Meistriliiga
· Regular Season - 33
October 23, 2026 18:00
E. Ounapuu
(ast. A. Frolov)
33'
S. Geiger
(ast. A. Torres)
59'
E. Ounapuu
(ast. H. Jarvelaid)
68'
A. Torres
(ast. H. Jarvelaid)
72'
7'
(ast. T. Pajo)
M. Limberg
67'
T. Pajo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nõmme United a 39% win probability (draw 34%, Vaprus 26%). The final result was Nõmme United 4–2 Vaprus. In 3 previous meetings, Nõmme United have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vaprus.
Match statistics
Match Events
7'
ast. T. Pajo ·
M. Limberg⚽
27'
M. Villota
⚽E. Ounapuu
· ast. A. Frolov
33'
R. Chanda
/ A. Alteberg
46'
⚽S. Geiger
· ast. A. Torres
59'
K. Laanelaid
/ M. Miil
65'
A. Torres
65'
67'
T. Pajo⚽
67'
K. Kauber
/
J. Poder
⚽E. Ounapuu
· ast. H. Jarvelaid
68'
⚽A. Torres
· ast. H. Jarvelaid
72'
E. Ounapuu
/ K. Oostenbrink
72'
79'
M. Seppik
Z. Beglarishvili
/ K. Matas
82'
A. Frolov
/ G. Kabal
82'
82'
R. Orm
/
T. Pajo
82'
A. Korre
/
V. Vallik
M. Palts
83'
85'
R. Orm
G. Kabal
88'
90'+1
S. Aer
/
M. Villota
90'+1
O. Vahemets
/
M. Limberg
Pre-match prediction
39.14%
Nõmme ←
34.56%
X
26.3%
Vaprus
we assigned to the actual result (Nõmme United)
39.14%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.79
—
—
0.59
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
The final score was Nõmme United 4–2 Vaprus.
What did the model predict before Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Nõmme United win, 34% to a draw, and 26% to an Vaprus win.