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HNL · Regular Season - 10 October 17, 2026 18:00 Opus Arena, Osijek
NK Osijek
#4 · 17 pts
1 – 1
Final score
HNK Gorica
#10 · 7 pts
Armando León (ast. Admir ljatifi) 68'
23' (ast. Domagoj Pavičić) Jakov Pranjić
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Osijek a 50% win probability (draw 28%, HNK Gorica 21%). The final result was NK Osijek 1–1 HNK Gorica. In 5 previous meetings, NK Osijek have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for HNK Gorica.

Match statistics
28
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
3
1.71
Actual xG
0.58
2
Saves
6
59%
Possession
41%
11
Corners
6
16
Tackles
27
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
23'
ast. Domagoj Pavičić · Jakov Pranjić⚽
↕ Simun Mikolcic / Ivan Dolček
29'
Izak Ježić
31'
Armando León
34'
35'
frigan juraj
↕ Álejandro Cantero / Admir ljatifi
45'
↕ Izak Ježić / Marcel Heister
45'
60'
Goncalo Costa
↕ Luka Tunjic / Ivan Barić
66'
68'
Ognjen Bakic / frigan juraj ↕
68'
Stefan Perić / Jakov Pranjić ↕
⚽Armando León · ast. Admir ljatifi
68'
73'
75'
Mario Carević
↕ Jay Kruiver / Luka Posavec
76'
80'
ivan cvijanovic / Bruno Bogojević ↕
86'
Kevin Custovic / Domagoj Pavičić ↕
90'+3
Filip Braut
Pre-match prediction
50.01%
NK
28.82%
X ←
21.17%
HNK
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.82% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NK
1.40
1.71
+0.31
HNK
0.46
0.58
+0.12
NK Osijek dominated by xG (1.71 vs 0.58). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 11 23
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 10 22
3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 11 18
4 NK Osijek NK Osijek 11 17
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 10 17
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 11 13
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 11 13
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 11 11
9 Rudes Rudes 11 10
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 11 7
Lineups
NK Osijek NK Osijek 4-2-3-1
31 M. Malenica M. Malenica G 6.61
47 D. Kalem D. Kalem D 7.01
49 Ivano Kolarik Ivano Kolarik D 7.08
98
D 0.00
22 J. Kruiver J. Kruiver 76' D 6.13
23 L. Vrbancic L. Vrbancic M 7.20
8 Š. Mikolčić Š. Mikolčić 29' M 6.27
21 Cantero Cantero 45' M 6.23
11 Luka Tunjic Luka Tunjic 66' M 7.20
39 D. Bukvić D. Bukvić M 6.38
79 A. León A. León 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
30 A. Ljatifi A. Ljatifi 1 👟 45' F 6.85
99 Balelo Balelo F 0.00
67 B. Bakti B. Bakti M 0.00
9 I. Barić I. Barić 24' F 6.74
7 I. Dolček I. Dolček 61' F 6.91
26 L. Jelenić L. Jelenić D 0.00
24 L. Posavec L. Posavec 14' D 6.61
2 M. Heister M. Heister 45' D 6.76
1 N. Curcija N. Curcija G 0.00
18 Niko Farkaš Niko Farkaš M 0.00
16 O. Petrusenko O. Petrusenko M 0.00
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 4-2-3-1
1 R. Josipović R. Josipović G 7.34
5 Gonçalo Costa Gonçalo Costa D 6.73
15 D. Stevanović D. Stevanović D 6.14
32 J. Filipović J. Filipović D 6.51
2 F. Braut F. Braut D 5.62
66 Juraj Frigan Juraj Frigan 68' M 6.03
6 T. Lacoux T. Lacoux M 6.62
8 J. Pranjić J. Pranjić 1 ⚽ 68' M 7.80
24 D. Pavičić D. Pavičić 1 👟 86' M 7.02
25 B. Bogojević B. Bogojević 80' M 6.77
50 A. Erceg A. Erceg F 6.23
Bench
18 B. Kardum B. Kardum F 0.00
71 D. Matijaš D. Matijaš G 0.00
30 D. Žarkov D. Žarkov G 0.00
21 H. Moustapha H. Moustapha D 0.00
34 I. Cvijanović I. Cvijanović 10' D 6.46
4 K. Čustović K. Čustović 4' M 6.24
20 L. Vrzić L. Vrzić F 0.00
7 O. Bakić O. Bakić 22' M 6.29
9 P. Mijić P. Mijić F 0.00
45 S. Perić S. Perić 22' D 6.29
Best on the pitch
A. León
A. León
F · NK
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots · 16 pass
J. Pranjić
J. Pranjić
M · HNK
7.80
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
R. Josipović
R. Josipović
G · HNK
7.34
· 35 pass
L. Vrbancic
L. Vrbancic
M · NK
7.20
1 shots · 80 pass
Luka Tunjic
Luka Tunjic
M · NK
7.20
2 shots · 21 pass
Ivano Kolarik
Ivano Kolarik
D · NK
7.08
3 shots · 61 pass
NK Osijek NK Osijek — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Malenica G 90 6.61 — — 0 29 25% 0 — —
D. Kalem D 90 7.01 — — 0 34 30% 2 — —
Ivano Kolarik D 90 7.08 — — 3 61 55% 2 — —
D 0 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
J. Kruiver D 76 6.13 — — 0 48 37% 0 — —
L. Vrbancic M 90 7.20 — — 1 80 69% 1 — —
Š. Mikolčić M 29 6.27 — — 0 11 10% 1 — —
Cantero M 45 6.23 — — 1 7 4% 0 — —
Luka Tunjic M 66 7.20 — — 2 21 20% 0 — —
D. Bukvić M 90 6.38 — — 5 31 27% 6 — —
A. León F 90 8.20 1 — 5 16 15% 1 1 —
A. Ljatifi F 45 6.85 — 1 2 16 15% 1 — —
I. Barić F 24 6.74 — — 1 8 7% 0 — —
I. Dolček F 61 6.91 — — 5 25 23% 1 — —
L. Posavec D 14 6.61 — — 1 11 9% 1 — —
M. Heister D 45 6.76 — — 2 33 31% 0 — —
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Josipović G 90 7.34 — — 0 35 17% 0 — —
Gonçalo Costa D 90 6.73 — — 1 20 15% 3 1 —
D. Stevanović D 90 6.14 — — 0 26 14% 1 — —
J. Filipović D 90 6.51 — — 0 21 17% 0 — —
F. Braut D 90 5.62 — — 0 27 18% 2 1 —
Juraj Frigan M 68 6.03 — — 1 18 9% 6 1 —
T. Lacoux M 90 6.62 — — 1 20 17% 2 — —
J. Pranjić M 68 7.80 1 — 1 14 8% 4 — —
D. Pavičić M 86 7.02 — 1 1 17 13% 0 — —
B. Bogojević M 80 6.77 — — 0 8 6% 6 — —
A. Erceg F 90 6.23 — — 1 24 20% 1 — —
I. Cvijanović D 10 6.46 — — 0 2 0% 1 — —
K. Čustović M 4 6.24 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
O. Bakić M 22 6.29 — — 0 7 5% 1 — —
S. Perić D 22 6.29 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica?
The final score was NK Osijek 1–1 HNK Gorica.
What did the model predict before NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica?
The model assigned 50% probability to a NK Osijek win, 28% to a draw, and 21% to an HNK Gorica win.