M. Maric
(ast. M. Pajac)
12'
A. Kavelj
40'
(og)
N. Djurkovic
(ast. D. Vukovic)
90'+3
60'
(ast. L. Vrzic)
B. Bogojevic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Lokomotiva Zagreb a 36% win probability (draw 32%, HNK Gorica 31%). The final result was NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–1 HNK Gorica. In 4 previous meetings, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for HNK Gorica.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
4
0.89
Actual xG
1.48
3
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
9
Corners
3
5
Tackles
23
5
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽M. Maric
· ast. M. Pajac
12'
⚽A. Kavelj
(og)
40'
I. Katic
45'+1
45'+1
D. Pavicic
M. Vesovic
45'+1
56'
L. Vrzic
/
K. Custovic
60'
ast. L. Vrzic ·
B. Bogojevic⚽
J. Vasilj
/ L. Belcar
63'
M. Susak
/ D. Thaqi
63'
D. Thaqi
68'
M. Pajac
74'
78'
M. Gashi
/
J. Frigan
A. Triantafyllou
79'
79'
P. Mijic
M. Maric
/ M. Lorber
80'
I. Katic
/ T. Kralevski
80'
85'
B. Kardum
/
F. Braut
M. Subotic
/ N. Djurkovic
90'+3
⚽N. Djurkovic
· ast. D. Vukovic
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
36.02%
NK ←
32.4%
X
31.58%
HNK
we assigned to the actual result (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb)
36.02%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.89
0.89
+-0.0
0.58
1.48
+0.9
HNK Gorica dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.89).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
J. Posavec
G
J. Posavec
G
17
M. Pajač
1 👟
D
M. Pajač
1 👟
D
4
T. Triantafyllou
D
T. Triantafyllou
D
5
Tino Jukić
D
Tino Jukić
D
23
M. Vešović
D
M. Vešović
D
10
M. Subotić
M
M. Subotić
M
11
Mirko Sušak
63'
M
Mirko Sušak
63'
M
29
J. Vasilj
63'
M
J. Vasilj
63'
M
8
I. Katić
80'
M
I. Katić
80'
M
7
D. Vuković
1 👟
M
D. Vuković
1 👟
M
24
M. Marić
1 ⚽
80'
F
M. Marić
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
15
Dominik Thaqi
32'
F
Dominik Thaqi
32'
F
30
D. Reic
M
D. Reic
M
6
F. Fetai
M
F. Fetai
M
20
K. Čabrajić
D
K. Čabrajić
D
9
L. Belcar
32'
M
L. Belcar
32'
M
32
L. Savatović
G
L. Savatović
G
22
M. Antunović
F
M. Antunović
F
14
M. Lorber
15'
M
M. Lorber
15'
M
26
Morina Dardan
M
Morina Dardan
M
27
N. Godec
D
N. Godec
D
28
Noel Đurković
1 ⚽
2'
F
Noel Đurković
1 ⚽
2'
F
21
T. Kralevski
15'
D
T. Kralevski
15'
D
71
D. Matijaš
G
D. Matijaš
G
34
I. Cvijanović
D
I. Cvijanović
D
32
J. Filipović
D
J. Filipović
D
45
S. Perić
D
S. Perić
D
25
B. Bogojević
1 ⚽
M
B. Bogojević
1 ⚽
M
36
Ante Kavelj
1 ⚽
M
Ante Kavelj
1 ⚽
M
66
Juraj Frigan
78'
M
Juraj Frigan
78'
M
2
F. Braut
85'
M
F. Braut
85'
M
24
D. Pavičić
F
D. Pavičić
F
4
K. Čustović
56'
F
K. Čustović
56'
F
9
P. Mijić
F
P. Mijić
F
Bench
18
B. Kardum
10'
F
B. Kardum
10'
F
30
D. Žarkov
G
D. Žarkov
G
28
Elisandro Kožina Aranha
D
Elisandro Kožina Aranha
D
21
Hadji Issa Moustapha
D
Hadji Issa Moustapha
D
26
Keenan Carole
F
Keenan Carole
F
20
L. Vrzić
1 👟
39'
F
L. Vrzić
1 👟
39'
F
99
M. Gashi
17'
F
M. Gashi
17'
F
7
O. Bakić
M
O. Bakić
M
1
R. Josipović
G
R. Josipović
G
14
S. Kučiš
M
S. Kučiš
M
67
Tomislav Prgomet
M
Tomislav Prgomet
M
Best on the pitch
B. Bogojević
M · HNK
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
Noel Đurković
F · NK
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
M. Marić
F · NK
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
L. Vrzić
F · HNK
7.20
1 👟
· 17 pass
M. Pajač
D · NK
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 41 pass
F. Braut
M · HNK
7.20
1 shots
· 42 pass
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Posavec | G | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | — | — | — |
| M. Pajač | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 41 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Triantafyllou | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 48% | — | 1 | — |
| Tino Jukić | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 43% | — | — | — |
| M. Vešović | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Subotić | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Mirko Sušak | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Vasilj | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| I. Katić | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Vuković | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Marić | F | 80 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Dominik Thaqi | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Belcar | M | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Lorber | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Noel Đurković | F | 2 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| T. Kralevski | D | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
HNK Gorica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Matijaš | G | 95 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| I. Cvijanović | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 52% | 6 | — | — |
| J. Filipović | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 66 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Perić | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 74 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Bogojević | M | 95 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Ante Kavelj | M | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Juraj Frigan | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Braut | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Pavičić | F | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Čustović | F | 56 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Mijić | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 13 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Kardum | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Vrzić | F | 39 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gashi | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
The final score was NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–1 HNK Gorica.
What did the model predict before NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?
The model assigned 36% probability to a NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an HNK Gorica win.