NK Varazdin 1–0 HNK Rijeka — pre-match prediction — HNL — April 22, 2026

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HNL · Regular Season - 31 April 22, 2026 17:45 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata

NK Varazdin

#4 · 13 pts

1 – 0

Final score

HNK Rijeka

#5 · 11 pts

L. Mamic 54' (pen.)

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Varazdin a 39% win probability (draw 32%, HNK Rijeka 28%). The final result was NK Varazdin 1–0 HNK Rijeka. In 4 previous meetings, NK Varazdin have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for HNK Rijeka.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.81

Actual xG

1.29

Saves

47%

Possession

53%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

↕ L. Skaricic / S. Lesjak

46'

↕ G. Sikosek / A. Borsic

46'

↕ I. Canjuga / T. Duvnjak

46'

⚽L. Mamic (pen.)

54'

A. Latkovic

67'

A. Majstorovic

68'

D. Cop / D. Adu Adjei ↕

68'

G. Rukavina / D. Legbo ↕

↕ A. Latkovic / M. Vuk

74'

77'

S. Vignato / A. Gojak ↕

↕ I. Tavares / S. Ilinkovic

81'

Pre-match prediction

39.16%

NK ←

32.57%

28.27%

HNK

we assigned to the actual result (NK Varazdin) 39.16% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

1.32

0.81

-0.5

HNK

1.04

1.29

+0.25

HNK Rijeka dominated by xG (1.29 vs 0.81). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	NK Osijek	7	15
2	HNK Hajduk Split	6	13
3	Dinamo Zagreb	6	13
4	NK Varazdin	6	13
5	HNK Rijeka	6	11
6	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	7	7
7	Istra 1961	6	6
8	NK Slaven Belupo	6	6
9	Rudes	6	3
10	HNK Gorica	6	1

Lineups

NK Varazdin 3-4-2-1

G 7.00

N. Tepšić D 7.20

M. Barać D 7.90

L. Škaričić 45' D 6.90

G. Sikošek 45' M 6.60

D. Puclin M 7.50

I. Canjuga 45' M 6.90

M 6.90

Luka Mamić 1 ⚽ F 6.90

A. Latković 74' F 6.70

Iuri Tavares 81' F 7.50

Bench

Antonio Boršić 45' D 6.60

I. Mamut F

M. Marina M

M. Vuk 16' F 6.60

Sven Lesjak 45' D 7.00

T. Duvnjak 45' M 6.90

HNK Rijeka 4-4-2

G 6.00

D 6.90

M. Devetak D 7.20

A. Majstorović D 6.90

J. Lasickas D 6.90

Christian Ouguehi Legbo 68' M 6.20

A. Barco M 6.90

M 7.00

A. Gojak 77' M 6.70

F 5.90

D. Adu-Adjei 68' F 6.30

Bench

Duje Čop 22' F 6.30

Merveille Ndockyt M

Best on the pitch

M. Barać

D · NK

7.90

· 58 pass

D. Puclin

M · NK

7.50

· 28 pass

Iuri Tavares

F · NK

7.50

· 16 pass

N. Tepšić

D · NK

7.20

· 35 pass

M. Devetak

D · HNK

7.20

· 56 pass

Sven Lesjak

D · NK

7.00

· 20 pass

NK Varazdin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	31	22%	—	—	—
N. Tepšić	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	35	34%	1	—	—
M. Barać	D	90	7.90	—	—	—	58	51%	1	—	—
L. Škaričić	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	51	44%	—	—	—
G. Sikošek	M	45	6.60	—	—	—	16	11%	1	—	—
D. Puclin	M	90	7.50	—	—	—	28	23%	5	—	—
I. Canjuga	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	23	19%	1	—	—
	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	30	25%	1	—	—
Luka Mamić	F	90	6.90	1	—	1	22	12%	1	—	—
A. Latković	F	74	6.70	—	—	1	16	12%	2	1	—
Iuri Tavares	F	81	7.50	—	—	—	16	10%	—	—	—
Antonio Boršić	D	45	6.60	—	—	—	11	5%	—	—	—
M. Vuk	F	16	6.60	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
Sven Lesjak	D	45	7.00	—	—	—	20	16%	1	—	—
T. Duvnjak	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	20	14%	1	—	—

HNK Rijeka — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.00	—	—	—	22	19%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	34	26%	3	—	—
M. Devetak	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	56	51%	—	—	—
A. Majstorović	D	90	6.90	—	—	2	72	62%	—	1	—
J. Lasickas	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	39	32%	1	—	—
Christian Ouguehi Legbo	M	68	6.20	—	—	—	12	7%	2	—	—
A. Barco	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	51	43%	2	—	—
	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	44	37%	3	—	—
A. Gojak	M	77	6.70	—	—	1	12	7%	1	—	—
	F	90	5.90	—	—	1	10	3%	—	—	—
D. Adu-Adjei	F	68	6.30	—	—	3	4	3%	1	—	—
Duje Čop	F	22	6.30	—	—	3	9	7%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?

The final score was NK Varazdin 1–0 HNK Rijeka.

What did the model predict before NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?

The model assigned 39% probability to a NK Varazdin win, 32% to a draw, and 28% to an HNK Rijeka win.