A. Schjelderup
(ast. M. Odegaard)
36'
45'+2
(ast. A. Gordon)
J. Bellingham
93'
J. Bellingham
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Norway a 35% win probability (draw 28%, England 35%). The final result was Norway 1–2 England.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
8
0.77
Actual xG
1.09
6
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
7
Corners
4
24
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽A. Schjelderup
· ast. M. Odegaard
36'
45'+2
ast. A. Gordon ·
J. Bellingham⚽
46'
B. Saka
/
N. Madueke
46'
E. Eze
/
D. Rice
55'
J. Ryerson
/ F. Aursnes
60'
A. Sorloth
/ O. Bobb
68'
A. Schjelderup
/ A. Nusa
68'
71'
R. James
/
A. Gordon
86'
D. Spence
/
N. O'Reilly
89'
M. Rogers
/
E. Konsa
D. Wolfe
/ M. Pedersen
90'
T. Heggem
/ L. Ostigard
91'
93'
J. Bellingham⚽
E. Haaland
/ J. Larsen
106'
111'
D. Burn
/
J. Bellingham
K. Ajer
117'
Pre-match prediction
35.56%
Norway
28.52%
X
35.93%
England ←
we assigned to the actual result (England)
35.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.58
0.77
-0.81
1.56
1.09
-0.47
England dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.77).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ørjan Nyland
G
Ørjan Nyland
G
5
David Møller Wolfe
89'
D
David Møller Wolfe
89'
D
17
T. Heggem
D
T. Heggem
D
3
Kristoffer Ajer
D
Kristoffer Ajer
D
26
J. Ryerson
60'
D
J. Ryerson
60'
D
6
Patrick Berg
M
Patrick Berg
M
8
Sander Berge
M
Sander Berge
M
10
M. Ødegaard
1 👟
M
M. Ødegaard
1 👟
M
21
A. Schjelderup
1 ⚽
68'
F
A. Schjelderup
1 ⚽
68'
F
9
E. Haaland
F
E. Haaland
F
7
A. Sørloth
68'
F
A. Sørloth
68'
F
Bench
20
A. Nusa
52'
M
A. Nusa
52'
M
13
Egil Selvik
G
Egil Selvik
G
15
Fredrik André Bjørkan
D
Fredrik André Bjørkan
D
14
Fredrik Aursnes
60'
M
Fredrik Aursnes
60'
M
25
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener
D
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener
D
23
Jens Petter Hauge
M
Jens Petter Hauge
M
11
J. Strand Larsen
15'
F
J. Strand Larsen
15'
F
18
Kristian Thorstvedt
M
Kristian Thorstvedt
M
4
Leo Østigård
30'
D
Leo Østigård
30'
D
16
Marcus Pedersen
31'
D
Marcus Pedersen
31'
D
2
Morten Thorsby
M
Morten Thorsby
M
22
Oscar Bobb
52'
M
Oscar Bobb
52'
M
12
Sander Tangvik
G
Sander Tangvik
G
24
Sondre Langås
D
Sondre Langås
D
19
Thelo Aasgaard
M
Thelo Aasgaard
M
1
Jordan Pickford
G
Jordan Pickford
G
3
Nico O'Reilly
86'
D
Nico O'Reilly
86'
D
6
M. Guéhi
D
M. Guéhi
D
5
John Stones
D
John Stones
D
2
Ezri Konsa
89'
D
Ezri Konsa
89'
D
8
Elliot Anderson
M
Elliot Anderson
M
4
D. Rice
45'
M
D. Rice
45'
M
18
A. Gordon
1 👟
71'
M
A. Gordon
1 👟
71'
M
10
J. Bellingham
2 ⚽
M
J. Bellingham
2 ⚽
M
20
Noni Madueke
45'
M
Noni Madueke
45'
M
9
H. Kane
F
H. Kane
F
Bench
7
B. Saka
75'
F
B. Saka
75'
F
15
Dan Burn
9'
D
Dan Burn
9'
D
13
Dean Henderson
G
Dean Henderson
G
25
Djed Spence
34'
D
Djed Spence
34'
D
21
Eberechi Eze
75'
M
Eberechi Eze
75'
M
22
I. Toney
F
I. Toney
F
23
James Trafford
G
James Trafford
G
14
Jordan Henderson
M
Jordan Henderson
M
16
Kobbie Mainoo
M
Kobbie Mainoo
M
17
Morgan Rogers
31'
M
Morgan Rogers
31'
M
11
M. Rashford
F
M. Rashford
F
19
Ollie Watkins
F
Ollie Watkins
F
24
Reece James
49'
D
Reece James
49'
D
12
Trevoh Chalobah
D
Trevoh Chalobah
D
Best on the pitch
J. Bellingham
M · England
8.50
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 41 pass
Ørjan Nyland
G · Norway
8.20
· 43 pass
A. Schjelderup
F · Norway
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
Djed Spence
D · England
7.90
1 shots
· 14 pass
Fredrik Aursnes
M · Norway
7.30
1 shots
· 45 pass
Reece James
D · England
7.20
· 30 pass
Norway — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ørjan Nyland | G | 120 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 24% | — | — | — |
| David Møller Wolfe | D | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| T. Heggem | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Kristoffer Ajer | D | 120 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 47% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Ryerson | D | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Patrick Berg | M | 120 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Sander Berge | M | 120 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 107 | 102% | — | — | — |
| M. Ødegaard | M | 120 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 93 | 80% | — | — | — |
| A. Schjelderup | F | 68 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 6 | — | — |
| E. Haaland | F | 105 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sørloth | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| A. Nusa | M | 52 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Fredrik Aursnes | M | 60 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Leo Østigård | D | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Marcus Pedersen | D | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 52 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
England — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | G | 120 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Nico O'Reilly | D | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Guéhi | D | 120 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 86 | 79% | — | — | — |
| John Stones | D | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 83 | 80% | — | — | — |
| Ezri Konsa | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Elliot Anderson | M | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 93 | 87% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Rice | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 45% | — | — | — |
| A. Gordon | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 111 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 4 | 41 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Noni Madueke | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Kane | F | 120 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Saka | F | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Dan Burn | D | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Djed Spence | D | 34 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Eberechi Eze | M | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Morgan Rogers | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Reece James | D | 49 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norway vs England?
The final score was Norway 1–2 England.
What did the model predict before Norway vs England?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Norway win, 28% to a draw, and 35% to an England win.