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HNL · Regular Season - 9 October 10, 2026 18:00 Opus Arena, Osijek
NK Osijek
#4 · 17 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Istra 1961
#6 · 13 pts
Simun Mikolcic 2'
34' (ast. Emil Frederiksen) Antonio Mauric
50' (ast. Dukan Ahmeti) Nik Skafar Zuzic
90'+3 Dukan Ahmeti
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Osijek a 46% win probability (draw 28%, Istra 1961 25%). The final result was NK Osijek 1–3 Istra 1961. In 4 previous meetings, NK Osijek have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Istra 1961.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
16
4
Shots on target
6
0.81
Actual xG
2.64
2
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
10
Corners
5
23
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Simun Mikolcic
2'
31'
Demirel hodzic / Daouda Doumbia ↕
34'
ast. Emil Frederiksen · Antonio Mauric⚽
↕ Emin Hasic / ivano kolarik
45'
45'
Dukan Ahmeti / Antonio Mauric ↕
50'
ast. Dukan Ahmeti · Nik Skafar Zuzic⚽
↕ Domagoj Bukvic / Admir ljatifi
56'
↕ Álejandro Cantero / Ivan Dolček
56'
↕ Luka vrbancic / Oleksandr Petrusenko
62'
↕ Marcel Heister / David Kalem
62'
67'
Demirel hodzic
Simun Mikolcic
69'
71'
Gustavo albarracin
Armando León
76'
79'
Silvio Gorican / Nik Skafar Zuzic ↕
85'
Matija Kablar / Gustavo albarracin ↕
90'+3
Dukan Ahmeti⚽
90'+6
Dukan Ahmeti
Pre-match prediction
46.82%
NK
28.16%
X
25.02%
Istra ←
we assigned to the actual result (Istra 1961) 25.02% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NK
1.60
0.81
-0.8
Istra
0.72
2.64
+1.93
Istra 1961 dominated by xG (2.64 vs 0.81). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 11 23
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 10 22
3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 11 18
4 NK Osijek NK Osijek 11 17
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 10 17
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 11 13
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 11 13
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 11 11
9 Rudes Rudes 11 10
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 11 7
Lineups
NK Osijek NK Osijek 4-2-3-1
31 M. Malenica M. Malenica G 5.57
2 M. Heister M. Heister 62' D 6.08
33 E. Hasić E. Hasić 44' D 6.26
98
D 0.00
22 J. Kruiver J. Kruiver D 6.66
8 Š. Mikolčić Š. Mikolčić 1 ⚽ M 7.49
23 L. Vrbancic L. Vrbancic 62' M 6.12
21 Cantero Cantero 56' M 6.01
11 Luka Tunjic Luka Tunjic M 6.67
39 D. Bukvić D. Bukvić 56' M 5.95
79 A. León A. León F 6.43
Bench
30 A. Ljatifi A. Ljatifi 34' F 6.40
99 Balelo Balelo F 0.00
67 B. Bakti B. Bakti M 0.00
47 D. Kalem D. Kalem 28' D 6.21
9 I. Barić I. Barić F 0.00
7 I. Dolček I. Dolček 34' F 6.76
49 Ivano Kolarik Ivano Kolarik 46' D 6.15
26 L. Jelenić L. Jelenić D 0.00
24 L. Posavec L. Posavec D 0.00
1 N. Curcija N. Curcija G 0.00
18 Niko Farkaš Niko Farkaš M 0.00
16 O. Petrusenko O. Petrusenko 28' M 6.53
