The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Newcastle a 52% win probability (draw 27%, Sunderland 20%). The final result was Newcastle 1–2 Sunderland. In 1 previous meetings, Newcastle have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sunderland.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
7
1.27
Actual xG
2.45
60%
Possession
40%
9
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
52.12%
Newcastle
27.22%
X
20.66%
Sunderland ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sunderland)
20.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
1.27
-0.37
0.97
2.45
+1.48
Sunderland dominated by xG (2.45 vs 1.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Newcastle vs Sunderland?
The final score was Newcastle 1–2 Sunderland.
What did the model predict before Newcastle vs Sunderland?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Newcastle win, 27% to a draw, and 20% to an Sunderland win.