← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 21:05
Nice
#16 · 31 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Lens
#2 · 67 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Lens, result Pareggio
A. Abdi 84'
60' (ast. A. Thomasson) A. Saint-Maximin

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lens a 66% win probability (draw 17%, Nice 16%). The final result was Nice 1–1 Lens. In 1 previous meetings, Nice have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lens.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
4
0.79
Actual xG
1.09
3
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
8
16
Tackles
29
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
27'
M. Sarr
44'
F. Thauvin
J. Bah
45'
60'
ast. A. Thomasson · A. Saint-Maximin⚽
↕ M. Sanson / S. Abdul Samed
71'
↕ M. Cho / I. Jansson
71'
↕ K. Boudache / A. Abdi
71'
77'
A. Sima / O. Edouard ↕
81'
S. Abdulhamid
82'
A. Thomasson
⚽A. Abdi
84'
86'
R. Aguilar / F. Thauvin ↕
↕ H. Boudaoui / C. Vanhoutte
90'+1
↕ S. Diop / Kevin
90'+1
M. Bard
90'
Pre-match prediction
16.39%
Nice
17.32%
X ←
66.29%
Lens
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 17.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nice
1.14
0.79
-0.36
Lens
3.11
1.09
-2.02
xG dominance was balanced (0.79 – 1.09). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Nice Nice 5-4-1
80 Yehvann Diouf Yehvann Diouf G 6.90
26 Melvin Bard Melvin Bard D 6.60
37 Kojo Peprah Oppong Kojo Peprah Oppong D 6.30
28 Abdulay Juma Bah Abdulay Juma Bah D 7.30
33 Antoine Mendy Antoine Mendy D 7.20
20 Tom Louchet Tom Louchet D 6.30
10 S. Diop S. Diop M 7.30
8 Morgan Sanson Morgan Sanson 71' M 6.50
6 H. Boudaoui H. Boudaoui M 7.00
32 Kaïl Boudache Kaïl Boudache 71' M 6.20
25 M. Cho M. Cho 71' F 6.30
Bench
2 Ali Abdi Ali Abdi 1 ⚽ 25' D 7.70
24 Charles Vanhoutte Charles Vanhoutte 5' M
4 Dante Dante D
23
G. Bernardeau M
21 Isak Jansson Isak Jansson 25' F 6.30
90 Kevin Carlos Omoruyi Kevin Carlos Omoruyi 5' F
31 Maxime Dupé Maxime Dupé G
99 Salis Abdul Samed Salis Abdul Samed 25' M 6.70
22
Tanguy Ndombélé M
Lens Lens 3-4-2-1
40
G 6.60
20 Malang Sarr Malang Sarr D 7.60
6 Samson Baidoo Samson Baidoo D 7.30
25 Ismaelo Ganiou Ismaelo Ganiou D 7.20
14 Matthieu Udol Matthieu Udol M 6.60
28 Adrien Thomasson Adrien Thomasson 1 👟 M 6.70
8 Mamadou Sangare Mamadou Sangare M 7.30
23 Saud Abdulhamid Saud Abdulhamid 81' M 6.70
9 Allan Saint-Maximin Allan Saint-Maximin 1 ⚽ F 7.90
10 Florian Thauvin Florian Thauvin 86' F 6.20
11 Odsonne Édouard Odsonne Édouard 77' F 6.50
Bench
19 Abdallah Sima Abdallah Sima 19' F 6.50
21 Amadou Haidara Amadou Haidara M
5 Andrija Bulatovic Andrija Bulatovic M
7 Florian Sotoca Florian Sotoca F
38
R. Fofana F
2 Ruben Aguilar Ruben Aguilar 10' D 6.60
22 Wesley Saïd Wesley Saïd F
Best on the pitch
Allan Saint-Maximin
Allan Saint-Maximin
F · Lens
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 44 pass
Ali Abdi
Ali Abdi
D · Nice
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 1 pass
Malang Sarr
Malang Sarr
D · Lens
7.60
· 65 pass
Mamadou Sangare
Mamadou Sangare
M · Lens
7.30
2 shots · 59 pass
Abdulay Juma Bah
Abdulay Juma Bah
D · Nice
7.30
1 shots · 39 pass
S. Diop
S. Diop
M · Nice
7.30
· 39 pass
Nice Nice — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Yehvann Diouf G 96 6.90 — — — 27 16% — — —
Melvin Bard D 96 6.60 — — — 35 23% 1 1 —
Kojo Peprah Oppong D 96 6.30 — — — 43 41% 3 — —
Abdulay Juma Bah D 96 7.30 — — 1 39 38% 2 1 —
Antoine Mendy D 96 7.20 — — — 37 34% 5 — —
Tom Louchet D 96 6.30 — — — 41 33% 4 — —
S. Diop M 91 7.30 — — — 39 35% 1 — —
Morgan Sanson M 71 6.50 — — — 27 22% — — —
H. Boudaoui M 91 7.00 — — — 42 36% — — —
Kaïl Boudache M 71 6.20 — — — 12 8% — — —
M. Cho F 71 6.30 — — 1 14 13% — — —
Ali Abdi D 25 7.70 1 — 1 1 1% — — —
Charles Vanhoutte M 5 — — — — 7 7% — — —
Isak Jansson F 25 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi F 5 — — — 1 1 1% — — —
Salis Abdul Samed M 25 6.70 — — — 14 13% — — —
Lens Lens — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.60 — — — 22 19% — — —
Malang Sarr D 96 7.60 — — — 65 56% 5 1 —
Samson Baidoo D 96 7.30 — — — 67 62% 3 — —
Ismaelo Ganiou D 96 7.20 — — 1 58 49% 3 — —
Matthieu Udol M 96 6.60 — — — 38 34% 4 — —
Adrien Thomasson M 96 6.70 — 1 — 29 20% 5 1 —
Mamadou Sangare M 96 7.30 — — 2 59 52% 5 — —
Saud Abdulhamid M 81 6.70 — — — 25 25% 1 — 1
Allan Saint-Maximin F 96 7.90 1 — 4 44 37% 1 — —
Florian Thauvin F 86 6.20 — — 1 41 31% 2 1 —
Odsonne Édouard F 77 6.50 — — 2 5 5% — — —
Abdallah Sima F 19 6.50 — — — 6 4% — — —
Ruben Aguilar D 10 6.60 — — — 4 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nice vs Lens?
The final score was Nice 1–1 Lens.
What did the model predict before Nice vs Lens?
The model assigned 16% probability to a Nice win, 17% to a draw, and 66% to an Lens win.