Newport City - Swansea University
FAW Championship
February 24, 2027 20:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
26.63%
Win
Newport City
27.38%
Draw
45.99%
Win
Swansea University
0.95
2.55
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–2
(8.86%)
1X2 Result
1
27%
X
27%
2
46%
Double Chance
1X
54%
X2
73%
12
73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
58%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Swansea University a 45% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Newport City. Expected goals are 0.9 for Newport City and 2.6 for Swansea University (total 3.5), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.86% probability.
Season Stats
4W
2D
9L
5W
2D
0L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
3.1
1.9
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
86%
67%
O 2.5
86%
40%
BTTS
29%
20%
Clean Sht
71%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in FAW Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
28%
O 3.5
43%
BTTS
1W
2D
7L
· at home
3W
1D
0L
· away
1.1
gls/g
2.8
2.1
Conceded
0.2
10%
Win %
75%
30%
Win or Draw
100%
70%
O 1.5
75%
60%
O 2.5
75%
30%
O 3.5
25%
60%
BTTS
25%
0%
Clean Sht
75%
40%
Failed to Score
25%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Newport City
Swansea University →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | — | — | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Newport City
Attack
30
Defence
71
Form
49
Swansea University
Attack
73
Defence
82
Form
77
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
South
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Swansea University
|
7 | 17 |
| 2 |
Aberystwyth Town
|
7 | 16 |
| 3 |
Pontypridd Town
|
7 | 16 |
| 4 |
Carmarthen Town
|
8 | 14 |
| 5 |
Caerau (Ely)
|
8 | 13 |
| 6 |
Treowen Stars
|
8 | 13 |
| 7 |
Baglan Dragons
|
9 | 13 |
| 8 |
Afan Lido
|
9 | 11 |
| 9 |
Trethomas Bluebirds
|
8 | 10 |
| 10 |
Ynyshir Albions
|
7 | 10 |
| 11 |
Caerphilly Athletic
|
8 | 8 |
| 12 |
Newport City
|
6 | 7 |
| 13 |
Cardiff Draconians
|
6 | 7 |
| 14 |
Pontardawe Town
|
7 | 6 |
| 15 |
Llantwit Major
|
6 | 4 |
| 16 |
llanelli AFC
|
9 | 2 |
What's at stake · South
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #12 | #1 |
| → Newport City | #9 | #1 |
| → Draw | #11 | #1 |
| → Swansea University | #12 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Newport City vs Swansea University?
The model gives Newport City a 26% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 45% for an Swansea University win.
How many goals are expected in Newport City vs Swansea University?
Expected goals: Newport City 0.9, Swansea University 2.6 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Newport City vs Swansea University?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.86%.