Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 21:05 Allianz Riviera, Nice

Nice

#14 · 5 pts

0 – 4

Final score

Paris Saint Germain

#6 · 8 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Paris Saint Germain

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 67% win probability (draw 17%, Nice 15%). The final result was Nice 0–4 Paris Saint Germain. In 1 previous meetings, Nice have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Paris Saint Germain.

Match statistics

1

Shots on target

10

0.24

Actual xG

3.71

26%

Possession

74%

2

Corners

5

Pre-match prediction

15.73%

Nice

17.09%

X

67.18%

Paris ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain) 67.18% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Nice

1.13

0.24

-0.89

Paris

2.55

3.71

+1.16

Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (3.71 vs 0.24). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Monaco	5	13
2	Lyon	5	11
3	Paris FC	5	11
4	Lille	5	10
5	Rennes	5	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	8
7	Angers	5	7
8	Strasbourg	5	7
9	Le Mans	5	6
10	Auxerre	5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	5
12	Lorient	5	5
13	Toulouse	5	5
14	Nice	5	5
15	Lens	5	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	4
17	Marseille	5	3
18	Le Havre	5	2