Niger - Lesotho
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 25, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.25%
Win
Niger
34.5%
Draw
33.25%
Win
Lesotho
0.87
0.92
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(14.47%)
1X2 Result
1
32%
X
35%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
68%
12
66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
49%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Lesotho a 33% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 32% for Niger. Expected goals are 0.9 for Niger and 0.9 for Lesotho (total 1.8), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 14.47% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Niger
Lesotho →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.7% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Niger
Attack
8
Defence
80
Form
42
Lesotho
Attack
17
Defence
57
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Niger vs Lesotho?
The model gives Niger a 32% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 33% for an Lesotho win.
How many goals are expected in Niger vs Lesotho?
Expected goals: Niger 0.9, Lesotho 0.9 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Niger vs Lesotho?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.47%.