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HNL · Regular Season - 9 October 11, 2026 18:00 Gradski Stadion, Koprivnica
NK Slaven Belupo
#7 · 13 pts
4 – 1
Final score
HNK Rijeka
#5 · 17 pts
Jon Mersinaj (ast. lovro banovec) 35'
lovro banovec (ast. Marko Dabro) 52'
Ilija Nestorovski (ast. Josip Mitrović) 68'
Ilija Nestorovski 74'
(pen.) 7' Tiago Dantas
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Rijeka a 38% win probability (draw 32%, NK Slaven Belupo 29%). The final result was NK Slaven Belupo 4–1 HNK Rijeka. In 4 previous meetings, NK Slaven Belupo have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 2 wins for HNK Rijeka.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
16
6
Shots on target
5
1.85
Actual xG
2.14
4
Saves
2
41%
Possession
59%
3
Corners
7
16
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
7'
7'
(pen.) Tiago Dantas⚽
↕ Tomislav Božić / Dominik Kovačić
21'
⚽Jon Mersinaj · ast. lovro banovec
35'
Itsuki Urata
43'
⚽lovro banovec · ast. Marko Dabro
52'
62'
Toni Fruk / Alfonso Barco ↕
62'
Jakov Puljić / Niko Janković ↕
⚽Ilija Nestorovski · ast. Josip Mitrović
68'
⚽Ilija Nestorovski
74'
80'
Amer Gojak / Tiago Dantas ↕
80'
Ante Matej Juric / D. Adu-Adjei ↕
85'
Noel Bodetic / Justas Lasickas ↕
↕ Ilija Nestorovski / Vito Papac
89'
↕ lovro banovec / Leon Bošnjak
89'
↕ Marko Dabro / Lovre loncar
90'+2
↕ Josip Mitrović / L. Zahora
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
29.47%
NK ←
32.46%
X
38.06%
HNK
we assigned to the actual result (NK Slaven Belupo) 29.47% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NK
0.70
1.85
+1.15
HNK
0.90
2.14
+1.24
xG dominance was balanced (1.85 – 2.14). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 11 23
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 10 22
3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 11 18
4 NK Osijek NK Osijek 11 17
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 10 17
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 11 13
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 11 13
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 11 11
9 Rudes Rudes 11 10
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 11 7
Lineups
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 4-2-3-1
32 I. Čović I. Čović G 6.98
77 I. Urata I. Urata D 6.11
15 J. Mersinaj J. Mersinaj 1 ⚽ D 7.72
6 T. Božić T. Božić 21' D 6.76
18 F. Krušelj F. Krušelj D 6.05
17 F. Mažar F. Mažar M 6.66
22 A. Adeshina A. Adeshina M 6.26
11 J. Mitrović J. Mitrović 1 👟 89' M 7.26
8 L. Banovec L. Banovec 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' M 8.61
7 M. Dabro M. Dabro 1 👟 89' M 7.17
90 I. Nestorovski I. Nestorovski 2 ⚽ 89' F 9.64
Bench
23 A. Jónsson A. Jónsson M 0.00
88 D. Bosak D. Bosak M 0.00
4 D. Kovačić D. Kovačić 69' D 6.54
30 K. Sentić K. Sentić G 0.00
24 L. Bošnjak L. Bošnjak 1' M 6.25
21 L. Crepulja L. Crepulja M 0.00
14 Losika Ratshukudu Losika Ratshukudu F 0.00
29 Lovro Loncaric Lovro Loncaric 1' F 0.00
20 M. Petrović M. Petrović D 0.00
