Norway - Denmark
Weather at kick-off
🌤️
Mainly clear
26.2°C
💨 17 km/h
🌧️ 74%
· Niigata
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.57%
Win
Norway
17.81%
Draw
40.62%
Win
Denmark
2.66
2.76
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–2
(6.05%)
1X2 Result
1
42%
X
18%
2
41%
Double Chance
1X
59%
X2
58%
12
82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
93%
Over 2.5
86%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Norway a 41% win probability, against 17% for a draw and 40% for Denmark. Expected goals are 2.7 for Norway and 2.8 for Denmark (total 5.4), with a 93% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 6.05% probability.
Season Stats
4W
1D
1L
3W
2D
3L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.2
1.2
Conceded
1.2
6.2
Shots OT
4.6
6.0
Corners
5.9
53%
Poss.
46%
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
63%
83%
O 2.5
38%
50%
BTTS
38%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
3W
0D
0L
· at home
0W
2D
2L
· away
3.3
gls/g
1.0
0.3
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
33%
O 3.5
50%
33%
BTTS
50%
67%
Clean Sht
25%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Norway
Denmark →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| 5 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Norway
Attack
48
Defence
56
Form
44
Denmark
Attack
53
Defence
81
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
Norway
Injured
UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 4
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 4
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #2 |
| → Norway | #1 | #3 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Denmark | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Norway vs Denmark?
The model gives Norway a 41% win probability, 17% for a draw, and 40% for an Denmark win.
How many goals are expected in Norway vs Denmark?
Expected goals: Norway 2.7, Denmark 2.8 (total 5.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 93%.
What is the most likely score in Norway vs Denmark?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.05%.