Newcastle 2–1 Hull City — pre-match prediction — Premier League — September 19, 2026

← Premier League

Premier League · Regular Season - 5 September 19, 2026 16:00 St James' Park, Newcastle

Newcastle

#9 · 8 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Hull City

#8 · 8 pts

Joe Willock (ast. Harvey Barnes) 3'

Lewis Hall (ast. Harvey Barnes) 7'

67' (ast. Mohamed Belloumi) Mohamed Ali Cho

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hull City a 37% win probability (draw 29%, Newcastle 32%). The final result was Newcastle 2–1 Hull City.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

56%

Possession

44%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Joe Willock · ast. Harvey Barnes

⚽Lewis Hall · ast. Harvey Barnes

29'

Matt Crooks

39'

Mohamed Belloumi

45'+2

Konstantinos Tzolakis

⚽Yoane Wissa (missed pen.)

45'+2

Jacob Murphy

45'+3

45'

Tim Iroegbunam / Matt Crooks ↕

49'

Ryan Giles

63'

Mohamed Ali Cho / Sorba Thomas ↕

↕ Sean Steur / Fabian Schär

66'

67'

ast. Mohamed Belloumi · Mohamed Ali Cho⚽

↕ Matias Fernandez-Pardo / Bazoumana Touré

74'

78'

Lucas Gourna-Douath / Regan Slater ↕

78'

Robinio Vaz / John Egan ↕

83'

Joe Gelhardt / Mohamed Belloumi ↕

↕ Joe Willock / Aladji Bamba

87'

Pre-match prediction

32.63%

Newcastle ←

29.64%

37.72%

Hull

we assigned to the actual result (Newcastle) 32.63% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Newcastle

0.93

—

Hull

1.86

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	15
2	Arsenal	5	12
3	Brighton	5	10
4	Brentford	5	9
5	Leeds	5	9
6	Liverpool	5	9
7	Everton	5	9
8	Hull City	5	8
9	Newcastle	5	8
10	Chelsea	5	7
11	Ipswich	5	6
12	Manchester United	5	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	5
14	Sunderland	5	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	3
18	Coventry	5	3
19	Fulham	5	2
20	Tottenham	5	2

Lineups

Newcastle 4-2-3-1

L. Horníček G 6.70

L. Hall 1 ⚽ D 7.22

S. Botman D 7.27

M. Thiaw D 7.03

L. Miley D 7.03

J. Willock 1 ⚽ 87' M 8.20

Sean Steur 66' M 6.72

H. Barnes 2 👟 M 8.22

M. Fernandez-Pardo 74' M 6.35

J. Murphy M 6.23

Y. Wissa F 6.49

Bench

A. Bamba 3' M 6.46

B. Touré 16' F 6.36

F. Schär 24' D 6.82

K. Thompson F 0.00

Miodrag Pivaš D 0.00

M. Miley M 0.00

M. Mills F 0.00

N. Pope G 0.00

V. Salia F 0.00

Hull City 5-4-1

K. Tzolakis G 7.09

R. Giles D 6.27

L. Herrington D 6.81

J. Egan 78' D 6.64

S. Ajayi D 6.34

L. Coyle D 5.69

S. Thomas 63' M 5.90

R. Slater 78' M 6.20

M. Crooks 45' M 6.11

M. Belloumi 1 👟 83' M 6.82

O. McBurnie F 6.20

Bench

D. Phillips G 0.00

E. Stroud M 0.00

J. Gelhardt 7' F 6.67

J. Hjertø-Dahl M 0.00

L. Gourna-Douath 12' M 6.06

M. Cho 1 ⚽ 27' F 7.52

P. McNair D 0.00

R. Vaz 12' F 6.39

T. Iroegbunam 45' M 5.99

Best on the pitch

H. Barnes

M · Newcastle

8.22

2 👟

2 shots · 26 pass

J. Willock

M · Newcastle

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 50 pass

M. Cho

F · Hull

7.52

1 ⚽

1 shots · 6 pass

S. Botman

D · Newcastle

7.27

1 shots · 73 pass

L. Hall

D · Newcastle

7.22

1 ⚽

2 shots · 66 pass

K. Tzolakis

G · Hull

7.09

· 25 pass

Newcastle — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
L. Horníček	G	90	6.70	—	—	0	23	14%	0	—	—
L. Hall	D	90	7.22	1	—	2	66	61%	1	—	—
S. Botman	D	90	7.27	—	—	1	73	67%	1	—	—
M. Thiaw	D	90	7.03	—	—	0	83	75%	0	—	—
L. Miley	D	90	7.03	—	—	0	66	63%	4	—	—
J. Willock	M	87	8.20	1	—	2	50	46%	1	—	—
Sean Steur	M	66	6.72	—	—	0	56	50%	2	—	—
H. Barnes	M	90	8.22	—	2	2	26	23%	0	—	—
M. Fernandez-Pardo	M	74	6.35	—	—	1	11	8%	1	—	—
J. Murphy	M	90	6.23	—	—	2	17	14%	2	1	—
Y. Wissa	F	90	6.49	—	—	1	22	16%	0	—	—
A. Bamba	M	3	6.46	—	—	0	1	1%	2	—	—
B. Touré	F	16	6.36	—	—	0	1	0%	0	—	—
F. Schär	D	24	6.82	—	—	0	7	7%	0	—	—

Hull City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
K. Tzolakis	G	90	7.09	—	—	0	25	16%	1	1	—
R. Giles	D	90	6.27	—	—	0	22	18%	1	1	—
L. Herrington	D	90	6.81	—	—	1	50	46%	1	—	—
J. Egan	D	78	6.64	—	—	1	20	18%	2	—	—
S. Ajayi	D	90	6.34	—	—	1	45	37%	2	—	—
L. Coyle	D	90	5.69	—	—	0	40	29%	1	—	—
S. Thomas	M	63	5.90	—	—	2	19	15%	1	—	—
R. Slater	M	78	6.20	—	—	1	26	22%	0	—	—
M. Crooks	M	45	6.11	—	—	0	13	12%	2	1	—
M. Belloumi	M	83	6.82	—	1	5	30	24%	6	1	—
O. McBurnie	F	90	6.20	—	—	3	24	17%	0	—	—
J. Gelhardt	F	7	6.67	—	—	3	8	6%	0	—	—
L. Gourna-Douath	M	12	6.06	—	—	1	11	9%	1	—	—
M. Cho	F	27	7.52	1	—	1	6	4%	0	—	—
R. Vaz	F	12	6.39	—	—	0	8	6%	0	—	—
T. Iroegbunam	M	45	5.99	—	—	2	21	16%	2	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Newcastle vs Hull City?

The final score was Newcastle 2–1 Hull City.

What did the model predict before Newcastle vs Hull City?

The model assigned 32% probability to a Newcastle win, 29% to a draw, and 37% to an Hull City win.