A. Elanga
(ast. W. Osula)
5'
J. Willock
(ast. Y. Wissa)
57'
55'
(ast. R. Gravenberch)
C. Gakpo
(pen.)
90'+9
D. Szoboszlai
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Liverpool a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Newcastle 31%). The final result was Newcastle 2–2 Liverpool. In 2 previous meetings, Newcastle have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Liverpool.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
7
1.42
Actual xG
2.23
5
Saves
3
39%
Possession
61%
2
Corners
6
18
Tackles
16
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽A. Elanga
· ast. W. Osula
5'
Y. Wissa
25'
30'
M. Kerkez
30'
J. Frimpong
L. Miley
34'
55'
ast. R. Gravenberch ·
C. Gakpo⚽
S. Steur
/ J. Ramsey
56'
W. Osula
/ J. Willock
56'
⚽J. Willock
· ast. Y. Wissa
57'
63'
A. Mac Allister
/
F. Wirtz
63'
V. Munoz
/
R. Ngumoha
J. Ramsey
65'
70'
R. Araujo
/
J. Jacquet
A. Elanga
/ J. Murphy
76'
L. Miley
/ A. Bamba
76'
78'
L. Koumas
/
R. Gravenberch
J. Murphy
79'
L. Hornicek
90'+3
Y. Wissa
/ F. Schar
90'+5
90'+9
(pen.)
D. Szoboszlai⚽
90'
V. van Dijk
Pre-match prediction
31.22%
Newcastle
31.77%
X ←
37.02%
Liverpool
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
1.42
-0.36
1.18
2.23
+1.05
Liverpool dominated by xG (2.23 vs 1.42).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
21
L. Horníček
G
L. Horníček
G
3
L. Hall
D
L. Hall
D
4
S. Botman
D
S. Botman
D
12
M. Thiaw
D
M. Thiaw
D
37
A. Dedić
D
A. Dedić
D
67
L. Miley
76'
M
L. Miley
76'
M
14
Sean Steur
56'
M
Sean Steur
56'
M
11
H. Barnes
M
H. Barnes
M
9
Y. Wissa
1 👟
89'
M
Y. Wissa
1 👟
89'
M
19
A. Elanga
1 ⚽
76'
M
A. Elanga
1 ⚽
76'
M
10
W. Osula
1 👟
56'
F
W. Osula
1 👟
56'
F
Bench
8
A. Bamba
14'
M
A. Bamba
14'
M
17
B. Touré
F
B. Touré
F
24
E. Jaouen
G
E. Jaouen
G
5
F. Schär
1'
D
F. Schär
1'
D
23
J. Murphy
14'
M
J. Murphy
14'
M
41
J. Ramsey
34'
M
J. Ramsey
34'
M
28
J. Willock
1 ⚽
34'
M
J. Willock
1 ⚽
34'
M
51
L. Shahar
D
L. Shahar
D
27
N. Woltemade
F
N. Woltemade
F
1
Alisson Becker
G
Alisson Becker
G
6
M. Kerkez
D
M. Kerkez
D
4
V. van Dijk
D
V. van Dijk
D
5
J. Jacquet
70'
D
J. Jacquet
70'
D
30
J. Frimpong
D
J. Frimpong
D
38
R. Gravenberch
1 👟
78'
M
R. Gravenberch
1 👟
78'
M
8
D. Szoboszlai
1 ⚽
M
D. Szoboszlai
1 ⚽
M
18
C. Gakpo
1 ⚽
M
C. Gakpo
1 ⚽
M
7
F. Wirtz
63'
M
F. Wirtz
63'
M
73
R. Ngumoha
63'
M
R. Ngumoha
63'
M
9
A. Isak
F
A. Isak
F
Bench
10
A. Mac Allister
27'
M
A. Mac Allister
27'
M
25
G. Mamardashvili
G
G. Mamardashvili
G
53
J. McConnell
M
J. McConnell
M
21
K. Tsimikas
D
K. Tsimikas
D
67
L. Koumas
12'
F
L. Koumas
12'
F
33
R. Araújo
20'
D
R. Araújo
20'
D
42
T. Nyoni
M
T. Nyoni
M
23
Víctor Muñoz
27'
F
Víctor Muñoz
27'
F
3
W. Endo
M
W. Endo
M
Best on the pitch
A. Elanga
M · Newcastle
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
L. Horníček
G · Newcastle
7.30
· 36 pass
J. Willock
M · Newcastle
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
L. Miley
M · Newcastle
7.30
1 shots
· 35 pass
Víctor Muñoz
F · Liverpool
7.20
· 6 pass
R. Araújo
D · Liverpool
7.20
· 29 pass
Newcastle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Horníček | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Hall | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Botman | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M. Thiaw | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Dedić | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Miley | M | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sean Steur | M | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| H. Barnes | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Wissa | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 4 | 17 | 12% | 4 | 1 | — |
| A. Elanga | M | 76 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| W. Osula | F | 56 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bamba | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Schär | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Murphy | M | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Ramsey | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Willock | M | 34 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
Liverpool — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alisson Becker | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Kerkez | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| V. van Dijk | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 49% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Jacquet | D | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Frimpong | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 78 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 49 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Szoboszlai | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 55 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Gakpo | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Wirtz | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ngumoha | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Isak | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Koumas | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Araújo | D | 20 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Víctor Muñoz | F | 27 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Newcastle vs Liverpool?
The final score was Newcastle 2–2 Liverpool.
What did the model predict before Newcastle vs Liverpool?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Newcastle win, 31% to a draw, and 37% to an Liverpool win.