T. Aasgaard
(ast. A. Schjelderup)
21'
7'
(ast. K. Mbappe)
O. Dembele
20'
(ast. K. Mbappe)
O. Dembele
32'
(ast. A. Tchouameni)
O. Dembele
90'+4
(ast. B. Barcola)
D. Doue
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave France a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Norway 35%). The final result was Norway 1–4 France.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
15
4
Shots on target
8
1.69
Actual xG
1.18
5
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
4
Corners
5
17
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
7'
ast. K. Mbappe ·
O. Dembele⚽
P. Berg
10'
20'
ast. K. Mbappe ·
O. Dembele⚽
⚽T. Aasgaard
· ast. A. Schjelderup
21'
32'
ast. A. Tchouameni ·
O. Dembele⚽
F. Bjorkan
/ M. Pedersen
46'
K. Thorstvedt
/ M. Thorsby
46'
⚽J. Larsen
(missed pen.)
50'
65'
R. Cherki
/
M. Olise
65'
B. Barcola
/
O. Dembele
H. Falchener
/ S. Langas
66'
74'
A. Tchouameni
76'
I. Konate
/
D. Upamecano
A. Schjelderup
/ A. Nusa
83'
O. Bobb
/ J. Hauge
83'
87'
M. Gusto
/
J. Kounde
87'
J. Mateta
/
K. Mbappe
90'+4
ast. B. Barcola ·
D. Doue⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.81%
Norway
23.66%
X
40.52%
France ←
we assigned to the actual result (France)
40.52%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
1.69
-0.09
1.84
1.18
-0.66
Norway dominated by xG (1.69 vs 1.18).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
E. Selvik
G
E. Selvik
G
15
F. Bjørkan
45'
D
F. Bjørkan
45'
D
4
L. Østigård
D
L. Østigård
D
25
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener
66'
D
Henrik Sælebakke Falchener
66'
D
14
F. Aursnes
D
F. Aursnes
D
19
Thelo Aasgaard
1 ⚽
M
Thelo Aasgaard
1 ⚽
M
6
P. Berg
M
P. Berg
M
18
K. Thorstvedt
45'
M
K. Thorstvedt
45'
M
21
A. Schjelderup
1 👟
83'
F
A. Schjelderup
1 👟
83'
F
11
J. Strand Larsen
F
J. Strand Larsen
F
22
Oscar Bobb
83'
F
Oscar Bobb
83'
F
Bench
20
A. Nusa
11'
M
A. Nusa
11'
M
7
A. Sørloth
F
A. Sørloth
F
5
D. Møller Wolfe
D
D. Møller Wolfe
D
9
E. Haaland
F
E. Haaland
F
23
J. Hauge
11'
M
J. Hauge
11'
M
26
J. Ryerson
D
J. Ryerson
D
3
K. Ajer
D
K. Ajer
D
10
M. Ødegaard
M
M. Ødegaard
M
16
M. Pedersen
49'
D
M. Pedersen
49'
D
2
M. Thorsby
49'
M
M. Thorsby
49'
M
1
Ø. Nyland
G
Ø. Nyland
G
8
S. Berge
M
S. Berge
M
24
S. Langås
28'
D
S. Langås
28'
D
12
S. Tangvik
G
S. Tangvik
G
17
T. Heggem
D
T. Heggem
D
16
M. Maignan
G
M. Maignan
G
19
Theo Hernández
D
Theo Hernández
D
26
M. Lacroix
D
M. Lacroix
D
4
D. Upamecano
76'
D
D. Upamecano
76'
D
5
J. Koundé
87'
D
J. Koundé
87'
D
6
M. Koné
M
M. Koné
M
8
A. Tchouaméni
1 👟
M
A. Tchouaméni
1 👟
M
20
D. Doué
1 ⚽
M
D. Doué
1 ⚽
M
11
M. Olise
65'
M
M. Olise
65'
M
7
O. Dembélé
3 ⚽
65'
M
O. Dembélé
3 ⚽
65'
M
10
Kylian Mbappé
2 👟
87'
F
Kylian Mbappé
2 👟
87'
F
Bench
14
A. Rabiot
M
A. Rabiot
M
12
B. Barcola
1 👟
29'
F
B. Barcola
1 👟
29'
F
1
B. Samba
G
B. Samba
G
15
I. Konaté
18'
D
I. Konaté
18'
D
22
Jean-Philippe Mateta
7'
F
Jean-Philippe Mateta
7'
F
21
L. Hernández
D
L. Hernández
D
3
Lucas Digne
D
Lucas Digne
D
25
M. Akliouche
M
M. Akliouche
M
2
M. Gusto
7'
D
M. Gusto
7'
D
9
M. Thuram
F
M. Thuram
F
13
N. Kanté
M
N. Kanté
M
24
R. Cherki
29'
M
R. Cherki
29'
M
23
R. Risser
G
R. Risser
G
17
William Saliba
D
William Saliba
D
18
W. Zaïre-Emery
M
W. Zaïre-Emery
M
Best on the pitch
O. Dembélé
M · France
10.00
3 ⚽
3 shots
· 41 pass
A. Tchouaméni
M · France
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 68 pass
Thelo Aasgaard
M · Norway
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 40 pass
Oscar Bobb
F · Norway
7.90
1 shots
· 28 pass
M. Maignan
G · France
7.50
· 20 pass
Kylian Mbappé
F · France
7.50
2 👟
3 shots
· 33 pass
Norway — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Selvik | G | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Bjørkan | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Østigård | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Henrik Sælebakke Falchener | D | 66 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| F. Aursnes | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | 5 | — | — |
| Thelo Aasgaard | M | 94 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 40 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Berg | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Thorstvedt | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Schjelderup | F | 83 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Oscar Bobb | F | 83 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Nusa | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Hauge | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Pedersen | D | 49 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Thorsby | M | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Langås | D | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
France — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Maignan | G | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Theo Hernández | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 43% | — | — | — |
| M. Lacroix | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Upamecano | D | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | — | — | — |
| J. Koundé | D | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Koné | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Tchouaméni | M | 94 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 68 | 62% | 8 | 1 | — |
| D. Doué | M | 94 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 49 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Olise | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | — | — | — |
| O. Dembélé | M | 65 | 10.00 | 3 | — | 3 | 41 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | F | 87 | 7.50 | — | 2 | 3 | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| B. Barcola | F | 29 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| I. Konaté | D | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Gusto | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Cherki | M | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Norway vs France?
The final score was Norway 1–4 France.
What did the model predict before Norway vs France?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Norway win, 23% to a draw, and 40% to an France win.