Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 21:05 Allianz Riviera, Nice

Nice

#16 · 32 pts

0 – 4

Final score

Paris Saint Germain

#1 · 76 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Paris Saint Germain

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris Saint Germain a 67% win probability (draw 17%, Nice 15%). The final result was Nice 0–4 Paris Saint Germain. In 1 previous meetings, Nice have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Paris Saint Germain.

Match statistics

1

Shots on target

10

0.24

Actual xG

3.71

26%

Possession

74%

2

Corners

5

Pre-match prediction

15.73%

Nice

17.09%

X

67.18%

Paris ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain) 67.18% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Nice

1.13

0.24

-0.89

Paris

2.55

3.71

+1.16

Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (3.71 vs 0.24). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Rodez	1	3
1	Paris Saint Germain	34	76
2	Lens	34	70
2	RED Star FC 93	1	0
3	Lille	34	61
4	Lyon	34	60
5	Marseille	34	59
6	Rennes	34	59
7	Monaco	34	54
8	Strasbourg	34	53
9	Lorient	34	45
10	Toulouse	33	44
11	Paris FC	34	44
12	Stade Brestois 29	34	39
13	Angers	34	36
14	Le Havre	34	35
15	Auxerre	34	34
16	Nice	34	32
17	Nantes	33	23
18	Metz	34	17