Niger - Morocco
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
November 15, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
22.1%
Win
Niger
35.67%
Draw
42.23%
Win
Morocco
0.49
0.9
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(20.08%)
1X2 Result
1
22%
X
36%
2
42%
Double Chance
1X
58%
X2
78%
12
64%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
79%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5
57%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Morocco a 42% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 22% for Niger. Expected goals are 0.5 for Niger and 0.9 for Morocco (total 1.4), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 20.08% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
2W
0D
0L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.0
1.5
Conceded
0.0
3.0
Shots OT
4.5
4.5
Corners
5.0
46%
Poss.
72%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
0%
50%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Niger
Morocco →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24.8% | 22.4% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Niger
Attack
20
Defence
66
Form
25
Morocco
Attack
42
Defence
76
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
What's at stake · Group A
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #1 |
| → Niger | #2 | #1 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Morocco | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Niger vs Morocco?
The model gives Niger a 22% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 42% for an Morocco win.
How many goals are expected in Niger vs Morocco?
Expected goals: Niger 0.5, Morocco 0.9 (total 1.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Niger vs Morocco?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 20.08%.