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World Cup · Group Stage - 3 June 26, 2026 21:00 Gillette Stadium, Boston
Norway
#2 · 6 pts
1 – 4
Final score
France
#1 · 9 pts
T. Aasgaard (ast. A. Schjelderup) 21'
7' (ast. K. Mbappe) O. Dembele
20' (ast. K. Mbappe) O. Dembele
32' (ast. A. Tchouameni) O. Dembele
90'+4 (ast. B. Barcola) D. Doue
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave France a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Norway 35%). The final result was Norway 1–4 France.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
15
4
Shots on target
8
1.69
Actual xG
1.18
5
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
4
Corners
5
17
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
7'
ast. K. Mbappe · O. Dembele⚽
P. Berg
10'
20'
ast. K. Mbappe · O. Dembele⚽
⚽T. Aasgaard · ast. A. Schjelderup
21'
32'
ast. A. Tchouameni · O. Dembele⚽
↕ F. Bjorkan / M. Pedersen
46'
↕ K. Thorstvedt / M. Thorsby
46'
⚽J. Larsen (missed pen.)
50'
65'
R. Cherki / M. Olise ↕
65'
B. Barcola / O. Dembele ↕
↕ H. Falchener / S. Langas
66'
74'
A. Tchouameni
76'
I. Konate / D. Upamecano ↕
↕ A. Schjelderup / A. Nusa
83'
↕ O. Bobb / J. Hauge
83'
87'
M. Gusto / J. Kounde ↕
87'
J. Mateta / K. Mbappe ↕
90'+4
ast. B. Barcola · D. Doue⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.81%
Norway
23.66%
X
40.52%
France ←
we assigned to the actual result (France) 40.52% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Norway
1.78
1.69
-0.09
France
1.84
1.18
-0.66
Norway dominated by xG (1.69 vs 1.18). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 France France 3 9
2 Norway Norway 3 6
3 Senegal Senegal 3 3
4 Iraq Iraq 3 0
Lineups
Norway Norway 4-3-3
13 Egil Selvik Egil Selvik G 6.20
15 Fredrik André Bjørkan Fredrik André Bjørkan 45' D 6.00
4 Leo Østigård Leo Østigård D 5.90
25 Henrik Sælebakke Falchener Henrik Sælebakke Falchener 66' D 5.70
14 Fredrik Aursnes Fredrik Aursnes D 6.30
19 Thelo Aasgaard Thelo Aasgaard 1 ⚽ M 7.90
6 P. Berg P. Berg M 6.50
18 Kristian Thorstvedt Kristian Thorstvedt 45' M 6.50
21 Andreas Schjelderup Andreas Schjelderup 1 👟 83' F 7.20
11 J. Strand Larsen J. Strand Larsen F 5.90
22 Oscar Bobb Oscar Bobb 83' F 7.90
Bench
7 Alexander Sørloth Alexander Sørloth F
20 Antonio Nusa Antonio Nusa 11' M 6.50
5 David Møller Wolfe David Møller Wolfe D
9 E. Haaland E. Haaland F
23 Jens Petter Hauge Jens Petter Hauge 11' M 6.50
26 J. Ryerson J. Ryerson D
3 Kristoffer Ajer Kristoffer Ajer D
16 Marcus Pedersen Marcus Pedersen 49' D 6.50
10 M. Ødegaard M. Ødegaard M
2 Morten Thorsby Morten Thorsby 49' M 6.20
1 Ørjan Nyland Ørjan Nyland G
8 Sander Berge Sander Berge M
12 Sander Tangvik Sander Tangvik G
24 Sondre Langås Sondre Langås 28' D 6.20
17 Torbjørn Heggem Torbjørn Heggem D
France France 4-2-3-1
16 Mike Maignan Mike Maignan G 7.50
19 Theo Hernández Theo Hernández D 6.30
26 Maxence Lacroix Maxence Lacroix D 6.70
4 Dayot Upamecano Dayot Upamecano 76' D 7.00
5 Jules Koundé Jules Koundé 87' D 6.30
6 Manu Koné Manu Koné M 6.90
