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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 21:05 Allianz Riviera, Nice
Nice
#10 · 11 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Lens
#7 · 13 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Lens, result Draw
A. Abdi 84'
60' (ast. A. Thomasson) A. Saint-Maximin
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lens a 66% win probability (draw 17%, Nice 16%). The final result was Nice 1–1 Lens. In 2 previous meetings, Nice have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Lens.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
4
0.79
Actual xG
1.09
3
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
8
16
Tackles
29
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
27'
M. Sarr
44'
F. Thauvin
J. Bah
45'
60'
ast. A. Thomasson · A. Saint-Maximin⚽
↕ M. Sanson / S. Abdul Samed
71'
↕ M. Cho / I. Jansson
71'
↕ K. Boudache / A. Abdi
71'
77'
A. Sima / O. Edouard ↕
81'
S. Abdulhamid
82'
A. Thomasson
⚽A. Abdi
84'
86'
R. Aguilar / F. Thauvin ↕
↕ H. Boudaoui / C. Vanhoutte
90'+1
↕ S. Diop / Kevin
90'+1
M. Bard
90'
Pre-match prediction
16.39%
Nice
17.32%
X ←
66.29%
Lens
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 17.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nice
1.14
0.79
-0.36
Lens
3.11
1.09
-2.02
xG dominance was balanced (0.79 – 1.09). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Nice Nice 5-4-1
80 Y. Diouf Y. Diouf G 6.90
26 M. Bard M. Bard D 6.60
37 Kojo Peprah Oppong Kojo Peprah Oppong D 6.30
28 Abdulay Bah Abdulay Bah D 7.30
33 A. Mendy A. Mendy D 7.20
20 T. Louchet T. Louchet D 6.30
10 S. Diop S. Diop M 7.30
8 M. Sanson M. Sanson 71' M 6.50
6 H. Boudaoui H. Boudaoui M 7.00
32 K. Boudache K. Boudache 71' M 6.20
25 M. Cho M. Cho 71' F 6.30
Bench
2 A. Abdi A. Abdi 1 ⚽ 25' D 7.70
24 C. Vanhoutte C. Vanhoutte 5' M
4 Dante Dante D
23 G. Bernardeau G. Bernardeau M
21 I. Jansson I. Jansson 25' F 6.30
90 Kevin Carlos Kevin Carlos 5' F
31 M. Dupé M. Dupé G
99 Salis Abdul Samed Salis Abdul Samed 25' M 6.70
22
Tanguy Ndombélé M
Lens Lens 3-4-2-1
40
G 6.60
20 M. Sarr M. Sarr D 7.60
6 S. Baidoo S. Baidoo D 7.30
25 I. Ganiou I. Ganiou D 7.20
14 M. Udol M. Udol M 6.60
28 A. Thomasson A. Thomasson 1 👟 M 6.70
8 M. Sangaré M. Sangaré M 7.30
23 Saud Abdulhamid Saud Abdulhamid 81' M 6.70
9 A. Saint-Maximin A. Saint-Maximin 1 ⚽ F 7.90
10 F. Thauvin F. Thauvin 86' F 6.20
11 O. Édouard O. Édouard 77' F 6.50
Bench
5 A. Bulatović A. Bulatović M
21 A. Haidara A. Haidara M
19 A. Sima A. Sima 19' F 6.50
7 F. Sotoca F. Sotoca F
2 R. Aguilar R. Aguilar 10' D 6.60
38 R. Fofana R. Fofana F
22 W. Saïd W. Saïd F
Best on the pitch
A. Saint-Maximin
A. Saint-Maximin
F · Lens
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 44 pass
A. Abdi
A. Abdi
D · Nice
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 1 pass
M. Sarr
M. Sarr
D · Lens
7.60
· 65 pass
M. Sangaré
M. Sangaré
M · Lens
7.30
2 shots · 59 pass
Abdulay Bah
Abdulay Bah
D · Nice
7.30
1 shots · 39 pass
S. Diop
S. Diop
M · Nice
7.30
· 39 pass
Nice Nice — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Diouf G 96 6.90 — — — 27 16% — — —
M. Bard D 96 6.60 — — — 35 23% 1 1 —
Kojo Peprah Oppong D 96 6.30 — — — 43 41% 3 — —
Abdulay Bah D 96 7.30 — — 1 39 38% 2 1 —
A. Mendy D 96 7.20 — — — 37 34% 5 — —
T. Louchet D 96 6.30 — — — 41 33% 4 — —
S. Diop M 91 7.30 — — — 39 35% 1 — —
M. Sanson M 71 6.50 — — — 27 22% — — —
H. Boudaoui M 91 7.00 — — — 42 36% — — —
K. Boudache M 71 6.20 — — — 12 8% — — —
M. Cho F 71 6.30 — — 1 14 13% — — —
A. Abdi D 25 7.70 1 — 1 1 1% — — —
C. Vanhoutte M 5 — — — — 7 7% — — —
I. Jansson F 25 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Kevin Carlos F 5 — — — 1 1 1% — — —
Salis Abdul Samed M 25 6.70 — — — 14 13% — — —
Lens Lens — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.60 — — — 22 19% — — —
M. Sarr D 96 7.60 — — — 65 56% 5 1 —
S. Baidoo D 96 7.30 — — — 67 62% 3 — —
I. Ganiou D 96 7.20 — — 1 58 49% 3 — —
M. Udol M 96 6.60 — — — 38 34% 4 — —
A. Thomasson M 96 6.70 — 1 — 29 20% 5 1 —
M. Sangaré M 96 7.30 — — 2 59 52% 5 — —
Saud Abdulhamid M 81 6.70 — — — 25 25% 1 — 1
A. Saint-Maximin F 96 7.90 1 — 4 44 37% 1 — —
F. Thauvin F 86 6.20 — — 1 41 31% 2 1 —
O. Édouard F 77 6.50 — — 2 5 5% — — —
A. Sima F 19 6.50 — — — 6 4% — — —
R. Aguilar D 10 6.60 — — — 4 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nice vs Lens?
The final score was Nice 1–1 Lens.
What did the model predict before Nice vs Lens?
The model assigned 16% probability to a Nice win, 17% to a draw, and 66% to an Lens win.