NK Varazdin 2–0 HNK Rijeka — pre-match prediction — HNL — August 16, 2026

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HNL · Regular Season - 3 August 16, 2026 18:30

NK Varazdin

#3 · 18 pts

2 – 0

Final score

HNK Rijeka

#5 · 17 pts

I. Mamut (ast. I. Tavares) 20'

I. Mamut 31' (pen.)

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Varazdin a 34% win probability (draw 31%, HNK Rijeka 33%). The final result was NK Varazdin 2–0 HNK Rijeka. In 4 previous meetings, NK Varazdin have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for HNK Rijeka.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.75

Actual xG

0.72

Saves

39%

Possession

61%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

G. Sikosek

11'

↕ R. Puncec / N. Tepsic

17'

⚽I. Mamut · ast. I. Tavares

20'

⚽I. Mamut (pen.)

31'

46'

J. Puljic / A. Gojak ↕

46'

I. Cubelic / T. Dantas ↕

A. Latkovic

51'

65'

M. Zivkovic

67'

A. Orec / G. Rukavina ↕

67'

Y. Kabadayi / M. Zivkovic ↕

↕ A. Latkovic / M. Vuk

75'

↕ I. Mamut / L. Skaricic

75'

76'

T. Fruk / D. Adu Adjei ↕

↕ I. Tavares / E. Uchegbu

84'

↕ M. Marina / T. Duvnjak

84'

Pre-match prediction

34.3%

NK ←

31.84%

33.86%

HNK

we assigned to the actual result (NK Varazdin) 34.3% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

2.06

1.75

-0.31

HNK

1.53

0.72

-0.81

NK Varazdin dominated by xG (1.75 vs 0.72). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	HNK Hajduk Split	11	23
2	Dinamo Zagreb	10	22
3	NK Varazdin	11	18
4	NK Osijek	11	17
5	HNK Rijeka	10	17
6	Istra 1961	11	13
7	NK Slaven Belupo	11	13
8	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	11	11
9	Rudes	11	10
10	HNK Gorica	11	7

Lineups

NK Varazdin 4-2-3-1

J. Silić G 7.30

G. Sikošek D 7.60

R. Punčec 17' D 6.90

M. Mladenovski D 8.30

F. Maglica D 7.30

M. Marina 84' M 6.90

I. Canjuga M 7.50

Iuri Tavares 1 👟 84' M 7.30

Luka Mamić M 6.50

A. Latković 75' M 6.50

I. Mamut 2 ⚽ 75' F 8.30

Bench

D. Puclin M

E. Duraković D

E. Uchegbu 10' F 6.50

I. Posavec M

L. Posinkovic D

L. Škaričić 15' D 6.70

M. Vuk 15' F 6.50

N. Tepšić 73' D 7.20

O. Zelenika G

S. Jurić F

Sven Lesjak D

T. Duvnjak 10' M 6.30

HNK Rijeka 4-2-3-1

A. Todorović G 7.20

M. Devetak D 5.70

A. Barco D 6.30

A. Majstorović D 6.70

M. Živković 67' D 6.20

Tiago Dantas 45' M 6.60

Branko Pavić M 7.50

A. Gojak 45' M 6.20

N. Janković M 6.30

G. Rukavina 67' M 6.30

D. Adu-Adjei 76' F 5.90

Bench

A. Husic D

A. Jurič F

A. Oreč 23' D 6.70

Goran Grulović F

I. Ćubelić 45' M 6.90

I. Vekič G

J. Lasickas D

J. Puljić 45' F 6.00

N. Bodetić D

T. Fruk 14' M 6.20

V. Kovac G

Y. Kabadayı 23' F 6.30

Best on the pitch

M. Mladenovski

D · NK

8.30

· 38 pass

I. Mamut

F · NK

8.30

2 ⚽

2 shots · 19 pass

G. Sikošek

D · NK

7.60

· 37 pass

Branko Pavić

M · HNK

7.50

· 56 pass

I. Canjuga

M · NK

7.50

1 shots · 32 pass

J. Silić

G · NK

7.30

· 34 pass

NK Varazdin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Silić	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	34	20%	—	—	—
G. Sikošek	D	90	7.60	—	—	—	37	30%	2	1	—
R. Punčec	D	17	6.90	—	—	—	15	13%	—	—	—
M. Mladenovski	D	90	8.30	—	—	—	38	32%	3	—	—
F. Maglica	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	24	13%	5	—	—
M. Marina	M	84	6.90	—	—	—	14	13%	2	—	—
I. Canjuga	M	90	7.50	—	—	1	32	28%	1	—	—
Iuri Tavares	M	84	7.30	—	1	—	22	16%	2	—	—
Luka Mamić	M	90	6.50	—	—	2	28	25%	—	—	—
A. Latković	M	75	6.50	—	—	3	16	14%	2	1	—
I. Mamut	F	75	8.30	2	—	2	19	12%	—	—	—
E. Uchegbu	F	10	6.50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
L. Škaričić	D	15	6.70	—	—	—	5	2%	—	—	—
M. Vuk	F	15	6.50	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
N. Tepšić	D	73	7.20	—	—	—	26	22%	4	—	—
T. Duvnjak	M	10	6.30	—	—	—	6	2%	—	—	—

HNK Rijeka — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Todorović	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	20	15%	—	—	—
M. Devetak	D	90	5.70	—	—	—	37	29%	—	—	—
A. Barco	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	71	66%	—	—	—
A. Majstorović	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	95	78%	2	—	—
M. Živković	D	67	6.20	—	—	—	18	14%	3	1	—
Tiago Dantas	M	45	6.60	—	—	—	35	32%	2	—	—
Branko Pavić	M	90	7.50	—	—	—	56	49%	7	—	—
A. Gojak	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	18	16%	1	—	—
N. Janković	M	90	6.30	—	—	3	44	40%	—	—	—
G. Rukavina	M	67	6.30	—	—	1	12	12%	—	—	—
D. Adu-Adjei	F	76	5.90	—	—	—	15	12%	1	—	—
A. Oreč	D	23	6.70	—	—	—	15	11%	—	—	—
I. Ćubelić	M	45	6.90	—	—	1	39	30%	2	—	—
J. Puljić	F	45	6.00	—	—	1	14	12%	—	—	—
T. Fruk	M	14	6.20	—	—	1	12	8%	—	—	—
Y. Kabadayı	F	23	6.30	—	—	1	9	7%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?

The final score was NK Varazdin 2–0 HNK Rijeka.

What did the model predict before NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?

The model assigned 34% probability to a NK Varazdin win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an HNK Rijeka win.