Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 29 September 19, 2026 16:00

Nõmme United

#7 · 37 pts

1 – 3

Final score

Paide

#2 · 60 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Paide

I. Krasnov 59'

20' (ast. J. Palacios) M. Miller

(pen.) 74' H. Ojamaa

81' J. Palacios

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paide a 60% win probability (draw 20%, Nõmme United 18%). The final result was Nõmme United 1–3 Paide. In 3 previous meetings, Nõmme United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Paide.

Match statistics

Match Events

20'

ast. J. Palacios · M. Miller⚽

43'

K. Piht / H. Anier ↕

↕ M. Miil / A. Truuvaart

46'

↕ N. Vassiljev / I. Krasnov

56'

⚽I. Krasnov

59'

↕ T. Evans / K. Matas

66'

67'

H. Ojamaa / K. Kait ↕

67'

H. Ojamaa / Daniel Cabral ↕

Z. Beglarishvili

69'

74'

(pen.) H. Ojamaa⚽

77'

S. Luts / D. Luts ↕

81'

J. Palacios⚽

↕ Z. Beglarishvili / E. Ounapuu

86'

↕ A. Torres / O. Dacosta

86'

M. Palts

90'+1

90'

Pre-match prediction

18.22%

Nõmme

20.91%

X

60.87%

Paide ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paide) 60.87% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Nõmme

0.73

—

—

Paide

1.85

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	34	87
2	Paide	33	60
3	Flora Tallinn	34	58
4	Kalju Nomme	33	54
5	Tammeka	34	50
6	Laagri	34	47
7	Nõmme United	34	37
8	Vaprus	33	36
9	Kuressaare	33	35
10	Trans Narva	34	20