Premier League · Regular Season - 31 March 22, 2026 13:00 St James' Park, Newcastle

Newcastle

#8 · 11 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Sunderland

#20 · 5 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Newcastle a 52% win probability (draw 27%, Sunderland 20%). The final result was Newcastle 1–2 Sunderland. In 1 previous meetings, Newcastle have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sunderland.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

7

1.27

Actual xG

2.45

60%

Possession

40%

9

Corners

5

Pre-match prediction

52.12%

Newcastle

27.22%

X

20.66%

Sunderland ←

we assigned to the actual result (Sunderland) 20.66% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Newcastle

1.64

1.27

-0.37

Sunderland

0.97

2.45

+1.48

Sunderland dominated by xG (2.45 vs 1.27). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Manchester City	8	21
2	Arsenal	8	21
3	Brighton	8	16
4	Liverpool	8	15
5	Chelsea	8	13
6	Brentford	8	11
7	Leeds	8	11
8	Newcastle	8	11
9	Aston Villa	8	11
10	Hull City	8	10
11	Everton	8	10
12	Ipswich	8	10
13	Bournemouth	8	9
14	Tottenham	8	9
15	Fulham	8	8
16	Manchester United	8	7
17	Crystal Palace	8	7
18	Nottingham Forest	8	6
19	Coventry	8	6
20	Sunderland	8	5