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T. Atcheson (ast. I. Price) 9'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Northern Ireland a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Guinea 31%). The final result was Northern Ireland 1–0 Guinea.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
6
4
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
1
Corners
9
25
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽T. Atcheson · ast. I. Price
9'
46'
A. Camara / O. Camara ↕
46'
M. Cherif / S. Cisse ↕
46'
L. Kourouma / A. Diawara ↕
↕ P. Charles / L. Southwood
46'
↕ K. Morrison / J. Reid
46'
↕ P. Smyth / B. Spencer
46'
J. McDonnell
58'
63'
A. Cisse / M. Soumah ↕
63'
M. Sylla / I. Bangoura ↕
63'
T. Barry / M. Toure ↕
↕ R. McConville / T. Hume
63'
↕ I. Price / C. O'Neill
64'
↕ J. McDonnell / A. McCann
64'
↕ J. Donley / C. Marshall
64'
T. Atcheson
72'
76'
L. Kourouma
78'
O. Diabate / I. Fofana ↕
↕ J. Devenny / E. Galbraith
81'
↕ S. Charles / P. Kelly
81'
↕ J. Reid / J. Magennis
85'
88'
G. Sylla / S. Sylla ↕
Pre-match prediction
37.0%
Northern ←
31.84%
X
31.16%
Guinea
we assigned to the actual result (Northern Ireland) 37.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Northern
1.63
—
—
Guinea
0.71
—
—
Lineups
1 P. Charles P. Charles 45' G 7.30
22 C. Brown C. Brown D 7.50
3 Ruairi McConville Ruairi McConville 63' D 7.90
4 Tom Atcheson Tom Atcheson 1 ⚽ 72' D 7.30
15 J. Devenny J. Devenny 81' M 6.90
19 S. Charles S. Charles 81' M 7.20
6 Jamie Carson McDonnell Jamie Carson McDonnell 64' M 6.70
11 P. Smyth P. Smyth 45' M 6.90
14 I. Price I. Price 1 👟 64' F 7.30
9 K. Morrison K. Morrison 45' F 6.20
10 J. Donley J. Donley 64' F 6.00
Bench
16 Ali McCann Ali McCann 30' M 6.70
17 B. Graham B. Graham F
20 B. Spencer B. Spencer 49' D 6.90
13 Ceadach O'Neill Ceadach O'Neill 30' F 6.30
8 C. Marshall C. Marshall 30' F 7.00
7 E. Galbraith E. Galbraith 13' M 6.90
23 J. Clarke J. Clarke G
21 J. Magennis J. Magennis 9' F 6.30
18 J. Reid J. Reid 40' F 7.20
12 L. Southwood L. Southwood 49' G 7.20
2 Patrick Kelly Patrick Kelly 13' M 6.30
5 T. Hume T. Hume 31' D 6.30
Guinea Guinea 4-5-1
1 S. Sylla S. Sylla G 7.60
21 S. Sylla S. Sylla 88' D 6.90
20 M. Konaté M. Konaté D 7.30
4 Mohamed Soumah Mohamed Soumah 63' D 7.20
2 I. Fofana I. Fofana 78' D 6.30
12 O. Camara O. Camara 45' M 6.20
6 A. Diawara A. Diawara 45' M 6.90
18 Ibrahima Sory Bangoura Ibrahima Sory Bangoura 63' M 7.50
15 S. Cissé S. Cissé 45' M 6.00
17 M. Toure M. Toure 63' M 6.30
9 A. Traoré A. Traoré F 5.90
Bench
19 Abdoulaye Camara Abdoulaye Camara 49' F 6.60
3 Amadou Cissé Amadou Cissé 31' D 6.60
10 Gassimou Sylla Gassimou Sylla 6' F
13 L. Kourouma L. Kourouma 49' M 7.00
24 M. Haidara M. Haidara 49' M 6.30
14 M. Sylla M. Sylla 31' F 6.30
22 Mussa Diallo Mussa Diallo G
23 Ousmane Diabate Ousmane Diabate 16' D 6.70
25 Thierno Barry Thierno Barry 31' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
Ruairi McConville
Ruairi McConville
D · Northern
7.90
· 27 pass
S. Sylla
S. Sylla
G · Guinea
7.60
· 41 pass
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
M · Guinea
7.50
1 shots · 41 pass
C. Brown
C. Brown
D · Northern
7.50
· 30 pass
M. Konaté
M. Konaté
D · Guinea
7.30
· 98 pass
I. Price
I. Price
F · Northern
7.30
1 👟
· 28 pass
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Charles G 45 7.30 — — — 23 18% — — —
C. Brown D 94 7.50 — — — 30 25% 1 — —
Ruairi McConville D 63 7.90 — — — 27 25% 1 — —
Tom Atcheson D 72 7.30 1 — 1 36 26% 1 — 1
J. Devenny M 81 6.90 — — — 28 21% 3 — —
S. Charles M 81 7.20 — — 1 34 30% 2 — —
Jamie Carson McDonnell M 64 6.70 — — — 23 19% 2 1 —
P. Smyth M 45 6.90 — — — 16 13% 4 — —
I. Price F 64 7.30 — 1 — 28 25% — — —
K. Morrison F 45 6.20 — — — 14 10% — — —
J. Donley F 64 6.00 — — 2 17 13% — — —
Ali McCann M 30 6.70 — — — 12 8% 2 — —
B. Spencer D 49 6.90 — — 1 16 16% 2 — —
Ceadach O'Neill F 30 6.30 — — 1 5 3% 2 — —
C. Marshall F 30 7.00 — — — 9 7% 4 — —
E. Galbraith M 13 6.90 — — — 4 3% — — —
J. Magennis F 9 6.30 — — — 3 — — — —
J. Reid F 40 7.20 — — 1 3 3% — — —
L. Southwood G 49 7.20 — — — 15 6% — — —
Patrick Kelly M 13 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
T. Hume D 31 6.30 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Guinea Guinea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Sylla G 94 7.60 — — — 41 38% — — —
S. Sylla D 88 6.90 — — 2 38 34% — — —
M. Konaté D 94 7.30 — — — 98 91% 4 — —
Mohamed Soumah D 63 7.20 — — — 73 67% 3 — —
I. Fofana D 78 6.30 — — 1 46 38% 1 — —
O. Camara M 45 6.20 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
A. Diawara M 45 6.90 — — — 38 34% 1 — —
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura M 63 7.50 — — 1 41 39% 5 — —
S. Cissé M 45 6.00 — — 1 13 10% 1 — —
M. Toure M 63 6.30 — — 1 17 14% — — —
A. Traoré F 94 5.90 — — 3 14 8% — — —
Abdoulaye Camara F 49 6.60 — — — 9 8% — — —
Amadou Cissé D 31 6.60 — — — 21 21% — — —
Gassimou Sylla F 6 — — — — — — — — —
L. Kourouma M 49 7.00 — — 1 33 29% 1 1 —
M. Haidara M 49 6.30 — — 1 11 9% 1 — —
M. Sylla F 31 6.30 — — — 16 12% 1 — —
Ousmane Diabate D 16 6.70 — — — 6 3% 2 — —
Thierno Barry F 31 6.70 — — — 9 8% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Northern Ireland vs Guinea?
The final score was Northern Ireland 1–0 Guinea.
What did the model predict before Northern Ireland vs Guinea?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Northern Ireland win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Guinea win.