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HNL · Regular Season - 10 October 17, 2026 15:00 Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
#8 · 11 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Istra 1961
#6 · 13 pts
Fran Karačić (ast. Leon Belcar) 11'
Lovre kulusic (ast. Fran Karačić) 46'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Istra 1961 a 36% win probability (draw 32%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 30%). The final result was NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2–0 Istra 1961. In 5 previous meetings, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Istra 1961.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
8
1.49
Actual xG
0.58
8
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
5
Corners
10
22
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Fran Karačić · ast. Leon Belcar
11'
⚽Lovre kulusic · ast. Fran Karačić
46'
52'
Niko Šepić
61'
Dominik Celija / Niko Šepić ↕
61'
hamza jaganjac / Dukan Ahmeti ↕
69'
Silvio Gorican / Nik Skafar Zuzic ↕
69'
Matija Kablar / Demirel hodzic ↕
↕ Leon Belcar / dominik thaqi
73'
↕ Dušan Vuković / Mirko Marić
73'
↕ Ivan katic / Matej Mitrović
73'
↕ jakov gurlica / Marijan Čabraja
77'
88'
vinko rozic / Isaac Aguiar Tomich ↕
↕ Feta Fetai / Erbol Atabaev
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
30.57%
NK ←
32.82%
X
36.61%
Istra
we assigned to the actual result (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) 30.57% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NK
0.68
1.49
+0.81
Istra
0.94
0.58
-0.36
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb dominated by xG (1.49 vs 0.58). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 11 23
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 10 22
3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 11 18
4 NK Osijek NK Osijek 11 17
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 10 17
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 11 13
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 11 13
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 11 11
9 Rudes Rudes 11 10
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 11 7
Lineups
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-2-3-1
12 J. Posavec J. Posavec G 9.57
20 K. Čabrajić K. Čabrajić D 6.98
4 T. Triantafyllou T. Triantafyllou D 6.79
2 J. Gurlica J. Gurlica 77' D 6.75
13 F. Karačić F. Karačić 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 7.65
6 F. Fetai F. Fetai 89' M 6.23
8 I. Katić I. Katić 73' M 6.28
9 L. Belcar L. Belcar 1 👟 73' M 7.70
14 M. Lorber M. Lorber M 6.35
7 D. Vuković D. Vuković 73' M 6.98
11 Lovre Kulušić Lovre Kulušić 1 ⚽ F 7.94
Bench
15 Dominik Thaqi Dominik Thaqi 17' F 6.65
18 E. Atabaev E. Atabaev 1' M 6.55
29 J. Vasilj J. Vasilj M 0.00
16 Kayke Kayke F 0.00
32 L. Savatović L. Savatović G 0.00
5 M. Čabraja M. Čabraja 13' D 6.53
26 M. Dardan M. Dardan M 0.00
24 M. Marić M. Marić 17' F 6.61
3 M. Mitrović M. Mitrović 17' D 6.38
10 M. Subotić M. Subotić M 0.00
28 N. Đurković N. Đurković F 0.00
25 P. Smiljanic P. Smiljanic M 0.00
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 4-2-3-1
1 F. Kolić F. Kolić G 6.97
13 Niko Šepić Niko Šepić 61' D 6.72
4 R. Kumar R. Kumar D 6.22
3 M. Nasraoui M. Nasraoui D 6.63
44 R. Hrvatin R. Hrvatin D 5.54
25 G. Albarracín G. Albarracín M 6.50
5 D. Hodzic D. Hodzic 69' M 5.90
30 N. Skafar Zuzic N. Skafar Zuzic 69' M 6.00
20 D. Ahmeti D. Ahmeti 61' M 5.83
22 E. Frederiksen E. Frederiksen M 6.15
9 Isaac Isaac 88' F 6.13
Bench
27 D. Celija D. Celija 29' F 6.37
94 H. Jaganjac H. Jaganjac 29' F 6.68
40 J. Paus-Kunšt J. Paus-Kunšt G 0.00
34 M. Kablar M. Kablar 21' M 6.33
66 M. Momoh M. Momoh D 0.00
11 S. Goričan S. Goričan 21' F 6.91
23 S. Ukich S. Ukich M 0.00
39 T. Brajkovic T. Brajkovic F 0.00
7 V. Rozić V. Rozić 2' F 6.28
Best on the pitch
J. Posavec
J. Posavec
G · NK
9.57
· 39 pass
Lovre Kulušić
Lovre Kulušić
F · NK
7.94
1 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
L. Belcar
L. Belcar
M · NK
7.70
1 👟
· 24 pass
F. Karačić
F. Karačić
D · NK
7.65
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 39 pass
K. Čabrajić
K. Čabrajić
D · NK
6.98
1 shots · 23 pass
D. Vuković
D. Vuković
M · NK
6.98
3 shots · 16 pass
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Posavec G 90 9.57 — — 0 39 30% 0 — —
K. Čabrajić D 90 6.98 — — 1 23 17% 3 — —
T. Triantafyllou D 90 6.79 — — 0 31 26% 0 — —
J. Gurlica D 77 6.75 — — 0 42 32% 1 — —
F. Karačić D 90 7.65 1 1 3 39 20% 4 — —
F. Fetai M 89 6.23 — — 0 28 19% 4 — —
I. Katić M 73 6.28 — — 2 31 23% 0 — —
L. Belcar M 73 7.70 — 1 0 24 19% 3 — —
M. Lorber M 90 6.35 — — 1 21 17% 4 — —
D. Vuković M 73 6.98 — — 3 16 12% 0 — —
Lovre Kulušić F 90 7.94 1 — 3 18 13% 2 — —
Dominik Thaqi F 17 6.65 — — 1 4 3% 0 — —
E. Atabaev M 1 6.55 — — 0 0 0% 1 — —
M. Čabraja D 13 6.53 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
M. Marić F 17 6.61 — — 0 9 5% 0 — —
M. Mitrović D 17 6.38 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Kolić G 90 6.97 — — 0 25 23% 0 — —
Niko Šepić D 61 6.72 — — 2 30 26% 3 1 —
R. Kumar D 90 6.22 — — 1 53 39% 0 — —
M. Nasraoui D 90 6.63 — — 1 60 54% 3 — —
R. Hrvatin D 90 5.54 — — 0 35 25% 2 — —
G. Albarracín M 90 6.50 — — 1 50 44% 4 — —
D. Hodzic M 69 5.90 — — 0 32 31% 1 — —
N. Skafar Zuzic M 69 6.00 — — 0 18 13% 4 — —
D. Ahmeti M 61 5.83 — — 0 18 12% 0 — —
E. Frederiksen M 90 6.15 — — 4 32 17% 0 — —
Isaac F 88 6.13 — — 2 17 10% 0 — —
D. Celija F 29 6.37 — — 0 15 14% 1 — —
H. Jaganjac F 29 6.68 — — 1 4 4% 0 — —
M. Kablar M 21 6.33 — — 0 21 18% 1 — —
S. Goričan F 21 6.91 — — 2 8 7% 0 — —
V. Rozić F 2 6.28 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?
The final score was NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2–0 Istra 1961.
What did the model predict before NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?
The model assigned 30% probability to a NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win, 32% to a draw, and 36% to an Istra 1961 win.