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 4-2-3-1
1 F. Kolić F. Kolić G 6.69
13 Niko Šepić Niko Šepić D 6.28
4 R. Kumar R. Kumar D 6.63
3 M. Nasraoui M. Nasraoui D 6.98
44 R. Hrvatin R. Hrvatin D 6.70
25 G. Albarracín G. Albarracín 85' M 6.16
88 D. Doumbia D. Doumbia 31' M 6.26
30 N. Skafar Zuzic N. Skafar Zuzic 1 ⚽ 79' M 7.88
8 A. Maurić A. Maurić 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.46
22 E. Frederiksen E. Frederiksen 1 👟 M 7.15
9 Isaac Isaac F 6.17
Bench
20 D. Ahmeti D. Ahmeti 1 ⚽ 1 👟 45' M 7.99
27 D. Celija D. Celija F 0.00
5 D. Hodzic D. Hodzic 59' M 6.00
40 J. Paus-Kunšt J. Paus-Kunšt G 0.00
34 M. Kablar M. Kablar 5' M 6.13
66 M. Momoh M. Momoh D 0.00
11 S. Goričan S. Goričan 11' F 6.43
16 S. Miettinen S. Miettinen D 0.00
23 S. Ukich S. Ukich M 0.00
39 T. Brajkovic T. Brajkovic F 0.00
Best on the pitch
D. Ahmeti
D. Ahmeti
M · Istra
7.99
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 6 pass
N. Skafar Zuzic
N. Skafar Zuzic
M · Istra
7.88
1 ⚽
2 shots · 13 pass
Š. Mikolčić
Š. Mikolčić
M · NK
7.49
1 ⚽
1 shots · 26 pass
A. Maurić
A. Maurić
M · Istra
7.46
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
E. Frederiksen
E. Frederiksen
M · Istra
7.15
1 👟
2 shots · 30 pass
M. Nasraoui
M. Nasraoui
D · Istra
6.98
1 shots · 36 pass
NK Osijek NK Osijek — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Malenica G 90 5.57 — — 0 35 30% 0 — —
M. Heister D 62 6.08 — — 0 25 19% 1 — —
E. Hasić D 44 6.26 — — 0 29 25% 0 — —
D 0 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
J. Kruiver D 90 6.66 — — 1 49 46% 3 — —
Š. Mikolčić M 90 7.49 1 — 1 26 23% 0 1 —
L. Vrbancic M 62 6.12 — — 0 44 37% 1 — —
Cantero M 56 6.01 — — 1 12 7% 3 — —
Luka Tunjic M 90 6.67 — — 5 35 33% 3 — —
D. Bukvić M 56 5.95 — — 0 20 16% 2 — —
A. León F 90 6.43 — — 5 19 15% 1 1 —
A. Ljatifi F 34 6.40 — — 2 22 16% 0 — —
D. Kalem D 28 6.21 — — 0 20 19% 0 — —
I. Dolček F 34 6.76 — — 1 21 16% 1 — —
Ivano Kolarik D 46 6.15 — — 0 58 53% 3 — —
O. Petrusenko M 28 6.53 — — 0 28 24% 5 — —
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Kolić G 90 6.69 — — 0 23 17% 0 — —
Niko Šepić D 90 6.28 — — 1 30 24% 3 — —
R. Kumar D 90 6.63 — — 0 39 32% 1 — —
M. Nasraoui D 90 6.98 — — 1 36 29% 2 — —
R. Hrvatin D 90 6.70 — — 2 33 26% 3 — —
G. Albarracín M 85 6.16 — — 1 21 17% 4 1 —
D. Doumbia M 31 6.26 — — 0 12 9% 0 — —
N. Skafar Zuzic M 79 7.88 1 — 2 13 8% 1 — —
A. Maurić M 45 7.46 1 — 1 11 10% 0 — —
E. Frederiksen M 90 7.15 — 1 2 30 23% 0 — —
Isaac F 90 6.17 — — 3 20 14% 1 — —
D. Ahmeti M 45 7.99 1 1 2 6 6% 2 1 —
D. Hodzic M 59 6.00 — — 1 14 13% 0 1 —
M. Kablar M 5 6.13 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
S. Goričan F 11 6.43 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?
The final score was NK Osijek 1–3 Istra 1961.
What did the model predict before NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?
The model assigned 46% probability to a NK Osijek win, 28% to a draw, and 25% to an Istra 1961 win.