston Villa Aston Villa 10 13
11 Tottenham Tottenham 10 12
12 Newcastle Newcastle 10 12
13 Hull City Hull City 10 11
14 Ipswich Ipswich 10 11
15 Fulham Fulham 10 10
16 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 10 9
17 Coventry Coventry 10 9
18 Manchester United Manchester United 10 8
19 Sunderland Sunderland 10 8
20 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 10 7
Lineups
Newcastle Newcastle 4-2-3-1
21 L. Horníček L. Horníček G 6.70
3 L. Hall L. Hall 1 ⚽ D 7.22
4 S. Botman S. Botman D 7.27
12 M. Thiaw M. Thiaw D 7.03
67 L. Miley L. Miley D 7.03
28 J. Willock J. Willock 1 ⚽ 87' M 8.20
14 Sean Steur Sean Steur 66' M 6.72
11 H. Barnes H. Barnes 2 👟 M 8.22
20 M. Fernandez-Pardo M. Fernandez-Pardo 74' M 6.35
23 J. Murphy J. Murphy M 6.23
9 Y. Wissa Y. Wissa F 6.49
Bench
8 A. Bamba A. Bamba 3' M 6.46
17 B. Touré B. Touré 16' F 6.36
5 F. Schär F. Schär 24' D 6.82
44 K. Thompson K. Thompson F 0.00
48 Miodrag Pivaš Miodrag Pivaš D 0.00
76 M. Miley M. Miley M 0.00
77 M. Mills M. Mills F 0.00
1 N. Pope N. Pope G 0.00
49 V. Salia V. Salia F 0.00
Hull City Hull City 5-4-1
19 K. Tzolakis K. Tzolakis G 7.09
3 R. Giles R. Giles D 6.27
22 L. Herrington L. Herrington D 6.81
15 J. Egan J. Egan 78' D 6.64
6 S. Ajayi S. Ajayi D 6.34
2 L. Coyle L. Coyle D 5.69
7 S. Thomas S. Thomas 63' M 5.90
27 R. Slater R. Slater 78' M 6.20
25 M. Crooks M. Crooks 45' M 6.11
10 M. Belloumi M. Belloumi 1 👟 83' M 6.82
9 O. McBurnie O. McBurnie F 6.20
Bench
12 D. Phillips D. Phillips G 0.00
21 E. Stroud E. Stroud M 0.00
11 J. Gelhardt J. Gelhardt 7' F 6.67
14 J. Hjertø-Dahl J. Hjertø-Dahl M 0.00
29 L. Gourna-Douath L. Gourna-Douath 12' M 6.06
50 M. Cho M. Cho 1 ⚽ 27' F 7.52
17 P. McNair P. McNair D 0.00
47 R. Vaz R. Vaz 12' F 6.39
42 T. Iroegbunam T. Iroegbunam 45' M 5.99
Best on the pitch
H. Barnes
H. Barnes
M · Newcastle
8.22
2 👟
2 shots · 26 pass
J. Willock
J. Willock
M · Newcastle
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 50 pass
M. Cho
M. Cho
F · Hull
7.52
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
S. Botman
S. Botman
D · Newcastle
7.27
1 shots · 73 pass
L. Hall
L. Hall
D · Newcastle
7.22
1 ⚽
2 shots · 66 pass
K. Tzolakis
K. Tzolakis
G · Hull
7.09
· 25 pass
Newcastle Newcastle — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Horníček G 90 6.70 — — 0 23 14% 0 — —
L. Hall D 90 7.22 1 — 2 66 61% 1 — —
S. Botman D 90 7.27 — — 1 73 67% 1 — —
M. Thiaw D 90 7.03 — — 0 83 75% 0 — —
L. Miley D 90 7.03 — — 0 66 63% 4 — —
J. Willock M 87 8.20 1 — 2 50 46% 1 — —
Sean Steur M 66 6.72 — — 0 56 50% 2 — —
H. Barnes M 90 8.22 — 2 2 26 23% 0 — —
M. Fernandez-Pardo M 74 6.35 — — 1 11 8% 1 — —
J. Murphy M 90 6.23 — — 2 17 14% 2 1 —
Y. Wissa F 90 6.49 — — 1 22 16% 0 — —
A. Bamba M 3 6.46 — — 0 1 1% 2 — —
B. Touré F 16 6.36 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
F. Schär D 24 6.82 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
Hull City Hull City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Tzolakis G 90 7.09 — — 0 25 16% 1 1 —
R. Giles D 90 6.27 — — 0 22 18% 1 1 —
L. Herrington D 90 6.81 — — 1 50 46% 1 — —
J. Egan D 78 6.64 — — 1 20 18% 2 — —
S. Ajayi D 90 6.34 — — 1 45 37% 2 — —
L. Coyle D 90 5.69 — — 0 40 29% 1 — —
S. Thomas M 63 5.90 — — 2 19 15% 1 — —
R. Slater M 78 6.20 — — 1 26 22% 0 — —
M. Crooks M 45 6.11 — — 0 13 12% 2 1 —
M. Belloumi M 83 6.82 — 1 5 30 24% 6 1 —
O. McBurnie F 90 6.20 — — 3 24 17% 0 — —
J. Gelhardt F 7 6.67 — — 3 8 6% 0 — —
L. Gourna-Douath M 12 6.06 — — 1 11 9% 1 — —
M. Cho F 27 7.52 1 — 1 6 4% 0 — —
R. Vaz F 12 6.39 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
T. Iroegbunam M 45 5.99 — — 2 21 16% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Newcastle vs Hull City?
The final score was Newcastle 2–1 Hull City.
What did the model predict before Newcastle vs Hull City?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Newcastle win, 29% to a draw, and 37% to an Hull City win.