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T. Atcheson (ast. I. Price) 9'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Northern Ireland a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Guinea 31%). The final result was Northern Ireland 1–0 Guinea.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
6
4
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
1
Corners
9
25
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
T. Atcheson · ast. I. Price
9'
46'
A. Camara / O. Camara
46'
M. Cherif / S. Cisse
46'
L. Kourouma / A. Diawara
P. Charles / L. Southwood
46'
K. Morrison / J. Reid
46'
P. Smyth / B. Spencer
46'
J. McDonnell
58'
63'
A. Cisse / M. Soumah
63'
M. Sylla / I. Bangoura
63'
T. Barry / M. Toure
R. McConville / T. Hume
63'
I. Price / C. O'Neill
64'
J. McDonnell / A. McCann
64'
J. Donley / C. Marshall
64'
T. Atcheson
72'
76'
L. Kourouma
78'
O. Diabate / I. Fofana
J. Devenny / E. Galbraith
81'
S. Charles / P. Kelly
81'
J. Reid / J. Magennis
85'
88'
G. Sylla / S. Sylla
Pre-match prediction
37.0%
Northern ←
31.84%
X
31.16%
Guinea
we assigned to the actual result (Northern Ireland) 37.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Northern
1.63
Guinea
0.71
Lineups
1 Pierce Charles Pierce Charles 45' G 7.30
22 Ciaron Brown Ciaron Brown D 7.50
3 Ruairi McConville Ruairi McConville 63' D 7.90
4 Tom Atcheson Tom Atcheson 1 ⚽ 72' D 7.30
15 Justin Devenny Justin Devenny 81' M 6.90
19 Shea Charles Shea Charles 81' M 7.20
6 Jamie McDonnell Jamie McDonnell 64' M 6.70
11 Paul Smyth Paul Smyth 45' M 6.90
14 Isaac Price Isaac Price 1 👟 64' F 7.30
9 Kieran Morrison Kieran Morrison 45' F 6.20
10 Jamie Donley Jamie Donley 64' F 6.00
Bench
16 Ali McCann Ali McCann 30' M 6.70
17 Braiden Graham Braiden Graham F
20 Brodie Spencer Brodie Spencer 49' D 6.90
8 Callum Marshall Callum Marshall 30' F 7.00
13 Ceadach O'Neill Ceadach O'Neill 30' F 6.30
7 Ethan Galbraith Ethan Galbraith 13' M 6.90
23 J. Clarke J. Clarke G
21 Josh Magennis Josh Magennis 9' F 6.30
18 J. Reid J. Reid 40' F 7.20
12 Luke Southwood Luke Southwood 49' G 7.20
2 Patrick Kelly Patrick Kelly 13' M 6.30
5 T. Hume T. Hume 31' D 6.30
Guinea Guinea 4-5-1
1 Soumaïla Sylla Soumaïla Sylla G 7.60
21 S. Sylla S. Sylla 88' D 6.90
20 Mory Konate Mory Konate D 7.30
4 Mohamed Soumah Mohamed Soumah 63' D 7.20
2 Ibrahima Fofana Ibrahima Fofana 78' D 6.30
12 Ousmane Camara Ousmane Camara 45' M 6.20
6 A. Diawara A. Diawara 45' M 6.90
18 Ibrahima Sory Bangoura Ibrahima Sory Bangoura 63' M 7.50
15 Seydouba Cisse Seydouba Cisse 45' M 6.00
17 M. Toure M. Toure 63' M 6.30
9 Abdoul Karim Traoré Abdoul Karim Traoré F 5.90
Bench
19 Abdoulaye Camara Abdoulaye Camara 49' F 6.60
3 Amadou Cissé Amadou Cissé 31' D 6.60
10 Gassimou Sylla Gassimou Sylla 6' F
13 Lass Kourouma Lass Kourouma 49' M 7.00
24 Mohamed Cherif Haidara Mohamed Cherif Haidara 49' M 6.30
14 Morlaye Sylla Morlaye Sylla 31' F 6.30
22 Mussa Diallo Mussa Diallo G
23 Ousmane Diabate Ousmane Diabate 16' D 6.70
25 Thierno Barry Thierno Barry 31' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
Ruairi McConville
Ruairi McConville
D · Northern
7.90
· 27 pass
Soumaïla Sylla
Soumaïla Sylla
G · Guinea
7.60
· 41 pass
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura
M · Guinea
7.50
1 shots · 41 pass
Ciaron Brown
Ciaron Brown
D · Northern
7.50
· 30 pass
Mory Konate
Mory Konate
D · Guinea
7.30
· 98 pass
Isaac Price
Isaac Price
F · Northern
7.30
1 👟
· 28 pass
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pierce Charles G 45 7.30 23 18%
Ciaron Brown D 94 7.50 30 25% 1
Ruairi McConville D 63 7.90 27 25% 1
Tom Atcheson D 72 7.30 1 1 36 26% 1 1
Justin Devenny M 81 6.90 28 21% 3
Shea Charles M 81 7.20 1 34 30% 2
Jamie McDonnell M 64 6.70 23 19% 2 1
Paul Smyth M 45 6.90 16 13% 4
Isaac Price F 64 7.30 1 28 25%
Kieran Morrison F 45 6.20 14 10%
Jamie Donley F 64 6.00 2 17 13%
Ali McCann M 30 6.70 12 8% 2
Brodie Spencer D 49 6.90 1 16 16% 2
Callum Marshall F 30 7.00 9 7% 4
Ceadach O'Neill F 30 6.30 1 5 3% 2
Ethan Galbraith M 13 6.90 4 3%
Josh Magennis F 9 6.30 3
J. Reid F 40 7.20 1 3 3%
Luke Southwood G 49 7.20 15 6%
Patrick Kelly M 13 6.30 3 3%
T. Hume D 31 6.30 5 3% 1
Guinea Guinea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Soumaïla Sylla G 94 7.60 41 38%
S. Sylla D 88 6.90 2 38 34%
Mory Konate D 94 7.30 98 91% 4
Mohamed Soumah D 63 7.20 73 67% 3
Ibrahima Fofana D 78 6.30 1 46 38% 1
Ousmane Camara M 45 6.20 6 5% 1
A. Diawara M 45 6.90 38 34% 1
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura M 63 7.50 1 41 39% 5
Seydouba Cisse M 45 6.00 1 13 10% 1
M. Toure M 63 6.30 1 17 14%
Abdoul Karim Traoré F 94 5.90 3 14 8%
Abdoulaye Camara F 49 6.60 9 8%
Amadou Cissé D 31 6.60 21 21%
Gassimou Sylla F 6
Lass Kourouma M 49 7.00 1 33 29% 1 1
Mohamed Cherif Haidara M 49 6.30 1 11 9% 1
Morlaye Sylla F 31 6.30 16 12% 1
Ousmane Diabate D 16 6.70 6 3% 2
Thierno Barry F 31 6.70 9 8% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Northern Ireland vs Guinea?
The final score was Northern Ireland 1–0 Guinea.
What did the model predict before Northern Ireland vs Guinea?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Northern Ireland win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Guinea win.