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HNL · Regular Season - 2 August 08, 2026 21:00 Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
#8 · 11 pts
3 – 1
Final score
HNK Gorica
#10 · 7 pts
M. Maric (ast. M. Pajac) 12'
A. Kavelj 40' (og)
N. Djurkovic (ast. D. Vukovic) 90'+3
60' (ast. L. Vrzic) B. Bogojevic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Lokomotiva Zagreb a 36% win probability (draw 32%, HNK Gorica 31%). The final result was NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–1 HNK Gorica. In 5 previous meetings, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for HNK Gorica.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
4
0.89
Actual xG
1.48
3
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
9
Corners
3
5
Tackles
23
5
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽M. Maric · ast. M. Pajac
12'
⚽A. Kavelj (og)
40'
I. Katic
45'+1
45'+1
D. Pavicic
M. Vesovic
45'+1
56'
L. Vrzic / K. Custovic ↕
60'
ast. L. Vrzic · B. Bogojevic⚽
↕ J. Vasilj / L. Belcar
63'
↕ M. Susak / D. Thaqi
63'
D. Thaqi
68'
M. Pajac
74'
78'
M. Gashi / J. Frigan ↕
A. Triantafyllou
79'
79'
P. Mijic
↕ M. Maric / M. Lorber
80'
↕ I. Katic / T. Kralevski
80'
85'
B. Kardum / F. Braut ↕
↕ M. Subotic / N. Djurkovic
90'+3
⚽N. Djurkovic · ast. D. Vukovic
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
36.02%
NK ←
32.4%
X
31.58%
HNK
we assigned to the actual result (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) 36.02% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NK
0.89
0.89
+-0.0
HNK
0.58
1.48
+0.9
HNK Gorica dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.89). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 11 23
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 10 22
3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 11 18
4 NK Osijek NK Osijek 11 17
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 10 17
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 11 13
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 11 13
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 11 11
9 Rudes Rudes 11 10
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 11 7
Lineups
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-1-4-1
12 J. Posavec J. Posavec G 6.60
17 M. Pajač M. Pajač 1 👟 D 7.20
4 T. Triantafyllou T. Triantafyllou D 7.00
5 Tino Jukić Tino Jukić D 7.00
23 M. Vešović M. Vešović D 6.30
10 M. Subotić M. Subotić M 6.90
11 Mirko Sušak Mirko Sušak 63' M 6.90
29 J. Vasilj J. Vasilj 63' M 6.60
8 I. Katić I. Katić 80' M 6.30
7 D. Vuković D. Vuković 1 👟 M 6.30
24 M. Marić M. Marić 1 ⚽ 80' F 7.30
Bench
26 Dardan Morina Dardan Morina M
15 Dominik Thaqi Dominik Thaqi 32' F 6.30
30 Duje Reić Duje Reić M
6 F. Fetai F. Fetai M
20 K. Čabrajić K. Čabrajić D
9 L. Belcar L. Belcar 32' M 6.20
32 L. Savatović L. Savatović G
22 Mate Antunović Mate Antunović F
14 M. Lorber M. Lorber 15' M 6.30
27 N. Godec N. Godec D
28 Noel Đurković Noel Đurković 1 ⚽ 2' F 7.30
21 Teodor Kralevski Teodor Kralevski 15' D 6.20
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 3-4-2-1
71 D. Matijaš D. Matijaš G 5.60
34 I. Cvijanović I. Cvijanović D 6.90
32 J. Filipović J. Filipović D 6.70
45 S. Perić S. Perić D 6.90
25 B. Bogojević B. Bogojević 1 ⚽ M 8.30
36 Ante Kavelj Ante Kavelj 1 ⚽ M 7.20
66 Juraj Frigan Juraj Frigan 78' M 6.30
2 F. Braut F. Braut 85' M 7.20
24 D. Pavičić D. Pavičić F 6.20
4 K. Čustović K. Čustović 56' F 7.00
9 P. Mijić P. Mijić F 6.90
Bench
18 B. Kardum B. Kardum 10' F 6.30
30 D. Žarkov D. Žarkov G
28 Elisandro Kožina Aranha Elisandro Kožina Aranha D
21 H. Moustapha H. Moustapha D
26 Keenan Nino Carole Keenan Nino Carole F
20 L. Vrzić L. Vrzić 1 👟 39' F 7.20
99 M. Gashi M. Gashi 17' F 6.30
7 O. Bakić O. Bakić M
1 R. Josipović R. Josipović G
14 S. Kučiš S. Kučiš M
67 Tomislav Prgomet Tomislav Prgomet M
Best on the pitch
B. Bogojević
B. Bogojević
M · HNK
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
Noel Đurković
Noel Đurković
F · NK
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 1 pass
M. Marić
M. Marić
F · NK
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
L. Vrzić
L. Vrzić
F · HNK
7.20
1 👟
· 17 pass
M. Pajač
M. Pajač
D · NK
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 41 pass
F. Braut
F. Braut
M · HNK
7.20
1 shots · 42 pass
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Posavec G 95 6.60 — — — 38 29% — — —
M. Pajač D 95 7.20 — 1 1 41 34% 1 1 —
T. Triantafyllou D 95 7.00 — — — 49 48% — 1 —
Tino Jukić D 95 7.00 — — 1 53 43% — — —
M. Vešović D 95 6.30 — — — 25 22% — 1 —
M. Subotić M 93 6.90 — — — 36 33% 2 — —
Mirko Sušak M 63 6.90 — — — 17 11% — — —
J. Vasilj M 63 6.60 — — — 27 23% — — —
I. Katić M 80 6.30 — — — 25 20% 1 1 —
D. Vuković M 95 6.30 — 1 — 15 9% 1 — —
M. Marić F 80 7.30 1 — 3 22 12% — — —
Dominik Thaqi F 32 6.30 — — — 7 6% — 1 —
L. Belcar M 32 6.20 — — — 11 9% — — —
M. Lorber M 15 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
Noel Đurković F 2 7.30 1 — 1 1 1% — — —
Teodor Kralevski D 15 6.20 — — — — — — — —
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Matijaš G 95 5.60 — — — 23 18% — — —
I. Cvijanović D 95 6.90 — — — 62 52% 6 — —
J. Filipović D 95 6.70 — — — 66 63% 2 — —
S. Perić D 95 6.90 — — — 74 70% 1 — —
B. Bogojević M 95 8.30 1 — 3 19 17% 2 — —
Ante Kavelj M 95 7.20 1 — 1 39 26% 2 — —
Juraj Frigan M 78 6.30 — — — 26 23% 2 — —
F. Braut M 85 7.20 — — 1 42 36% 3 — —
D. Pavičić F 95 6.20 — — 2 33 27% — 1 —
K. Čustović F 56 7.00 — — — 17 14% 2 — —
P. Mijić F 95 6.90 — — 4 13 9% 1 1 —
B. Kardum F 10 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
L. Vrzić F 39 7.20 — 1 — 17 9% 1 — —
M. Gashi F 17 6.30 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
The final score was NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–1 HNK Gorica.
What did the model predict before NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
The model assigned 36% probability to a NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an HNK Gorica win.