Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 21 July 31, 2026 18:00

Nõmme United

#8 · 28 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Trans Narva

#10 · 18 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Nõmme United, result Trans Narva wins

A. Frolov 90'+3

19' (ast. M. Velijev) A. Gero

31' M. Velijev

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nõmme United a 65% win probability (draw 17%, Trans Narva 16%). The final result was Nõmme United 1–2 Trans Narva. In 3 previous meetings, Nõmme United have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Trans Narva.

Match statistics

Match Events

19'

ast. M. Velijev · A. Gero⚽

H. Jarvelaid

24'

31'

M. Velijev⚽

↕ A. Radomskiy / G. Kabal

46'

↕ E. Ounapuu / B. Chisala

46'

↕ A. Truuvaart / B. Vain

62'

63'

S. Agaptsev / Elysee ↕

63'

A. Filatov / T. Berardozzi ↕

↕ M. Palts / I. Krasnov

68'

72'

J. Imeh / M. Velijev ↕

72'

A. Besigirskis / J. Doke ↕

G. Lagus

79'

88'

S. Burjanadze / Eriks Santos ↕

90'+3

90'+3

S. Burjanadze

⚽A. Frolov

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

65.93%

Nõmme

17.4%

X

16.67%

Trans ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Trans Narva) 16.67% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Nõmme

2.48

—

—

Trans

0.88

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	27	68
2	Flora Tallinn	27	49
3	Kalju Nomme	28	47
4	Paide	26	45
5	Tammeka	26	41
6	Vaprus	27	34
7	Laagri	27	31
8	Nõmme United	27	28
9	Kuressaare	27	28
10	Trans Narva	28	18