Nizhny Novgorod - Shinnik Yaroslavl
Cup
October 14, 2026 17:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.75%
Win
Nizhny Novgorod
30.72%
Draw
20.53%
Win
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
0.56
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(20.0%)
1X2 Result
1
49%
X
31%
2
21%
Double Chance
1X
80%
X2
51%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
36%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Nizhny Novgorod a 48% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Shinnik Yaroslavl. Expected goals are 1.2 for Nizhny Novgorod and 0.6 for Shinnik Yaroslavl (total 1.7), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 20.0% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Nizhny Novgorod have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Shinnik Yaroslavl.
Season Stats
2W
0D
5L
2W
1D
0L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
2.3
2.0
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
71%
O 1.5
100%
71%
O 2.5
33%
57%
BTTS
67%
14%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 7 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
1W
0D
2L
· at home
1W
0D
0L
· away
1.0
gls/g
4.0
1.3
Conceded
1.0
33%
Win %
100%
33%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
67%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Nizhny Novgorod
Shinnik Yaroslavl →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 20.8% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 12.1% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 3 | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Nizhny Novgorod
Attack
62
Defence
70
Form
72
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Attack
36
Defence
78
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
2 Aug 2026
3–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
The model gives Nizhny Novgorod a 48% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 20% for an Shinnik Yaroslavl win.
How many goals are expected in Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Expected goals: Nizhny Novgorod 1.2, Shinnik Yaroslavl 0.6 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 20.0%.