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HNL · Regular Season - 1 August 02, 2026 18:30
NK Varazdin
#3 · 18 pts
2 – 1
Final score
HNK Hajduk Split
#1 · 23 pts
M. Mladenovski (ast. I. Canjuga) 53'
L. Mamic (ast. A. Latkovic) 62'
56' (ast. A. Pajaziti) R. Pukstas
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave HNK Hajduk Split a 34% win probability (draw 32%, NK Varazdin 32%). The final result was NK Varazdin 2–1 HNK Hajduk Split. In 5 previous meetings, NK Varazdin have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 2 wins for HNK Hajduk Split.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
0.90
Actual xG
1.27
4
Saves
1
45%
Possession
55%
1
Corners
6
14
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
23'
A. Pajaziti
46'
D. Maresic / R. Gabric ↕
46'
D. de Almeida / A. del Moral ↕
46'
A. Sanyang / M. Sego ↕
46'
M. Soticek / D. Melnjak ↕
↕ R. Puncec / M. Mladenovski
46'
F. Maglica
47'
⚽M. Mladenovski · ast. I. Canjuga
53'
56'
ast. A. Pajaziti · R. Pukstas⚽
M. Marina
57'
⚽L. Mamic · ast. A. Latkovic
62'
↕ A. Latkovic / I. Posavec
65'
↕ G. Sikosek / N. Tepsic
65'
↕ M. Marina / T. Duvnjak
65'
79'
M. Acapandie
↕ I. Tavares / S. Lesjak
85'
90'
(missed pen.) M. Livaja⚽
Pre-match prediction
32.81%
NK ←
32.81%
X
34.38%
HNK
we assigned to the actual result (NK Varazdin) 32.81% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NK
0.94
0.90
-0.04
HNK
0.85
1.27
+0.42
HNK Hajduk Split dominated by xG (1.27 vs 0.90). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 11 23
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 10 22
3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 11 18
4 NK Osijek NK Osijek 11 17
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 10 17
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 11 13
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 11 13
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 11 11
9 Rudes Rudes 11 10
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 11 7
Lineups
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 4-1-4-1
33 J. Silić J. Silić G 7.50
20 G. Sikošek G. Sikošek 65' D 6.20
4 L. Škaričić L. Škaričić D 7.70
14 R. Punčec R. Punčec 45' D 6.60
23 F. Maglica F. Maglica D 6.20
24 M. Marina M. Marina 65' M 6.30
38 Iuri Tavares Iuri Tavares 85' M 7.20
22 Luka Mamić Luka Mamić 1 ⚽ M 7.90
10 A. Latković A. Latković 1 👟 65' M 6.90
28 I. Canjuga I. Canjuga 1 👟 M 7.90
17 I. Mamut I. Mamut F 7.20
Bench
70 E. Uchegbu E. Uchegbu F
18 Filipe Jose Quissequel Filipe Jose Quissequel F
21 I. Posavec I. Posavec 25' M 6.30
30 L. Posinkovic L. Posinkovic D
13 M. Mladenovski M. Mladenovski 1 ⚽ 45' D 7.60
7 M. Vuk M. Vuk F
16 N. Tepšić N. Tepšić 25' D 7.20
1
O. Zelenika G
12 P. Bočkaj P. Bočkaj D
9 S. Jurić S. Jurić F
5 Sven Lesjak Sven Lesjak 11' D 6.60
8 T. Duvnjak T. Duvnjak 25' M 6.70
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 4-2-3-1
33 T. Silić T. Silić G 6.20
32 Š. Hrgović Š. Hrgović D 6.70
5 A. Van Hoorenbeeck A. Van Hoorenbeeck D 6.50
3 Roko Gabrić Roko Gabrić 45' D 6.90
22 M. Acapandié M. Acapandié D 5.90
4 A. Pajaziti A. Pajaziti 1 👟 M 5.90
20 Alberto del Moral Alberto del Moral 45' M 6.30
17 D. Melnjak D. Melnjak 45' M 6.70
21 R. Pukštas R. Pukštas 1 ⚽ M 7.20
11 M. Šego M. Šego 45' M 6.30
10 M. Livaja M. Livaja F 6.00
Bench
26 A. Guram A. Guram M
7 A. Sanyang A. Sanyang 45' F 7.20
16 A. Sutalo A. Sutalo M
9 Dali Dali 45' M 5.90
99 D. Fesyuk D. Fesyuk G
15 D. Marešić D. Marešić 45' D 7.90
44 D. Stipica D. Stipica G
19 E. Brruti E. Brruti M
38 Luka Hodak Luka Hodak D
36 Marino Skelin Marino Skelin D
23 M. Šotiček M. Šotiček 45' F 6.60
14 R. Raci R. Raci D
Best on the pitch
I. Canjuga
I. Canjuga
M · NK
7.90
1 👟
· 40 pass
D. Marešić
D. Marešić
D · HNK
7.90
· 42 pass
Luka Mamić
Luka Mamić
M · NK
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 15 pass
L. Škaričić
L. Škaričić
D · NK
7.70
· 54 pass
M. Mladenovski
M. Mladenovski
D · NK
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
J. Silić
J. Silić
G · NK
7.50
· 29 pass
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Silić G 90 7.50 — — — 29 16% — — —
G. Sikošek D 65 6.20 — — — 32 25% 1 — —
L. Škaričić D 90 7.70 — — — 54 43% 3 — —
R. Punčec D 45 6.60 — — — 18 17% — — —
F. Maglica D 90 6.20 — — — 29 23% 1 1 —
M. Marina M 65 6.30 — — — 31 26% 1 1 —
Iuri Tavares M 85 7.20 — — 2 30 22% 2 — —
Luka Mamić M 90 7.90 1 — 3 15 11% — — —
A. Latković M 65 6.90 — 1 — 19 14% — — —
I. Canjuga M 90 7.90 — 1 — 40 36% 2 — —
I. Mamut F 90 7.20 — — 2 22 15% — — —
I. Posavec M 25 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
M. Mladenovski D 45 7.60 1 — 1 14 13% — — —
N. Tepšić D 25 7.20 — — — 15 11% 1 — —
Sven Lesjak D 11 6.60 — — — 1 1% — — —
T. Duvnjak M 25 6.70 — — — 11 11% 3 — —
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Silić G 90 6.20 — — — 25 23% — — —
Š. Hrgović D 90 6.70 — — — 30 26% — — —
A. Van Hoorenbeeck D 90 6.50 — — — 46 43% — — —
Roko Gabrić D 45 6.90 — — — 54 43% 2 — —
M. Acapandié D 90 5.90 — — — 39 34% 2 1 —
A. Pajaziti M 90 5.90 — 1 3 60 56% 1 1 —
Alberto del Moral M 45 6.30 — — — 26 24% 2 — —
D. Melnjak M 45 6.70 — — — 9 8% 1 — —
R. Pukštas M 90 7.20 1 — 1 29 25% — — —
M. Šego M 45 6.30 — — — 10 9% — — —
M. Livaja F 90 6.00 — — 3 23 15% — — —
A. Sanyang F 45 7.20 — — — 12 9% 2 — —
Dali M 45 5.90 — — 1 21 21% — — —
D. Marešić D 45 7.90 — — — 42 38% 2 — —
M. Šotiček F 45 6.60 — — — 8 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The final score was NK Varazdin 2–1 HNK Hajduk Split.
What did the model predict before NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The model assigned 32% probability to a NK Varazdin win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an HNK Hajduk Split win.