HNL · Regular Season - 4 August 22, 2026 18:30

NK Slaven Belupo

#7 · 13 pts

2 – 0

Final score

HNK Gorica

#10 · 7 pts

J. Mitrovic (ast. K. Isasegi) 18'

I. Nestorovski (ast. D. Bosak) 21'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Slaven Belupo a 35% win probability (draw 30%, HNK Gorica 33%). The final result was NK Slaven Belupo 2–0 HNK Gorica. In 4 previous meetings, NK Slaven Belupo have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for HNK Gorica.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

3

0.94

Actual xG

0.87

43%

Possession

57%

5

Corners

4

Match Events

I. Nestorovski

4'

⚽J. Mitrovic · ast. K. Isasegi

18'

⚽I. Nestorovski · ast. D. Bosak

21'

22'

M. Carevic

L. Crepulja

27'

36'

A. Kavelj

46'

K. Custovic / F. Braut ↕

60'

S. Kucis / J. Frigan ↕

60'

D. Stevanovic / J. Filipovic ↕

↕ L. Bosnjak / A. Adeshina

60'

60'

M. Gashi / P. Mijic ↕

↕ L. Banovec / A. Grgic

61'

↕ I. Nestorovski / M. Dabro

67'

84'

L. Vrzic / J. Pranjic ↕

↕ D. Bosak / A. Jonsson

90'+1

↕ D. Kovacic / T. Bozic

90'+1

Pre-match prediction

35.79%

NK ←

30.53%

X

33.68%

HNK

we assigned to the actual result (NK Slaven Belupo) 35.79% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

NK

2.10

0.94

-1.16

HNK

1.81

0.87

-0.94

xG dominance was balanced (0.94 – 0.87). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	HNK Hajduk Split	11	23
2	Dinamo Zagreb	10	22
3	NK Varazdin	11	18
4	NK Osijek	11	17
5	HNK Rijeka	10	17
6	Istra 1961	11	13
7	NK Slaven Belupo	11	13
8	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	11	11
9	Rudes	11	10
10	HNK Gorica	11	7