HNL · Regular Season - 3 August 15, 2026 21:00 Opus Arena, Osijek

NK Osijek

#4 · 17 pts

1 – 0

Final score

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

#8 · 11 pts

A. Jakupovic (ast. D. Bukvic) 90'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Osijek a 38% win probability (draw 30%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 31%). The final result was NK Osijek 1–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. In 4 previous meetings, NK Osijek have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 1 wins for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

0

1.70

Actual xG

0.92

66%

Possession

34%

9

Corners

4

Match Events

46'

L. Belcar / T. Kralevski ↕

46'

J. Vasilj / M. Susak ↕

↕ J. Jezic / A. Jakupovic

64'

67'

F. Fetai / M. Subotic ↕

↕ S. Mikolcic / I. Dolcek

68'

69'

T. Jukic

A. Jakupovic

75'

A. Leon

80'

80'

D. Thaqi / M. Maric ↕

I. Kolarik

81'

85'

M. Lorber

↕ D. Bukvic / B. Bakti

90'+2

90'+2

N. Djurkovic / I. Katic ↕

↕ I. Kolarik / E. Hasic

90'+2

↕ A. Leon / Balelo

90'+3

90'+5

M. Pajac

⚽A. Jakupovic · ast. D. Bukvic

90'

Pre-match prediction

38.04%

NK ←

30.72%

X

31.24%

NK

we assigned to the actual result (NK Osijek) 38.04% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

NK

1.92

1.70

-0.22

NK

1.54

0.92

-0.62

NK Osijek dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.92). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	HNK Hajduk Split	11	23
2	Dinamo Zagreb	10	22
3	NK Varazdin	11	18
4	NK Osijek	11	17
5	HNK Rijeka	10	17
6	Istra 1961	11	13
7	NK Slaven Belupo	11	13
8	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	11	11
9	Rudes	11	10
10	HNK Gorica	11	7