2 V. Međimorec V. Međimorec D 0.00
45 V. Papac V. Papac 1' F 6.50
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 4-2-3-1
13 I. Vekič I. Vekič G 5.95
23 J. Lasickas J. Lasickas 85' D 5.42
51 A. Husic A. Husic D 6.49
45 A. Majstorović A. Majstorović D 6.54
22 A. Oreč A. Oreč D 5.36
5 A. Barco A. Barco 62' M 6.20
8 I. Ćubelić I. Ćubelić M 7.19
19 S. Vignato S. Vignato M 6.28
26 Tiago Dantas Tiago Dantas 1 ⚽ 80' M 6.68
4 N. Janković N. Janković 62' M 6.87
18 D. Adu-Adjei D. Adu-Adjei 80' F 6.06
Bench
14 A. Gojak A. Gojak 10' M 5.81
77 A. Jurič A. Jurič 10' F 6.25
99 A. Todorović A. Todorović G 0.00
6 B. Pavić B. Pavić M 0.00
15 Goran Grulović Goran Grulović F 0.00
21 J. Puljić J. Puljić 28' F 6.59
34 M. Devetak M. Devetak D 0.00
3 M. Živković M. Živković D 0.00
91 N. Bodetić N. Bodetić 5' D 5.64
10 T. Fruk T. Fruk 28' M 5.84
7 Y. Kabadayı Y. Kabadayı F 0.00
Best on the pitch
I. Nestorovski
I. Nestorovski
F · NK
9.64
2 ⚽
4 shots · 30 pass
L. Banovec
L. Banovec
M · NK
8.61
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 22 pass
J. Mersinaj
J. Mersinaj
D · NK
7.72
1 ⚽
1 shots · 54 pass
J. Mitrović
J. Mitrović
M · NK
7.26
1 👟
2 shots · 18 pass
I. Ćubelić
I. Ćubelić
M · HNK
7.19
2 shots · 60 pass
M. Dabro
M. Dabro
M · NK
7.17
1 👟
3 shots · 19 pass
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Čović G 90 6.98 — — 0 29 19% 0 — —
I. Urata D 90 6.11 — — 0 18 15% 2 1 —
J. Mersinaj D 90 7.72 1 — 1 54 46% 2 — —
T. Božić D 21 6.76 — — 0 22 21% 1 — —
F. Krušelj D 90 6.05 — — 0 30 19% 2 — —
F. Mažar M 90 6.66 — — 0 41 34% 1 — —
A. Adeshina M 90 6.26 — — 0 15 13% 1 — —
J. Mitrović M 89 7.26 — 1 2 18 15% 3 — —
L. Banovec M 89 8.61 1 1 3 22 16% 0 — —
M. Dabro M 89 7.17 — 1 3 19 18% 2 — —
I. Nestorovski F 89 9.64 2 — 4 30 16% 0 — —
D. Kovačić D 69 6.54 — — 0 25 21% 2 — —
L. Bošnjak M 1 6.25 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Lovro Loncaric F 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
V. Papac F 1 6.50 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Vekič G 90 5.95 — — 0 16 12% 0 — —
J. Lasickas D 85 5.42 — — 0 35 28% 1 — —
A. Husic D 90 6.49 — — 2 83 74% 0 — —
A. Majstorović D 90 6.54 — — 3 64 58% 0 — —
A. Oreč D 90 5.36 — — 1 34 25% 2 — —
A. Barco M 62 6.20 — — 0 23 20% 1 — —
I. Ćubelić M 90 7.19 — — 2 60 54% 2 — —
S. Vignato M 90 6.28 — — 2 32 27% 0 — —
Tiago Dantas M 80 6.68 1 — 3 37 34% 0 — —
N. Janković M 62 6.87 — — 0 21 17% 3 — —
D. Adu-Adjei F 80 6.06 — — 1 12 10% 1 — —
A. Gojak M 10 5.81 — — 0 14 14% 0 — —
A. Jurič F 10 6.25 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
J. Puljić F 28 6.59 — — 0 9 8% 0 — —
N. Bodetić D 5 5.64 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
T. Fruk M 28 5.84 — — 2 19 15% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka?
The final score was NK Slaven Belupo 4–1 HNK Rijeka.
What did the model predict before NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka?
The model assigned 29% probability to a NK Slaven Belupo win, 32% to a draw, and 38% to an HNK Rijeka win.