✗Model wrong — prediction Lens, result Draw
A. Abdi
84'
60'
(ast. A. Thomasson)
A. Saint-Maximin
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lens a 66% win probability (draw 17%, Nice 16%). The final result was Nice 1–1 Lens. In 2 previous meetings, Nice have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Lens.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
4
0.79
Actual xG
1.09
3
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
8
16
Tackles
29
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
27'
M. Sarr
44'
F. Thauvin
J. Bah
45'
60'
ast. A. Thomasson ·
A. Saint-Maximin⚽
M. Sanson
/ S. Abdul Samed
71'
M. Cho
/ I. Jansson
71'
K. Boudache
/ A. Abdi
71'
77'
A. Sima
/
O. Edouard
81'
S. Abdulhamid
82'
A. Thomasson
⚽A. Abdi
84'
86'
R. Aguilar
/
F. Thauvin
H. Boudaoui
/ C. Vanhoutte
90'+1
S. Diop
/ Kevin
90'+1
M. Bard
90'
Pre-match prediction
16.39%
Nice
17.32%
X ←
66.29%
Lens
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
17.32%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.14
0.79
-0.36
3.11
1.09
-2.02
xG dominance was balanced (0.79 – 1.09).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
80
Yehvann Diouf
G
Yehvann Diouf
G
26
Melvin Bard
D
Melvin Bard
D
37
Kojo Peprah Oppong
D
Kojo Peprah Oppong
D
28
Abdulay Juma Bah
D
Abdulay Juma Bah
D
33
Antoine Mendy
D
Antoine Mendy
D
20
Tom Louchet
D
Tom Louchet
D
10
S. Diop
M
S. Diop
M
8
M. Sanson
71'
M
M. Sanson
71'
M
6
Hicham Boudaoui
M
Hicham Boudaoui
M
32
Kaïl Boudache
71'
M
Kaïl Boudache
71'
M
25
M. Cho
71'
F
M. Cho
71'
F
Bench
2
A. Abdi
1 ⚽
25'
D
A. Abdi
1 ⚽
25'
D
24
Charles Vanhoutte
5'
M
Charles Vanhoutte
5'
M
4
Dante
D
Dante
D
23
G. Bernardeau
M
21
Isak Jansson
25'
F
Isak Jansson
25'
F
90
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
5'
F
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
5'
F
31
Maxime Dupé
G
Maxime Dupé
G
99
Salis Abdul Samed
25'
M
Salis Abdul Samed
25'
M
22
Tanguy Ndombélé
M
40
G
20
Malang Sarr
D
Malang Sarr
D
6
Samson Baidoo
D
Samson Baidoo
D
25
Ismaelo Ganiou
D
Ismaelo Ganiou
D
14
M. Udol
M
M. Udol
M
28
A. Thomasson
1 👟
M
A. Thomasson
1 👟
M
8
M. Sangaré
M
M. Sangaré
M
23
Saud Abdulhamid
81'
M
Saud Abdulhamid
81'
M
9
Allan Saint-Maximin
1 ⚽
F
Allan Saint-Maximin
1 ⚽
F
10
F. Thauvin
86'
F
F. Thauvin
86'
F
11
O. Édouard
77'
F
O. Édouard
77'
F
Bench
21
A. Haidara
M
A. Haidara
M
5
Andrija Bulatovic
M
19
A. Sima
19'
F
A. Sima
19'
F
7
Florian Sotoca
F
Florian Sotoca
F
38
Rayan Fofana
F
Rayan Fofana
F
2
Ruben Aguilar
10'
D
Ruben Aguilar
10'
D
22
W. Saïd
F
W. Saïd
F
Best on the pitch
Allan Saint-Maximin
F · Lens
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 44 pass
A. Abdi
D · Nice
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
Malang Sarr
D · Lens
7.60
· 65 pass
M. Sangaré
M · Lens
7.30
2 shots
· 59 pass
Abdulay Juma Bah
D · Nice
7.30
1 shots
· 39 pass
S. Diop
M · Nice
7.30
· 39 pass
Nice — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yehvann Diouf | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Melvin Bard | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kojo Peprah Oppong | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| Abdulay Juma Bah | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 38% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Antoine Mendy | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 5 | — | — |
| Tom Louchet | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Diop | M | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sanson | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Hicham Boudaoui | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Kaïl Boudache | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Cho | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Abdi | D | 25 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Charles Vanhoutte | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Isak Jansson | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Carlos Omoruyi | F | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Salis Abdul Samed | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
Lens — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Malang Sarr | D | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 65 | 56% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Samson Baidoo | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 62% | 3 | — | — |
| Ismaelo Ganiou | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Udol | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Thomasson | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 20% | 5 | 1 | — |
| M. Sangaré | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 52% | 5 | — | — |
| Saud Abdulhamid | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 25% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Allan Saint-Maximin | F | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Thauvin | F | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Édouard | F | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Sima | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ruben Aguilar | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nice vs Lens?
The final score was Nice 1–1 Lens.
What did the model predict before Nice vs Lens?
The model assigned 16% probability to a Nice win, 17% to a draw, and 66% to an Lens win.