L. Mamic
54'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Varazdin a 39% win probability (draw 32%, HNK Rijeka 28%). The final result was NK Varazdin 1–0 HNK Rijeka. In 3 previous meetings, NK Varazdin have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for HNK Rijeka.
Match statistics
2
Total shots
13
1
Shots on target
3
0.81
Actual xG
1.29
3
Saves
0
47%
Possession
53%
1
Corners
12
15
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
L. Skaricic
/ S. Lesjak
46'
G. Sikosek
/ A. Borsic
46'
I. Canjuga
/ T. Duvnjak
46'
⚽L. Mamic
(pen.)
54'
A. Latkovic
67'
67'
A. Majstorovic
68'
D. Cop
/
D. Adu Adjei
68'
G. Rukavina
/
D. Legbo
A. Latkovic
/ M. Vuk
74'
77'
S. Vignato
/
A. Gojak
I. Tavares
/ S. Ilinkovic
81'
Pre-match prediction
39.16%
NK ←
32.57%
X
28.27%
HNK
we assigned to the actual result (NK Varazdin)
39.16%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
0.81
-0.5
1.04
1.29
+0.25
HNK Rijeka dominated by xG (1.29 vs 0.81).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
16
Novak Tepšić
D
44
Mateo Barać
D
Mateo Barać
D
4
Luka Škaričić
45'
D
20
Gregor Sikošek
45'
M
Gregor Sikošek
45'
M
6
David Puclin
M
28
Ivan Canjuga
45'
M
23
M
22
Luka Mamić
1 ⚽
F
10
Aleksa Latković
74'
F
38
Iuri Tavares
81'
F
Bench
25
Antonio Boršić
45'
D
17
Ivan Mamut
F
24
Mario Marina
M
7
Matej Vuk
16'
F
2
Sven Lesjak
45'
D
8
Tomislav Duvnjak
45'
M
13
G
91
D
34
Mladen Devetak
D
45
Ante Majstorović
D
23
Justas Lasickas
D
24
Christian Ouguehi Legbo
68'
M
Christian Ouguehi Legbo
68'
M
55
Alfonso Barco
M
66
M
14
Amer Gojak
77'
M
77
F
18
Daniel Adu-Adjei
68'
F
Bench
9
Duje Čop
22'
F
Duje Čop
22'
F
20
Merveille Ndockyt
M
Merveille Ndockyt
M
Best on the pitch
Mateo Barać
D · NK
7.90
· 58 pass
David Puclin
M · NK
7.50
· 28 pass
Iuri Tavares
F · NK
7.50
· 16 pass
Novak Tepšić
D · NK
7.20
· 35 pass
Mladen Devetak
D · HNK
7.20
· 56 pass
Sven Lesjak
D · NK
7.00
· 20 pass
NK Varazdin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Novak Tepšić | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Barać | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Luka Škaričić | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Gregor Sikošek | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| David Puclin | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| Ivan Canjuga | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — | |
| Luka Mamić | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Aleksa Latković | F | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Iuri Tavares | F | 81 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Antonio Boršić | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Matej Vuk | F | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Sven Lesjak | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomislav Duvnjak | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
HNK Rijeka — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | 3 | — | — | |
| Mladen Devetak | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Ante Majstorović | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 72 | 62% | — | 1 | — |
| Justas Lasickas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian Ouguehi Legbo | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Alfonso Barco | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 3 | — | — | |
| Amer Gojak | M | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 3% | — | — | — | |
| Daniel Adu-Adjei | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Duje Čop | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?
The final score was NK Varazdin 1–0 HNK Rijeka.
What did the model predict before NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?
The model assigned 39% probability to a NK Varazdin win, 32% to a draw, and 28% to an HNK Rijeka win.