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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 21:05 Allianz Riviera, Nice
Nice
#15 · 2 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Lens
#10 · 3 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Lens, result Draw
A. Abdi 84'
60' (ast. A. Thomasson) A. Saint-Maximin
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lens a 66% win probability (draw 17%, Nice 16%). The final result was Nice 1–1 Lens. In 2 previous meetings, Nice have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Lens.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
4
0.79
Actual xG
1.09
3
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
8
16
Tackles
29
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
27'
M. Sarr
44'
F. Thauvin
J. Bah
45'
60'
ast. A. Thomasson · A. Saint-Maximin⚽
↕ M. Sanson / S. Abdul Samed
71'
↕ M. Cho / I. Jansson
71'
↕ K. Boudache / A. Abdi
71'
77'
A. Sima / O. Edouard ↕
81'
S. Abdulhamid
82'
A. Thomasson
⚽A. Abdi
84'
86'
R. Aguilar / F. Thauvin ↕
↕ H. Boudaoui / C. Vanhoutte
90'+1
↕ S. Diop / Kevin
90'+1
M. Bard
90'
Pre-match prediction
16.39%
Nice
17.32%
X ←
66.29%
Lens
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 17.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nice
1.14
0.79
-0.36
Lens
3.11
1.09
-2.02
xG dominance was balanced (0.79 – 1.09). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Paris FC Paris FC 3 7
4 Lyon Lyon 3 7
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 3 4
9 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
10 Lens Lens 3 3
11 Marseille Marseille 4 3
12 Angers Angers 3 3
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
14 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
15 Nice Nice 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 3 1
17 Toulouse Toulouse 3 1
18 Auxerre Auxerre 3 0
Lineups
Nice Nice 5-4-1
80 Y. Diouf Y. Diouf G 6.90
26 M. Bard M. Bard D 6.60
37 K. Peprah Oppong K. Peprah Oppong D 6.30
28 Abdulay Bah Abdulay Bah D 7.30
33 A. Mendy A. Mendy D 7.20
20
Tom Louchet D 6.30
10 S. Diop S. Diop M 7.30
8 M. Sanson M. Sanson 71' M 6.50
6 Hicham Boudaoui Hicham Boudaoui M 7.00
32 K. Boudache K. Boudache 71' M 6.20
25 M. Cho M. Cho 71' F 6.30
Bench
2 A. Abdi A. Abdi 1 ⚽ 25' D 7.70
24 C. Vanhoutte C. Vanhoutte 5' M
4 Dante Dante D
23 G. Bernardeau G. Bernardeau M
21 I. Jansson I. Jansson 25' F 6.30
90 Kevin Carlos Omoruyi Kevin Carlos Omoruyi 5' F
31 M. Dupé M. Dupé G
99 Salis Abdul Samed Salis Abdul Samed 25' M 6.70
22
Tanguy Ndombélé M
Lens Lens 3-4-2-1
40
G 6.60
20 M. Sarr M. Sarr D 7.60
6 Samson Baidoo Samson Baidoo D 7.30
25 I. Ganiou I. Ganiou D 7.20
14 M. Udol M. Udol M 6.60
28 A. Thomasson A. Thomasson 1 👟 M 6.70
8 M. Sangaré M. Sangaré M 7.30
23 Saud Abdulhamid Saud Abdulhamid 81' M 6.70
9 A. Saint-Maximin A. Saint-Maximin 1 ⚽ F 7.90
10 F. Thauvin F. Thauvin 86' F 6.20
11 O. Édouard O. Édouard 77' F 6.50
Bench
5 A. Bulatović A. Bulatović M
21 A. Haidara A. Haidara M
19 A. Sima A. Sima 19' F 6.50
7 F. Sotoca F. Sotoca F
2 R. Aguilar R. Aguilar 10' D 6.60
38 R. Fofana R. Fofana F
22 W. Saïd W. Saïd F
Best on the pitch
A. Saint-Maximin
A. Saint-Maximin
F · Lens
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 44 pass
A. Abdi
A. Abdi
D · Nice
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 1 pass
M. Sarr
M. Sarr
D · Lens
7.60
· 65 pass
M. Sangaré
M. Sangaré
M · Lens
7.30
2 shots · 59 pass
Abdulay Bah
Abdulay Bah
D · Nice
7.30
1 shots · 39 pass
S. Diop
S. Diop
M · Nice
7.30
· 39 pass
Nice Nice — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Diouf G 96 6.90 — — — 27 16% — — —
M. Bard D 96 6.60 — — — 35 23% 1 1 —
K. Peprah Oppong D 96 6.30 — — — 43 41% 3 — —
Abdulay Bah D 96 7.30 — — 1 39 38% 2 1 —
A. Mendy D 96 7.20 — — — 37 34% 5 — —
Tom Louchet D 96 6.30 — — — 41 33% 4 — —
S. Diop M 91 7.30 — — — 39 35% 1 — —
M. Sanson M 71 6.50 — — — 27 22% — — —
Hicham Boudaoui M 91 7.00 — — — 42 36% — — —
K. Boudache M 71 6.20 — — — 12 8% — — —
M. Cho F 71 6.30 — — 1 14 13% — — —
A. Abdi D 25 7.70 1 — 1 1 1% — — —
C. Vanhoutte M 5 — — — — 7 7% — — —
I. Jansson F 25 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi F 5 — — — 1 1 1% — — —
Salis Abdul Samed M 25 6.70 — — — 14 13% — — —
Lens Lens — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.60 — — — 22 19% — — —
M. Sarr D 96 7.60 — — — 65 56% 5 1 —
Samson Baidoo D 96 7.30 — — — 67 62% 3 — —
I. Ganiou D 96 7.20 — — 1 58 49% 3 — —
M. Udol M 96 6.60 — — — 38 34% 4 — —
A. Thomasson M 96 6.70 — 1 — 29 20% 5 1 —
M. Sangaré M 96 7.30 — — 2 59 52% 5 — —
Saud Abdulhamid M 81 6.70 — — — 25 25% 1 — 1
A. Saint-Maximin F 96 7.90 1 — 4 44 37% 1 — —
F. Thauvin F 86 6.20 — — 1 41 31% 2 1 —
O. Édouard F 77 6.50 — — 2 5 5% — — —
A. Sima F 19 6.50 — — — 6 4% — — —
R. Aguilar D 10 6.60 — — — 4 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nice vs Lens?
The final score was Nice 1–1 Lens.
What did the model predict before Nice vs Lens?
The model assigned 16% probability to a Nice win, 17% to a draw, and 66% to an Lens win.