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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6 October 11, 2026 15:00 Allianz Riviera, Nice
Nice
#10 · 11 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Strasbourg
#16 · 7 pts
Pape Demba Diop 45'+2 (og)
Jonathan Clauss (ast. Sofiane Diop) 81'
41' (ast. Conrad Harder) Dario Essugo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nice a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Strasbourg 32%). The final result was Nice 2–1 Strasbourg. In 3 previous meetings, Nice have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Strasbourg.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
3
1.34
Actual xG
0.56
2
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
2
Corners
3
23
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
↕ Djibril Coulibaly / Hicham Boudaoui
37'
41'
ast. Conrad Harder · Dario Essugo⚽
⚽Pape Demba Diop (og)
45'+2
47'
Joaquín Martínez Gauna
63'
Jacobo Ortega / Conrad Harder ↕
63'
Giovanni Reyna / Diogo Sousa ↕
73'
Samir El-Mourabet / Dario Essugo ↕
73'
Fábio Baldé / Samuel Amo-Ameyaw ↕
↕ Sepe Elye Wahi / Sofiane Diop
73'
Sofiane Diop
75'
76'
Lucas Høgsberg / Jeyland Mitchell ↕
⚽Jonathan Clauss · ast. Sofiane Diop
81'
↕ Axel Witsel / Everton Pereira
86'
↕ Gauthier Hein / Isak Jansson
86'
Pre-match prediction
36.62%
Nice ←
30.88%
X
32.49%
Strasbourg
we assigned to the actual result (Nice) 36.62% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nice
1.59
1.34
-0.25
Strasbourg
1.33
0.56
-0.77
Nice dominated by xG (1.34 vs 0.56). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Nice Nice 3-4-2-1
23 Y. Diouf Y. Diouf G 6.79
35 X. Mandza Tsiendi X. Mandza Tsiendi D 6.60
55 Y. Ndayishimiye Y. Ndayishimiye D 6.99
5 Mohamed Abdelmonem Mohamed Abdelmonem D 6.91
27 N. Nkounkou N. Nkounkou M 6.09
28 A. Witsel A. Witsel 86' M 6.45
39 D. Coulibaly D. Coulibaly 37' M 6.32
92 J. Clauss J. Clauss 1 ⚽ M 8.20
9 M. Amoura M. Amoura M 6.41
7 G. Hein G. Hein 86' M 6.72
11 E. Wahi E. Wahi 73' F 6.05
Bench
38 A. Camara A. Camara M 0.00
36 A. Seidu A. Seidu D 0.00
41 D. Morana D. Morana F 0.00
87 E. Pereira E. Pereira 4' M 6.25
6 H. Boudaoui H. Boudaoui 53' M 6.69
84 H. Koutoune H. Koutoune D 0.00
21 I. Jansson I. Jansson 4' F 6.52
10 S. Diop S. Diop 1 👟 17' M 6.21
77 T. Boulhendi T. Boulhendi G 0.00
Strasbourg Strasbourg 4-3-3
1 F. Jörgensen F. Jörgensen G 6.71
36 Oso Oso D 6.33
31 Abdoul Karim Coulibaly Abdoul Karim Coulibaly D 6.56
4 J. Mitchell J. Mitchell 76' D 6.69
16 G. Antwi G. Antwi D 7.02
14 Dário Essugo Dário Essugo 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.97
21 P. Diop P. Diop 1 ⚽ M 6.38
23 Diogo Sousa Diogo Sousa 63' M 6.44
80 Gessime Yassine Gessime Yassine F 6.50
40 C. Harder C. Harder 1 👟 63' F 6.85
7 S. Amo-Ameyaw S. Amo-Ameyaw 73' F 5.84
Bench
19 Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé 17' F 6.22
10 G. Reyna G. Reyna 27' M 6.59
30 J. Ortega J. Ortega 27' F 5.89
24 L. Høgsberg L. Høgsberg 14' D 6.24
12 M. Piekutowski M. Piekutowski G 0.00
29 S. El Mourabet S. El Mourabet 17' M 6.03
28 Tyrese Noubissie Tyrese Noubissie M 0.00
43 Y. Becker Y. Becker D 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. Clauss
J. Clauss
M · Nice
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 41 pass
Dário Essugo
Dário Essugo
M · Strasbourg
7.97
1 ⚽
2 shots · 21 pass
G. Antwi
G. Antwi
D · Strasbourg
7.02
· 51 pass
Y. Ndayishimiye
Y. Ndayishimiye
D · Nice
6.99
· 64 pass
Mohamed Abdelmonem
Mohamed Abdelmonem
D · Nice
6.91
· 51 pass
C. Harder
C. Harder
F · Strasbourg
6.85
1 👟
2 shots · 12 pass
Nice Nice — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Diouf G 90 6.79 — — 0 40 31% 0 — —
X. Mandza Tsiendi D 90 6.60 — — 0 74 62% 4 — —
Y. Ndayishimiye D 90 6.99 — — 0 64 60% 3 — —
Mohamed Abdelmonem D 90 6.91 — — 0 51 49% 3 — —
N. Nkounkou M 90 6.09 — — 0 28 21% 6 — —
A. Witsel M 86 6.45 — — 1 39 35% 1 — —
D. Coulibaly M 37 6.32 — — 0 10 8% 1 — —
J. Clauss M 90 8.20 1 — 4 41 36% 4 — —
M. Amoura M 90 6.41 — — 3 18 16% 0 — —
G. Hein M 86 6.72 — — 0 46 41% 0 — —
E. Wahi F 73 6.05 — — 1 7 7% 0 — —
E. Pereira M 4 6.25 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
H. Boudaoui M 53 6.69 — — 1 29 26% 1 — —
I. Jansson F 4 6.52 — — 1 0 0% 0 — —
S. Diop M 17 6.21 — 1 0 7 4% 0 1 —
Strasbourg Strasbourg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Jörgensen G 90 6.71 — — 0 37 33% 0 — —
Oso D 90 6.33 — — 1 52 50% 1 1 —
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly D 90 6.56 — — 0 77 73% 0 — —
J. Mitchell D 76 6.69 — — 0 72 68% 2 — —
G. Antwi D 90 7.02 — — 0 51 46% 4 — —
Dário Essugo M 73 7.97 1 — 2 21 19% 1 — —
P. Diop M 90 6.38 1 — 2 81 79% 6 — —
Diogo Sousa M 63 6.44 — — 2 31 28% 2 — —
Gessime Yassine F 90 6.50 — — 0 20 15% 3 — —
C. Harder F 63 6.85 — 1 2 12 6% 0 — —
S. Amo-Ameyaw F 73 5.84 — — 2 24 16% 0 — —
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé F 17 6.22 — — 0 8 8% 0 — —
G. Reyna M 27 6.59 — — 0 21 18% 1 — —
J. Ortega F 27 5.89 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
L. Høgsberg D 14 6.24 — — 0 20 18% 0 — —
S. El Mourabet M 17 6.03 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nice vs Strasbourg?
The final score was Nice 2–1 Strasbourg.
What did the model predict before Nice vs Strasbourg?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Nice win, 30% to a draw, and 32% to an Strasbourg win.