HNL
· Regular Season - 5
August 29, 2026 21:00
A. Latkovic
(ast. I. Mamut)
72'
I. Canjuga
(ast. M. Vuk)
84'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Varazdin a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Rudes 26%). The final result was NK Varazdin 2–0 Rudes.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
3
1.93
Actual xG
0.36
3
Saves
2
56%
Possession
44%
9
Corners
4
10
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
36'
Xavi
G. Sikosek
/ E. Durakovic
46'
58'
T. Kolega
/
C. Saho
59'
J. Blagaic
/
Xavi
I. Tavares
/ M. Vuk
61'
63'
A. Susak
⚽I. Mamut
(missed pen.)
64'
⚽A. Latkovic
· ast. I. Mamut
72'
F. Maglica
/ L. Posinkovic
74'
M. Marina
/ T. Duvnjak
74'
78'
L. Popovic
/
I. Djoric
78'
J. Bralic
/
A. Susak
81'
K. Lovric
/
L. Ilecic
⚽I. Canjuga
· ast. M. Vuk
84'
87'
K. Lovric
I. Mamut
/ L. Skaricic
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
47.41%
NK ←
26.53%
X
26.06%
Rudes
we assigned to the actual result (NK Varazdin)
47.41%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.50
1.93
-2.57
1.84
0.36
-1.48
NK Varazdin dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.36).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
33
J. Silić
G
J. Silić
G
20
G. Sikošek
45'
D
G. Sikošek
45'
D
16
N. Tepšić
D
N. Tepšić
D
13
M. Mladenovski
D
M. Mladenovski
D
23
F. Maglica
74'
D
F. Maglica
74'
D
24
M. Marina
74'
M
M. Marina
74'
M
28
I. Canjuga
1 ⚽
M
I. Canjuga
1 ⚽
M
38
Iuri Tavares
61'
M
Iuri Tavares
61'
M
22
L. Mamić
M
L. Mamić
M
10
A. Latković
1 ⚽
M
A. Latković
1 ⚽
M
17
I. Mamut
1 👟
F
I. Mamut
1 👟
F
Bench
6
D. Puclin
M
D. Puclin
M
3
E. Duraković
49'
D
E. Duraković
49'
D
11
E. Uchegbu
F
E. Uchegbu
F
21
I. Posavec
M
I. Posavec
M
4
L. Škaričić
3'
D
L. Škaričić
3'
D
7
M. Vuk
1 👟
33'
F
M. Vuk
1 👟
33'
F
12
P. Bočkaj
D
P. Bočkaj
D
1
R. McCrorie
G
R. McCrorie
G
5
Sven Lesjak
D
Sven Lesjak
D
8
T. Duvnjak
20'
M
T. Duvnjak
20'
M
95
L. Rogić
G
L. Rogić
G
21
Ante Sušak
78'
D
Ante Sušak
78'
D
5
M. Stolnik
D
M. Stolnik
D
4
V. Celjak
D
V. Celjak
D
14
B. Unušić
D
B. Unušić
D
15
N. Skoko
M
N. Skoko
M
24
I. Đorić
M
I. Đorić
M
11
J. Poldrugač
M
J. Poldrugač
M
28
Xavi
59'
M
Xavi
59'
M
7
L. Ilečić
M
L. Ilečić
M
18
Cherno Saho
58'
F
Cherno Saho
58'
F
Bench
1
Filip Holjevac
G
Filip Holjevac
G
20
J. Blagaić
35'
M
J. Blagaić
35'
M
34
K. Lovrić
13'
F
K. Lovrić
13'
F
8
Luka Popovic
16'
M
Luka Popovic
16'
M
10
V. Seitz
M
V. Seitz
M
Best on the pitch
A. Latković
M · NK
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
I. Canjuga
M · NK
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 41 pass
N. Tepšić
D · NK
7.70
1 shots
· 60 pass
M. Mladenovski
D · NK
7.60
1 shots
· 61 pass
J. Silić
G · NK
7.20
· 28 pass
G. Sikošek
D · NK
7.20
· 33 pass
NK Varazdin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Silić | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| G. Sikošek | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| N. Tepšić | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 56% | — | — | — |
| M. Mladenovski | D | 94 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Maglica | D | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Marina | M | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| I. Canjuga | M | 94 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Iuri Tavares | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Mamić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Latković | M | 94 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| I. Mamut | F | 91 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| E. Duraković | D | 49 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Škaričić | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Vuk | F | 33 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Duvnjak | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Rudes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Rogić | G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Ante Sušak | D | 78 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Stolnik | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Celjak | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Unušić | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Skoko | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Đorić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Poldrugač | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Xavi | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Ilečić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cherno Saho | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Blagaić | M | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| K. Lovrić | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Luka Popovic | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Rudes?
The final score was NK Varazdin 2–0 Rudes.
What did the model predict before NK Varazdin vs Rudes?
The model assigned 47% probability to a NK Varazdin win, 26% to a draw, and 26% to an Rudes win.