A. Abdi
59'
41'
(ast. R. Ndiaye)
A. Samatta
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nice a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Le Havre 27%). The final result was Nice 1–1 Le Havre. In 1 previous meetings, Nice have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Le Havre.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
6
2.03
Actual xG
1.95
4
Saves
4
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
2
18
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Elye Wahi
2'
41'
ast. R. Ndiaye ·
A. Samatta⚽
50'
Fodé Doucouré
⚽A. Abdi
59'
70'
S. Boufal
/
F. Doucoure
71'
T. Pembele
/
S. Ebonog
C. Vanhoutte
/ S. Diop
75'
M. Cho
/ Kevin
81'
A. Abdi
/ T. Louchet
81'
85'
L. Nego
/
Y. Zouaoui
87'
S. Zagadou
/
A. Samatta
E. Wahi
/ I. Jansson
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
44.09%
Nice
28.53%
X ←
27.38%
Le
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.53%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
2.03
+0.78
0.99
1.95
+0.96
xG dominance was balanced (2.03 – 1.95).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
80
Y. Diouf
G
Y. Diouf
G
26
M. Bard
D
M. Bard
D
37
Kojo Peprah Oppong
D
Kojo Peprah Oppong
D
33
A. Mendy
D
A. Mendy
D
2
A. Abdi
1 ⚽
81'
M
A. Abdi
1 ⚽
81'
M
24
C. Vanhoutte
75'
M
C. Vanhoutte
75'
M
6
H. Boudaoui
M
H. Boudaoui
M
8
M. Sanson
M
M. Sanson
M
92
J. Clauss
M
J. Clauss
M
11
E. Wahi
F
E. Wahi
F
25
M. Cho
81'
F
M. Cho
81'
F
Bench
28
Abdulay Bah
D
Abdulay Bah
D
39
D. Coulibaly
M
D. Coulibaly
M
21
I. Jansson
6'
F
I. Jansson
6'
F
90
Kevin Carlos
16'
F
Kevin Carlos
16'
F
31
M. Dupé
G
M. Dupé
G
99
Salis Abdul Samed
M
Salis Abdul Samed
M
10
S. Diop
22'
M
S. Diop
22'
M
20
T. Louchet
16'
M
T. Louchet
16'
M
99
M. Diaw
G
M. Diaw
G
4
G. Lloris
D
G. Lloris
D
15
A. Seko
D
A. Seko
D
93
A. Sangante
D
A. Sangante
D
18
Y. Zouaoui
85'
M
Y. Zouaoui
85'
M
19
L. Gourna-Douath
M
L. Gourna-Douath
M
26
S. Ebonog
71'
M
S. Ebonog
71'
M
13
F. Doucouré
70'
M
F. Doucouré
70'
M
14
R. Ndiaye
1 👟
F
R. Ndiaye
1 👟
F
45
I. Soumaré
F
I. Soumaré
F
25
M. Samatta
1 ⚽
87'
F
M. Samatta
1 ⚽
87'
F
Bench
77
L. Mpasi
G
L. Mpasi
G
7
L. Négo
12'
D
17
Sofiane Boufal
27'
M
Sofiane Boufal
27'
M
29
Stephan Zagadou
10'
D
32
T. Pembélé
26'
D
T. Pembélé
26'
D
8
Y. Kechta
M
Y. Kechta
M
Best on the pitch
Y. Zouaoui
M · Le
8.00
· 34 pass
M. Diaw
G · Le
7.70
· 30 pass
Y. Diouf
G · Nice
7.30
· 24 pass
A. Abdi
M · Nice
7.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 24 pass
A. Sangante
D · Le
7.00
· 45 pass
M. Sanson
M · Nice
7.00
· 35 pass
Nice — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Diouf | G | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Bard | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 6 | — | — |
| Kojo Peprah Oppong | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mendy | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Abdi | M | 81 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 24 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Vanhoutte | M | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Boudaoui | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sanson | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Clauss | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Wahi | F | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Cho | F | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Jansson | F | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Carlos | F | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Diop | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| T. Louchet | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Le Havre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Diaw | G | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | — | — | — |
| G. Lloris | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Seko | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sangante | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| Y. Zouaoui | M | 85 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 6 | — | — |
| L. Gourna-Douath | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 34% | — | — | — |
| S. Ebonog | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Doucouré | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Ndiaye | F | 97 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Soumaré | F | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| M. Samatta | F | 87 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| L. Négo | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Sofiane Boufal | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Stephan Zagadou | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Pembélé | D | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nice vs Le Havre?
The final score was Nice 1–1 Le Havre.
What did the model predict before Nice vs Le Havre?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Nice win, 28% to a draw, and 27% to an Le Havre win.