Skip to main content
← Championship

Newry City AFC - H&W Welders

Championship September 25, 2026 20:45 The Showgrounds, Newry
Newry City AFC
#8 · 12 pts
vs
H&W Welders
#4 · 15 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 13.6°C 💨 11 km/h · Newry
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.06%
Win
Newry City AFC
26.77%
Draw
42.17%
Win
H&W Welders
1.41
Expected xG
1.84

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.54%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 27%
2 42%
Double Chance
1X 58%
X2 69%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 57%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives H&W Welders a 42% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Newry City AFC. Expected goals are 1.4 for Newry City AFC and 1.8 for H&W Welders (total 3.3), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.54% probability.

Season Stats

Newry City AFC
3W 3D 2L
H&W Welders
7W 2D 6L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.8
1.8
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
88%
O 1.5
87%
75%
O 2.5
67%
75%
BTTS
60%
13%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
78%
BTTS
Newry City AFC
0W 2D 2L · at home
H&W Welders
4W 2D 4L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.7
2.5
Conceded
1.6
0%
Win %
40%
50%
Win or Draw
60%
100%
O 1.5
90%
75%
O 2.5
70%
50%
O 3.5
40%
75%
BTTS
80%
0%
Clean Sht
10%
25%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Newry City AFC H&W Welders →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9% 7.1% 6.6% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.5% 10.0% 9.3% 5.7% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.1% 6.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.8% 3.3% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Newry City AFC Newry City AFC
D Annagh United 1–1
D Strabane Athletic 2–2
D Armagh City 2–2
W Institute 1–3
L Warrenpoint Town 0–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
H&W Welders H&W Welders
L Ballinamallard United 1–3
L Annagh United 3–1
W Moyola Park 1–4
W Dundela 2–0
W Strabane Athletic 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Newry City AFC Newry City AFC
Attack
38
Defence
57
Form
43
H&W Welders H&W Welders
Attack
47
Defence
67
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Newington Youth Newington Youth 8 17
2 Annagh United Annagh United 8 17
3 Queen's University Queen's University 8 16
4 H&W Welders H&W Welders 8 15
5 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 8 14
6 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 8 13
7 Institute Institute 8 13
8 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 8 12
9 Ards Ards 8 11
10 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 8 10
11 Loughgall Loughgall 8 10
12 Dundela Dundela 8 8
13 Moyola Park Moyola Park 8 8
14 Strabane Athletic Strabane Athletic 8 5
15 Armagh City Armagh City 8 4
16 Rathfriland Rathfriland 8 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders?
The model gives Newry City AFC a 31% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 42% for an H&W Welders win.
How many goals are expected in Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders?
Expected goals: Newry City AFC 1.4, H&W Welders 1.8 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.54%.