A. Schjelderup
(ast. M. Odegaard)
36'
45'+2
(ast. A. Gordon)
J. Bellingham
93'
J. Bellingham
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norway a 35% win probability (draw 28%, England 35%). The final result was Norway 1–2 England.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
8
0.77
Actual xG
1.09
6
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
7
Corners
4
24
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽A. Schjelderup
· ast. M. Odegaard
36'
45'+2
ast. A. Gordon ·
J. Bellingham⚽
46'
B. Saka
/
N. Madueke
46'
E. Eze
/
D. Rice
55'
J. Ryerson
/ F. Aursnes
60'
A. Sorloth
/ O. Bobb
68'
A. Schjelderup
/ A. Nusa
68'
71'
R. James
/
A. Gordon
86'
D. Spence
/
N. O'Reilly
89'
M. Rogers
/
E. Konsa
D. Wolfe
/ M. Pedersen
90'
T. Heggem
/ L. Ostigard
91'
93'
J. Bellingham⚽
E. Haaland
/ J. Larsen
106'
111'
D. Burn
/
J. Bellingham
K. Ajer
117'
Pre-match prediction
35.56%
Norway
28.52%
X
35.93%
England ←
we assigned to the actual result (England)
35.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
0.77
-0.81
1.56
1.09
-0.47
England dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.77).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ø. Nyland
G
Ø. Nyland
G
5
D. Møller Wolfe
89'
D
D. Møller Wolfe
89'
D
17
T. Heggem
D
T. Heggem
D
3
K. Ajer
D
K. Ajer
D
26
J. Ryerson
60'
D
J. Ryerson
60'
D
6
P. Berg
M
P. Berg
M
8
S. Berge
M
S. Berge
M
10
M. Ødegaard
1 👟
M
M. Ødegaard
1 👟
M
21
A. Schjelderup
1 ⚽
68'
F
A. Schjelderup
1 ⚽
68'
F
9
E. Haaland
F
E. Haaland
F
7
A. Sørloth
68'
F
A. Sørloth
68'
F
Bench
20
A. Nusa
52'
M
A. Nusa
52'
M
13
E. Selvik
G
E. Selvik
G
14
F. Aursnes
60'
M
F. Aursnes
60'
M
15
F. Bjørkan
D
F. Bjørkan
D
25
H. Falchener
D
H. Falchener
D
23
J. Hauge
M
J. Hauge
M
11
J. Strand Larsen
15'
F
J. Strand Larsen
15'
F
18
K. Thorstvedt
M
K. Thorstvedt
M
4
Leo Østigård
30'
D
Leo Østigård
30'
D
16
M. Pedersen
31'
D
M. Pedersen
31'
D
2
M. Thorsby
M
M. Thorsby
M
22
Oscar Bobb
52'
M
Oscar Bobb
52'
M
24
S. Langås
D
S. Langås
D
12
S. Tangvik
G
S. Tangvik
G
19
T. Aasgaard
M
T. Aasgaard
M
1
J. Pickford
G
J. Pickford
G
3
N. O'Reilly
86'
D
N. O'Reilly
86'
D
6
M. Guéhi
D
M. Guéhi
D
5
J. Stones
D
J. Stones
D
2
E. Konsa
89'
D
E. Konsa
89'
D
8
E. Anderson
M
E. Anderson
M
4
D. Rice
45'
M
D. Rice
45'
M
18
A. Gordon
1 👟
71'
M
A. Gordon
1 👟
71'
M
10
J. Bellingham
2 ⚽
M
J. Bellingham
2 ⚽
M
20
N. Madueke
45'
M
N. Madueke
45'
M
9
H. Kane
F
H. Kane
F
Bench
7
B. Saka
75'
F
B. Saka
75'
F
15
Dan Burn
9'
D
Dan Burn
9'
D
13
D. Henderson
G
D. Henderson
G
25
Djed Spence
34'
D
Djed Spence
34'
D
21
E. Eze
75'
M
E. Eze
75'
M
22
I. Toney
F
I. Toney
F
14
Jordan Henderson
M
Jordan Henderson
M
23
J. Trafford
G
J. Trafford
G
16
K. Mainoo
M
K. Mainoo
M
11
M. Rashford
F
M. Rashford
F
17
M. Rogers
31'
M
M. Rogers
31'
M
19
O. Watkins
F
O. Watkins
F
24
R. James
49'
D
R. James
49'
D
12
T. Chalobah
D
T. Chalobah
D
Best on the pitch
J. Bellingham
M · England
8.50
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 41 pass
Ø. Nyland
G · Norway
8.20
· 43 pass
A. Schjelderup
F · Norway
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
Djed Spence
D · England
7.90
1 shots
· 14 pass
F. Aursnes
M · Norway
7.30
1 shots
· 45 pass
R. James
D · England
7.20
· 30 pass
Norway — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ø. Nyland | G | 120 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 24% | — | — | — |
| D. Møller Wolfe | D | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| T. Heggem | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Ajer | D | 120 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 47% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Ryerson | D | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Berg | M | 120 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Berge | M | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 107 | 102% | — | — | — |
| M. Ødegaard | M | 120 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 93 | 80% | — | — | — |
| A. Schjelderup | F | 68 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 6 | — | — |
| E. Haaland | F | 105 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sørloth | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Nusa | M | 52 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Aursnes | M | 60 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Leo Østigård | D | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Pedersen | D | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 52 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
England — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pickford | G | 120 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
| N. O'Reilly | D | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Guéhi | D | 120 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 86 | 79% | — | — | — |
| J. Stones | D | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 83 | 80% | — | — | — |
| E. Konsa | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Anderson | M | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 93 | 87% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Rice | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 45% | — | — | — |
| A. Gordon | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 111 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 4 | 41 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Madueke | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Kane | F | 120 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Saka | F | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Dan Burn | D | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Djed Spence | D | 34 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Eze | M | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Rogers | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| R. James | D | 49 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norway vs England?
The final score was Norway 1–2 England.
What did the model predict before Norway vs England?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Norway win, 28% to a draw, and 35% to an England win.