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Niger Tornadoes - Plateau United

NPFL September 13, 2026 17:00
#8 · 3 pts
vs
#11 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.96%
Win
Niger Tornadoes
32.06%
Draw
30.98%
Win
Plateau United
1.58
Expected xG
0.61

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (16.14%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 32%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 63%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 52%
✓ 50.0% hit rate (16 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Niger Tornadoes a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Plateau United. Expected goals are 1.6 for Niger Tornadoes and 0.6 for Plateau United (total 2.2), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.14% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Niger Tornadoes have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Plateau United.

Season Stats

Niger Tornadoes
4W 5D 6L
Plateau United
6W 2D 7L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
1.2
1.1
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
53%
O 1.5
53%
40%
O 2.5
33%
27%
BTTS
33%
47%
Clean Sht
27%
Based on the last 15 matches in NPFL. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
30%
BTTS
Niger Tornadoes
5W 5D 0L · at home
Plateau United
1W 2D 7L · away
1.2
gls/g
0.5
0.5
Conceded
1.3
50%
Win %
10%
100%
Win or Draw
30%
50%
O 1.5
50%
30%
O 2.5
30%
20%
O 3.5
10%
30%
BTTS
30%
70%
Clean Sht
10%
30%
Failed to Score
70%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Niger Tornadoes Plateau United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2% 6.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 17.7% 10.8% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
2 14.0% 8.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.4% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3%
4 2.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2%

Recent form

L Kano Pillars 3–2
W Enyimba 2–1
W Shooting Stars 1–0
D El Kanemi Warriors 0–0
D Kwara United 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
W Kwara United 1–0
L Rivers United 2–0
W Kano Pillars 1–0
L Nasarawa United 1–0
L Warri Wolves 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes
Attack
14
Defence
44
Form
27
Plateau United Plateau United
Attack
14
Defence
47
Form
28
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Niger Tornadoes
0
Draw
1
Plateau United
8 Mar 2026 NPFL 0–3
19 Oct 2025 NPFL 4–0

League Table

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Niger Tornadoes vs Plateau United?
The model gives Niger Tornadoes a 36% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 30% for an Plateau United win.
How many goals are expected in Niger Tornadoes vs Plateau United?
Expected goals: Niger Tornadoes 1.6, Plateau United 0.6 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Niger Tornadoes vs Plateau United?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.14%.