NK Varazdin 2–0 Istra 1961 — pre-match prediction — HNL — May 23, 2026

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HNL · Regular Season - 36 May 23, 2026 16:00 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata

NK Varazdin

#3 · 13 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Istra 1961

#6 · 6 pts

L. Mamic 14' (pen.)

L. Mamic 38' (pen.)

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Varazdin a 49% win probability (draw 31%, Istra 1961 19%). The final result was NK Varazdin 2–0 Istra 1961. In 4 previous meetings, NK Varazdin have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 3 wins for Istra 1961.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.91

Actual xG

0.38

Saves

41%

Possession

59%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

13'

F. Taraba

⚽L. Mamic (pen.)

14'

25'

R. Kumar

37'

J. Radosevic

⚽L. Mamic (pen.)

38'

46'

V. Rozic / S. Gorican ↕

46'

A. Mauric / J. Radosevic ↕

46'

A. Kadusic / F. Taraba ↕

A. Borsic

50'

↕ A. Borsic / G. Sikosek

65'

↕ D. Puclin / M. Marina

65'

↕ A. Latkovic / I. Tavares

65'

66'

E. Frederiksen / D. Ahmeti ↕

↕ L. Mamic / S. Juric

76'

T. Duvnjak

77'

78'

C. Agada / A. Obando ↕

↕ T. Duvnjak / L. Posinkovic

90'+1

Pre-match prediction

49.05%

NK ←

31.23%

19.71%

Istra

we assigned to the actual result (NK Varazdin) 49.05% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

1.08

2.91

+1.83

Istra

0.47

0.38

-0.09

NK Varazdin dominated by xG (2.91 vs 0.38). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	HNK Hajduk Split	6	13
2	Dinamo Zagreb	5	13
3	NK Varazdin	6	13
4	NK Osijek	6	12
5	HNK Rijeka	5	10
6	Istra 1961	6	6
7	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	6	6
8	NK Slaven Belupo	6	6
9	Rudes	6	3
10	HNK Gorica	6	1

Lineups

NK Varazdin 3-4-2-1

Oliver Zelenika G 7.60

Roberto Punčec D 7.20

Sven Lesjak D 6.90

N. Tepšić D 8.20

Antonio Boršić 65' M 6.90

D. Puclin 65' M 6.30

T. Duvnjak M 7.20

F. Maglica M 7.20

Luka Mamić 2 ⚽ 76' F 8.20

A. Latković 65' F 7.00

I. Canjuga F 6.90

Bench

Filipe Jose Quissequel F

G. Sikošek 27' D 6.90

I. Mamut F

Iuri Tavares 27' F 6.30

J. Silić G

L. Posinkovic 1' D

M. Barać D

M. Marina 27' M 6.60

M. Mladenovski D

P. Bočkaj D

S. Jurić 16' F 6.30

Istra 1961 3-4-3

J. Paus-Kunšt G 7.30

S. Miettinen D 6.90

R. Kumar D 7.20

F. Taraba 45' D 6.50

Niko Šepić M 6.50

S. Lončar M 6.90

Josip Radošević 45' M 5.90

R. Hrvatin M 6.60

S. Goričan 45' F 6.30

A. Obando 78' F 6.00

D. Ahmeti 67' F 6.60

Bench

A. Kadušić 47' D 7.00

A. Maurić 47' M 6.60

Charles Adah Agada 14' F 6.50

Ebou Sama F

E. Frederiksen 25' F 6.20

F. Kolić G

G. AlbarracÃn M

I. Ayuma M

Leo Štulac M

Roko Banovac G

V. Rozić 47' F 6.70

Best on the pitch

Luka Mamić

F · NK

8.20

2 ⚽

7 shots · 27 pass

N. Tepšić

D · NK

8.20

· 33 pass

Oliver Zelenika

G · NK

7.60

· 23 pass

J. Paus-Kunšt

G · Istra

7.30

· 27 pass

Roberto Punčec

D · NK

7.20

· 25 pass

T. Duvnjak

M · NK

7.20

1 shots · 37 pass

NK Varazdin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Oliver Zelenika	G	92	7.60	—	—	—	23	14%	—	—	—
Roberto Punčec	D	92	7.20	—	—	—	25	22%	3	—	—
Sven Lesjak	D	92	6.90	—	—	—	36	25%	2	—	—
N. Tepšić	D	92	8.20	—	—	—	33	20%	2	—	—
Antonio Boršić	M	65	6.90	—	—	—	27	19%	2	1	—
D. Puclin	M	65	6.30	—	—	1	18	15%	1	—	—
T. Duvnjak	M	91	7.20	—	—	1	37	30%	3	1	—
F. Maglica	M	92	7.20	—	—	—	30	24%	3	—	—
Luka Mamić	F	76	8.20	2	—	7	27	21%	—	—	—
A. Latković	F	65	7.00	—	—	3	11	8%	—	—	—
I. Canjuga	F	92	6.90	—	—	—	21	18%	2	—	—
G. Sikošek	D	27	6.90	—	—	—	3	3%	1	—	—
Iuri Tavares	F	27	6.30	—	—	—	7	4%	—	—	—
L. Posinkovic	D	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
M. Marina	M	27	6.60	—	—	—	4	3%	2	—	—
S. Jurić	F	16	6.30	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—

Istra 1961 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Paus-Kunšt	G	92	7.30	—	—	—	27	15%	—	—	—
S. Miettinen	D	92	6.90	—	—	—	45	38%	4	—	—
R. Kumar	D	92	7.20	—	—	—	82	75%	1	1	—
F. Taraba	D	45	6.50	—	—	—	27	24%	2	1	—
Niko Šepić	M	92	6.50	—	—	2	17	14%	—	—	—
S. Lončar	M	92	6.90	—	—	—	54	50%	2	—	—
Josip Radošević	M	45	5.90	—	—	—	22	19%	2	1	—
R. Hrvatin	M	92	6.60	—	—	1	35	25%	—	—	—
S. Goričan	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	9	7%	—	—	—
A. Obando	F	78	6.00	—	—	2	17	12%	—	—	—
D. Ahmeti	F	67	6.60	—	—	1	19	16%	—	—	—
A. Kadušić	D	47	7.00	—	—	1	32	27%	2	—	—
A. Maurić	M	47	6.60	—	—	—	31	28%	—	—	—
Charles Adah Agada	F	14	6.50	—	—	1	1	—	1	—	—
E. Frederiksen	F	25	6.20	—	—	1	10	10%	—	—	—
V. Rozić	F	47	6.70	—	—	1	16	12%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?

The final score was NK Varazdin 2–0 Istra 1961.

What did the model predict before NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961?

The model assigned 49% probability to a NK Varazdin win, 31% to a draw, and 19% to an Istra 1961 win.