Meistriliiga
· Regular Season - 19
July 11, 2026 16:00
K. Matas
75'
K. Oostenbrink
(ast. A. Frolov)
80'
Z. Beglarishvili
90'+7
45'+1
(ast. S. Prunn)
T. Jurisoo
(og)
90'+5
Y. Morishige
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nõmme United a 44% win probability (draw 31%, Kuressaare 23%). The final result was Nõmme United 3–2 Kuressaare. In 3 previous meetings, Nõmme United have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Kuressaare.
Match statistics
Match Events
45'+1
ast. S. Prunn ·
T. Jurisoo⚽
B. Vain
/ H. Jarvelaid
46'
B. Chisala
56'
I. Krasnov
/ K. Matas
63'
B. Chisala
/ E. Ounapuu
63'
A. Truuvaart
/ K. Laanelaid
63'
K. Matas
72'
74'
J. Vahermagi
/
G. Roivassepp
74'
A. Visse
/
A. Kivi
⚽K. Matas
75'
⚽K. Oostenbrink
· ast. A. Frolov
80'
K. Oostenbrink
/ T. Vendelin
81'
84'
M. Leivategija
/
E. Demidov
84'
R. Lukas
/
S. Sinilaid
90'+5
(og)
Y. Morishige⚽
⚽Z. Beglarishvili
90'+7
90'
J. Vahermagi
/
S. Prunn
Pre-match prediction
44.82%
Nõmme ←
31.38%
X
23.8%
Kuressaare
we assigned to the actual result (Nõmme United)
44.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.98
—
—
0.63
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nõmme United vs Kuressaare?
The final score was Nõmme United 3–2 Kuressaare.
What did the model predict before Nõmme United vs Kuressaare?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Nõmme United win, 31% to a draw, and 23% to an Kuressaare win.