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HNL · Regular Season - 11 October 24, 2026 18:00 Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, Varazdin
NK Varazdin
#3 · 18 pts
1 – 2
Final score
NK Slaven Belupo
#7 · 13 pts
Iuri Tavares 6'
66' (ast. Ilija Nestorovski) Josip Mitrović
70' (ast. Ilija Nestorovski) lovro banovec
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Varazdin a 42% win probability (draw 33%, NK Slaven Belupo 24%). The final result was NK Varazdin 1–2 NK Slaven Belupo. In 5 previous meetings, NK Varazdin have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for NK Slaven Belupo.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
3
1.54
Actual xG
0.62
1
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
1
Corners
3
10
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Iuri Tavares
6'
37'
Silvijo Čabraja
37'
Josip Mitrović
↕ Petar Bočkaj / David Puclin
45'
Iuri Tavares
54'
63'
Mihail Caimacov / Leon Bošnjak ↕
↕ Iuri Tavares / Matej Vuk
64'
↕ Luka Posinković / Sven Lesjak
65'
66'
ast. Ilija Nestorovski · Josip Mitrović⚽
70'
ast. Ilija Nestorovski · lovro banovec⚽
↕ Ivan Canjuga / Valentin Akrap
71'
72'
79'
Ilija Nestorovski
↕ Novak Tepsic / Stipe Jurić
84'
90'+1
Karlo Sentic
Aleksa Latkovic
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
42.88%
NK
33.03%
X
24.09%
NK ←
we assigned to the actual result (NK Slaven Belupo) 24.09% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NK
0.97
1.54
+0.57
NK
0.55
0.62
+0.07
NK Varazdin dominated by xG (1.54 vs 0.62). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 11 23
2 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 10 22
3 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 11 18
4 NK Osijek NK Osijek 11 17
5 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 10 17
6 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 11 13
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 11 13
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 11 11
9 Rudes Rudes 11 10
10 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 11 7
Lineups
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 4-2-3-1
33 J. Silić J. Silić G 6.00
20 G. Sikošek G. Sikošek D 6.26
16 N. Tepšić N. Tepšić 84' D 6.77
13 M. Mladenovski M. Mladenovski D 7.09
30 L. Posinkovic L. Posinkovic 65' D 6.44
8 T. Duvnjak T. Duvnjak M 6.49
28 I. Canjuga I. Canjuga 71' M 6.08
38 Iuri Tavares Iuri Tavares 1 ⚽ 64' M 7.23
22 L. Mamić L. Mamić M 6.41
12 P. Bočkaj P. Bočkaj 45' M 6.45
10 A. Latković A. Latković F 6.21
Bench
6 D. Puclin D. Puclin 45' M 6.66
21 I. Posavec I. Posavec M 0.00
19 L. Lukanić L. Lukanić M 0.00
4 L. Škaričić L. Škaričić D 0.00
44 M. Barać M. Barać D 0.00
7 M. Vuk M. Vuk 26' F 6.43
1 R. McCrorie R. McCrorie G 0.00
14 R. Punčec R. Punčec D 0.00
9 S. Jurić S. Jurić 6' F 5.89
5 Sven Lesjak Sven Lesjak 25' D 6.58
17 V. Akrap V. Akrap 19' F 6.28
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 4-2-3-1
30 K. Sentić K. Sentić G 6.17
77 I. Urata I. Urata D 6.34
15 J. Mersinaj J. Mersinaj D 6.56
4 D. Kovačić D. Kovačić D 6.58
18 F. Krušelj F. Krušelj D 6.90
21 L. Crepulja L. Crepulja M 6.48
22 A. Adeshina A. Adeshina M 6.68
11 J. Mitrović J. Mitrović 1 ⚽ M 7.26
24 L. Bošnjak L. Bošnjak 63' M 6.45
8 L. Banovec L. Banovec 1 ⚽ M 7.09
90 I. Nestorovski I. Nestorovski 2 👟 79' F 7.07
Bench
23 A. Jónsson A. Jónsson M 0.00
88 D. Bosak D. Bosak M 0.00
32 I. Čović I. Čović G 0.00
5 I. Cvetko I. Cvetko D 0.00
14 Losika Ratshukudu Losika Ratshukudu F 0.00
29 Lovro Loncaric Lovro Loncaric F 0.00
19 L. Zahora L. Zahora F 0.00
10 M. Caimacov M. Caimacov 27' M 6.29
12 M. Pavli M. Pavli G 0.00
2 V. Međimorec V. Međimorec D 0.00
45 V. Papac V. Papac F 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. Mitrović
J. Mitrović
M · NK
7.26
1 ⚽
2 shots · 36 pass
Iuri Tavares
Iuri Tavares
M · NK
7.23
1 ⚽
1 shots · 25 pass
L. Banovec
L. Banovec
M · NK
7.09
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
M. Mladenovski
M. Mladenovski
D · NK
7.09
1 shots · 66 pass
I. Nestorovski
I. Nestorovski
F · NK
7.07
2 👟
2 shots · 20 pass
F. Krušelj
F. Krušelj
D · NK
6.90
1 shots · 30 pass
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Silić G 90 6.00 — — 0 39 29% 0 — —
G. Sikošek D 90 6.26 — — 1 56 47% 0 — —
N. Tepšić D 84 6.77 — — 0 57 51% 0 — —
M. Mladenovski D 90 7.09 — — 1 66 58% 1 — —
L. Posinkovic D 65 6.44 — — 1 23 18% 3 — —
T. Duvnjak M 90 6.49 — — 0 48 37% 1 — —
I. Canjuga M 71 6.08 — — 1 21 17% 1 — —
Iuri Tavares M 64 7.23 1 — 1 25 20% 0 1 —
L. Mamić M 90 6.41 — — 2 34 27% 0 — —
P. Bočkaj M 45 6.45 — — 1 18 13% 1 — —
A. Latković F 90 6.21 — — 3 18 15% 1 1 —
D. Puclin M 45 6.66 — — 1 37 29% 1 — —
M. Vuk F 26 6.43 — — 0 10 6% 0 — —
S. Jurić F 6 5.89 — — 1 2 1% 0 — —
Sven Lesjak D 25 6.58 — — 1 19 13% 1 — —
V. Akrap F 19 6.28 — — 1 3 2% 0 — —
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Sentić G 90 6.17 — — 0 21 5% 0 1 —
I. Urata D 90 6.34 — — 0 36 28% 2 — —
J. Mersinaj D 90 6.56 — — 0 39 31% 2 — —
D. Kovačić D 90 6.58 — — 0 40 31% 1 — —
F. Krušelj D 90 6.90 — — 1 30 23% 1 — —
L. Crepulja M 90 6.48 — — 0 62 54% 1 — —
A. Adeshina M 90 6.68 — — 0 49 44% 5 — —
J. Mitrović M 90 7.26 1 — 2 36 26% 2 1 —
L. Bošnjak M 63 6.45 — — 0 27 21% 2 — —
L. Banovec M 90 7.09 1 — 2 26 17% 2 — —
I. Nestorovski F 79 7.07 — 2 2 20 13% 1 — 1
M. Caimacov M 27 6.29 — — 1 10 10% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo?
The final score was NK Varazdin 1–2 NK Slaven Belupo.
What did the model predict before NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo?
The model assigned 42% probability to a NK Varazdin win, 33% to a draw, and 24% to an NK Slaven Belupo win.