8 Aurélien Tchouaméni Aurélien Tchouaméni 1 👟 M 7.90
20 Désiré Doué Désiré Doué 1 ⚽ M 7.00
11 M. Olise M. Olise 65' M 6.50
7 O. Dembélé O. Dembélé 3 ⚽ 65' M 10.00
10 Kylian Mbappé Kylian Mbappé 2 👟 87' F 7.50
Bench
14 Adrien Rabiot Adrien Rabiot M
12 B. Barcola B. Barcola 1 👟 29' F 6.90
1 Brice Samba Brice Samba G
15 Ibrahima Konaté Ibrahima Konaté 18' D 6.70
22 Jean-Philippe Mateta Jean-Philippe Mateta 7' F
3 Lucas Digne Lucas Digne D
21 Lucas Hernández Lucas Hernández D
25 M. Akliouche M. Akliouche M
2 Malo Gusto Malo Gusto 7' D
9 Marcus Thuram Marcus Thuram F
13 N'Golo Kanté N'Golo Kanté M
24 R. Cherki R. Cherki 29' M 6.50
23 Robin Risser Robin Risser G
18 Warren Zaïre-Emery Warren Zaïre-Emery M
17 William Saliba William Saliba D
Best on the pitch
O. Dembélé
O. Dembélé
M · France
10.00
3 ⚽
3 shots · 41 pass
Aurélien Tchouaméni
Aurélien Tchouaméni
M · France
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 68 pass
Thelo Aasgaard
Thelo Aasgaard
M · Norway
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 40 pass
Oscar Bobb
Oscar Bobb
F · Norway
7.90
1 shots · 28 pass
Mike Maignan
Mike Maignan
G · France
7.50
· 20 pass
Kylian Mbappé
Kylian Mbappé
F · France
7.50
2 👟
3 shots · 33 pass
Norway Norway — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Egil Selvik G 94 6.20 — — — 25 13% 1 — —
Fredrik André Bjørkan D 45 6.00 — — — 18 18% 1 — —
Leo Østigård D 94 5.90 — — 1 65 51% 2 — —
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener D 66 5.70 — — — 24 19% — — —
Fredrik Aursnes D 94 6.30 — — 1 52 46% 5 — —
Thelo Aasgaard M 94 7.90 1 — 1 40 34% 3 — —
P. Berg M 94 6.50 — — — 53 46% — 1 —
Kristian Thorstvedt M 45 6.50 — — 1 14 8% 1 — —
Andreas Schjelderup F 83 7.20 — 1 — 26 21% 1 — —
J. Strand Larsen F 94 5.90 — — 2 22 16% — — —
Oscar Bobb F 83 7.90 — — 1 28 25% 1 — —
Antonio Nusa M 11 6.50 — — — 3 1% — — —
Jens Petter Hauge M 11 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
Marcus Pedersen D 49 6.50 — — — 12 11% 1 — —
Morten Thorsby M 49 6.20 — — — 19 19% 1 — —
Sondre Langås D 28 6.20 — — — 9 8% — — —
France France — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mike Maignan G 94 7.50 — — — 20 13% — — —
Theo Hernández D 94 6.30 — — 2 45 43% — — —
Maxence Lacroix D 94 6.70 — — — 45 43% 2 — —
Dayot Upamecano D 76 7.00 — — — 46 39% — — —
Jules Koundé D 87 6.30 — — — 57 45% 4 — —
Manu Koné M 94 6.90 — — 1 55 51% 2 — —
Aurélien Tchouaméni M 94 7.90 — 1 1 68 62% 8 1 —
Désiré Doué M 94 7.00 1 — 4 49 39% 2 — —
M. Olise M 65 6.50 — — 1 43 37% — — —
O. Dembélé M 65 10.00 3 — 3 41 30% — — —
Kylian Mbappé F 87 7.50 — 2 3 33 29% — — —
B. Barcola F 29 6.90 — 1 — 9 8% — — —
Ibrahima Konaté D 18 6.70 — — — 12 11% — — —
Jean-Philippe Mateta F 7 — — — — — — — — —
Malo Gusto D 7 — — — — 9 7% — — —
R. Cherki M 29 6.50 — — — 21 20% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norway vs France?
The final score was Norway 1–4 France.
What did the model predict before Norway vs France?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Norway win, 23% to a draw, and 40% to an France win.