A. Latkovic
(ast. M. Mladenovski)
27'
45'
(ast. J. Prsir)
A. Erceg
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Varazdin a 36% win probability (draw 31%, HNK Gorica 32%). The final result was NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Gorica. In 4 previous meetings, NK Varazdin have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for HNK Gorica.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
0.74
Actual xG
0.52
1
Saves
4
50%
Possession
50%
8
Corners
1
20
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
14'
Iker Pozo
⚽A. Latkovic
· ast. M. Mladenovski
27'
Novak Tepšić
33'
45'
ast. J. Prsir ·
A. Erceg⚽
46'
T. Epailly
/
D. Pavicic
46'
O. Bakic
/
I. Pozo
Aleksa Latković
56'
D. Puclin
/ I. Canjuga
63'
66'
69'
W. Sule
/
A. Erceg
71'
Wisdom Sule
L. Mamic
/ P. Bockaj
71'
78'
Marijan Čabraja
82'
S. Kucis
/
J. Prsir
83'
Ante Kavelj
M. Vuk
/ S. Ilinkovic
86'
89'
E. Durakovic
/
B. Bogojevic
Tomislav Duvnjak
90'+1
90'+2
Ognjen Bakić
Pre-match prediction
36.11%
NK
31.1%
X ←
32.79%
HNK
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
0.74
-0.28
1.48
0.52
-0.96
xG dominance was balanced (0.74 – 0.52).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
16
N. Tepšić
D
N. Tepšić
D
14
R. Punčec
D
R. Punčec
D
13
M. Mladenovski
1 👟
D
M. Mladenovski
1 👟
D
20
G. Sikošek
M
G. Sikošek
M
6
D. Puclin
63'
M
D. Puclin
63'
M
8
T. Duvnjak
M
T. Duvnjak
M
23
M
22
Luka Mamić
71'
F
Luka Mamić
71'
F
7
M. Vuk
86'
F
M. Vuk
86'
F
10
A. Latković
1 ⚽
F
A. Latković
1 ⚽
F
Bench
25
Antonio Boršić
D
28
I. Canjuga
27'
F
I. Canjuga
27'
F
38
Iuri Tavares
F
Iuri Tavares
F
44
M. Barać
D
M. Barać
D
24
M. Marina
M
M. Marina
M
2
Sven Lesjak
D
Sven Lesjak
D
71
G
19
M. Čabraja
D
M. Čabraja
D
4
D
45
S. Perić
D
S. Perić
D
25
B. Bogojević
89'
M
B. Bogojević
89'
M
8
Iker Pozo
45'
M
Iker Pozo
45'
M
36
Ante Kavelj
M
Ante Kavelj
M
22
Z. Trontelj
M
24
D. Pavičić
45'
F
D. Pavičić
45'
F
10
J. Pršir
1 👟
82'
F
J. Pršir
1 👟
82'
F
50
A. Erceg
1 ⚽
69'
F
A. Erceg
1 ⚽
69'
F
Bench
5
Mateo Leš
D
Mateo Leš
D
7
O. Bakić
45'
M
O. Bakić
45'
M
64
T. Epailly
45'
F
T. Epailly
45'
F
11
Wisdom Aondowase Sule
21'
F
Wisdom Aondowase Sule
21'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Erceg
F · HNK
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
M. Mladenovski
D · NK
7.50
1 👟
· 49 pass
G. Sikošek
M · NK
7.50
1 shots
· 29 pass
Ante Kavelj
M · HNK
7.30
· 32 pass
G · HNK
7.30
· 43 pass
G · NK
7.20
· 23 pass
NK Varazdin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| N. Tepšić | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Punčec | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Mladenovski | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 49 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Sikošek | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Puclin | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 5 | — | — |
| T. Duvnjak | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 41% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 21% | 3 | — | — | |
| Luka Mamić | F | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Vuk | F | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Latković | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 6 | 22 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Canjuga | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
HNK Gorica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — | |
| M. Čabraja | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 2 | — | — | |
| S. Perić | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Bogojević | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Iker Pozo | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ante Kavelj | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Z. Trontelj | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Pavičić | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Pršir | F | 82 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Erceg | F | 69 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Bakić | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Epailly | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Wisdom Aondowase Sule | F | 21 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
The final score was NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Gorica.
What did the model predict before NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
The model assigned 36% probability to a NK Varazdin win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an HNK Gorica win.