← HNL
HNL · Regular Season - 31 April 22, 2026 19:45
NK Varazdin
#4 · 48 pts
1 – 0
Final score
HNK Rijeka
#3 · 49 pts
L. Mamic 54' (pen.)

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Varazdin a 39% win probability (draw 32%, HNK Rijeka 28%). The final result was NK Varazdin 1–0 HNK Rijeka. In 3 previous meetings, NK Varazdin have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for HNK Rijeka.

Match statistics
2
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
3
0.81
Actual xG
1.29
3
Saves
0
47%
Possession
53%
1
Corners
12
15
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
↕ L. Skaricic / S. Lesjak
46'
↕ G. Sikosek / A. Borsic
46'
↕ I. Canjuga / T. Duvnjak
46'
⚽L. Mamic (pen.)
54'
A. Latkovic
67'
67'
A. Majstorovic
68'
D. Cop / D. Adu Adjei ↕
68'
G. Rukavina / D. Legbo ↕
↕ A. Latkovic / M. Vuk
74'
77'
S. Vignato / A. Gojak ↕
↕ I. Tavares / S. Ilinkovic
81'
Pre-match prediction
39.16%
NK ←
32.57%
X
28.27%
HNK
we assigned to the actual result (NK Varazdin) 39.16% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NK
1.32
0.81
-0.5
HNK
1.04
1.29
+0.25
HNK Rijeka dominated by xG (1.29 vs 0.81). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 34 82
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 34 64
3 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 34 49
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 34 48
5 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 34 42
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 34 42
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 34 41
8 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 34 38
9 NK Osijek NK Osijek 34 32
10 Vukovar Vukovar 34 28
Lineups
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 3-4-2-1
1
G 7.00
16
Novak Tepšić D 7.20
44
M. Barac D 7.90
4
L. Skaricic 45' D 6.90
20
Gregor Sikosek 45' M 6.60
6
D. Puclin M 7.50
28
I. Canjuga 45' M 6.90
23
M 6.90
22
L. Mamic 1 ⚽ F 6.90
10 A. Latković A. Latković 74' F 6.70
38
I. Tavares 81' F 7.50
Bench
25
A. Borsic 45' D 6.60
17 I. Mamut I. Mamut F
24
M. Marina M
7
M. Vuk 16' F 6.60
2
S. Lesjak 45' D 7.00
8 T. Duvnjak T. Duvnjak 45' M 6.90
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 4-4-2
13
G 6.00
91
D 6.90
34 M. Devetak M. Devetak D 7.20
45 A. Majstorović A. Majstorović D 6.90
23
J. Lasickas D 6.90
24
D. Legbo 68' M 6.20
55
A. Barco M 6.90
66
M 7.00
14
A. Gojak 77' M 6.70
77
F 5.90
18 D. Adu-Adjei D. Adu-Adjei 68' F 6.30
Bench
9
D. Cop 22' F 6.30
20
M. Ndockyt M
Best on the pitch
M. Barac
D · NK
7.90
· 58 pass
D. Puclin
M · NK
7.50
· 28 pass
I. Tavares
F · NK
7.50
· 16 pass
Novak Tepšić
D · NK
7.20
· 35 pass
M. Devetak
M. Devetak
D · HNK
7.20
· 56 pass
S. Lesjak
D · NK
7.00
· 20 pass
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 31 22% — — —
Novak Tepšić D 90 7.20 — — — 35 34% 1 — —
M. Barac D 90 7.90 — — — 58 51% 1 — —
L. Skaricic D 45 6.90 — — — 51 44% — — —
Gregor Sikosek M 45 6.60 — — — 16 11% 1 — —
D. Puclin M 90 7.50 — — — 28 23% 5 — —
I. Canjuga M 45 6.90 — — — 23 19% 1 — —
M 90 6.90 — — — 30 25% 1 — —
L. Mamic F 90 6.90 1 — 1 22 12% 1 — —
A. Latković F 74 6.70 — — 1 16 12% 2 1 —
I. Tavares F 81 7.50 — — — 16 10% — — —
A. Borsic D 45 6.60 — — — 11 5% — — —
M. Vuk F 16 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
S. Lesjak D 45 7.00 — — — 20 16% 1 — —
T. Duvnjak M 45 6.90 — — — 20 14% 1 — —
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.00 — — — 22 19% — — —
D 90 6.90 — — 1 34 26% 3 — —
M. Devetak D 90 7.20 — — — 56 51% — — —
A. Majstorović D 90 6.90 — — 2 72 62% — 1 —
J. Lasickas D 90 6.90 — — 1 39 32% 1 — —
D. Legbo M 68 6.20 — — — 12 7% 2 — —
A. Barco M 90 6.90 — — 1 51 43% 2 — —
M 90 7.00 — — — 44 37% 3 — —
A. Gojak M 77 6.70 — — 1 12 7% 1 — —
F 90 5.90 — — 1 10 3% — — —
D. Adu-Adjei F 68 6.30 — — 3 4 3% 1 — —
D. Cop F 22 6.30 — — 3 9 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?
The final score was NK Varazdin 1–0 HNK Rijeka.
What did the model predict before NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?
The model assigned 39% probability to a NK Varazdin win, 32% to a draw, and 28% to an HNK Rijeka win.