HNL
· Regular Season - 28
April 03, 2026 20:15
A. Latkovic
(ast. M. Mladenovski)
27'
45'
(ast. J. Prsir)
A. Erceg
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Varazdin a 36% win probability (draw 31%, HNK Gorica 32%). The final result was NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Gorica. In 3 previous meetings, NK Varazdin have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for HNK Gorica.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
0.74
Actual xG
0.52
1
Saves
4
50%
Possession
50%
8
Corners
1
20
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
14'
Iker Pozo
⚽A. Latkovic
· ast. M. Mladenovski
27'
Novak Tepšić
33'
45'
ast. J. Prsir ·
A. Erceg⚽
46'
T. Epailly
/
D. Pavicic
46'
O. Bakic
/
I. Pozo
Aleksa Latković
56'
D. Puclin
/ I. Canjuga
63'
66'
69'
W. Sule
/
A. Erceg
71'
Wisdom Sule
L. Mamic
/ P. Bockaj
71'
78'
Marijan Čabraja
82'
S. Kucis
/
J. Prsir
83'
Ante Kavelj
M. Vuk
/ S. Ilinkovic
86'
89'
E. Durakovic
/
B. Bogojevic
Tomislav Duvnjak
90'+1
90'+2
Ognjen Bakić
Pre-match prediction
36.11%
NK
31.1%
X ←
32.79%
HNK
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
0.74
-0.28
1.48
0.52
-0.96
xG dominance was balanced (0.74 – 0.52).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
16
Novak Tepšić
D
14
R. Puncec
D
13
Mario Mladenovski
1 👟
D
20
Gregor Sikosek
M
6
D. Puclin
63'
M
8
T. Duvnjak
M
T. Duvnjak
M
23
M
22
L. Mamic
71'
F
7
M. Vuk
86'
F
10
A. Latković
1 ⚽
F
A. Latković
1 ⚽
F
Bench
25
A. Borsic
D
28
I. Canjuga
27'
F
38
I. Tavares
F
44
M. Barac
D
24
M. Marina
M
2
S. Lesjak
D
71
G
19
M. Čabraja
D
M. Čabraja
D
4
D
45
Stefan Perić
D
Stefan Perić
D
25
Bruno Bogojević
89'
M
Bruno Bogojević
89'
M
8
Iker Pozo
45'
M
Iker Pozo
45'
M
36
Ante Kavelj
M
Ante Kavelj
M
22
Žan Trontelj
M
Žan Trontelj
M
24
Domagoj Pavičić
45'
F
Domagoj Pavičić
45'
F
10
J. Pršir
1 👟
82'
F
J. Pršir
1 👟
82'
F
50
Ante Erceg
1 ⚽
69'
F
Ante Erceg
1 ⚽
69'
F
Bench
5
Mateo Leš
D
Mateo Leš
D
7
Ognjen Bakić
45'
M
Ognjen Bakić
45'
M
64
Theo Epailly
45'
F
Theo Epailly
45'
F
11
Wisdom Aondowase Sule
21'
F
Wisdom Aondowase Sule
21'
F
Best on the pitch
Ante Erceg
F · HNK
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
Mario Mladenovski
D · NK
7.50
1 👟
· 49 pass
Gregor Sikosek
M · NK
7.50
1 shots
· 29 pass
Ante Kavelj
M · HNK
7.30
· 32 pass
G · HNK
7.30
· 43 pass
G · NK
7.20
· 23 pass
NK Varazdin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Novak Tepšić | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Puncec | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Mario Mladenovski | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 49 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Gregor Sikosek | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Puclin | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 5 | — | — |
| T. Duvnjak | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 41% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 21% | 3 | — | — | |
| L. Mamic | F | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Vuk | F | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Latković | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 6 | 22 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Canjuga | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
HNK Gorica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — | |
| M. Čabraja | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 2 | — | — | |
| Stefan Perić | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Bogojević | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Iker Pozo | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ante Kavelj | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Žan Trontelj | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Domagoj Pavičić | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Pršir | F | 82 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ante Erceg | F | 69 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Ognjen Bakić | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Theo Epailly | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Wisdom Aondowase Sule | F | 21 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
The final score was NK Varazdin 1–1 HNK Gorica.
What did the model predict before NK Varazdin vs HNK Gorica?
The model assigned 36% probability to a NK Varazdin win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an HNK Gorica win.